Result
2:2
01/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 24
- Referee: Santos Sa Junior F. A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (358/442) | 72% (151/211) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (358/442) | 72% (151/211) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (17/48) | 33% (18/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (76/124) | 53% (28/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 40% (4/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 62 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Victor Caetano ↓, Everton ↑,
- 22', Higor 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Rafael Carvalheira ⚽, Clar W. (A),
- 42', Dodo 🟨,
- 43', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
- 45+6', Italo 🟨,
- 45+10', 1 - 1, Joao Vieira (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ruan Ribeiro ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
- 46', Tiago Pagnussat ↓, Nathan Melo ↑,
- 46', Jean Mota ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
- 49', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 56', Nathan Melo 🟨,
- 61', Halls 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 1, Clar W. (Pen),
- 64', 2 - 2, Bruno Mendes ⚽, Guilherme Parede (A),
- 68', Italo ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
- 78', Guilherme Parede 🟨,
- 81', Joao Vieira 🟨,
- 83', Eduardo Person 🟥,
- 85', Marcinho ↓, Mailson ↑,
- 85', Joao Vieira ↓, Igor Henrique ↑,
- 85', Gabriel Inocencio ↓, Rubens Ricoldi ↑,
- 90+5', Guilherme Parede ↓, Junior Todinho ↑,
- 90+6', Mailson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chapecoense
48.6% | Draw
30.5% | Vila Nova
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Chapecoense - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.07) |
3.07 ↓
(3.09) |
4.43 ↑
(3.78) |
6.8%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Vila Nova?
Users Predictions:
Chapecoense will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chapecoense will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 0.
- Chapecoense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Vila Nova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Chapecoense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Chapecoense is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
Giovanni Augusto
(Yellow Cards)
Jhonnathan
(Inactive)
Mancha
(Inactive)
Marcinho
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso
(Injury)
Marcondes
(Knee Injury)
Vinicius Paiva
(Yellow Cards)
Weverton
(Red Card)
Willian Formiga
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Getulio
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Vila Nova?
Chapecoense has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Chapecoense?
Vila Nova has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Vila Nova were as follows:
25.04.2025
Vila Nova
-
Chapecoense
1:0
18.09.2024
Vila Nova
-
Chapecoense
3:2
02.06.2024
Chapecoense
-
Vila Nova
1:1
01.10.2023
Vila Nova
-
Chapecoense
0:0
06.06.2023
Chapecoense
-
Vila Nova
0:1
Latest results of Chapecoense
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Criciuma | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:21 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Goias | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 4 | Coritiba | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:19 | 9 | 47 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | CRB | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 40 |
| 10 | Avai | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 12 | Remo | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | America MG | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:34 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 24:42 | -18 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 21:33 | -12 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
