Gent vs Charleroi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Jupiler Pro League Gent - Charleroi
Result
2:1
03/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Round 10
  • Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDAZN
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
paraguayParaguayDAZN
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.44
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
86% (499/582)77% (269/350)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.821.03
Total shots
99
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1713
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
95
Passes
86% (499/582)77% (269/350)
Long passes
47% (25/53)48% (36/75)
Passes in final third
67% (76/113)54% (43/80)
Crosses
13% (2/16)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.75
Throw-ins
1423
Fouls
59
Tackles
43% (3/7)88% (7/8)
Duels won
4845
Clearances
1925
Interceptions
134
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.030.82
Goals prevented
0.03-1.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Ito A. , Delorge-Knieper M. (A),
  • 26', Samoise M. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Pflucke P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Titraoui Y. 🟨,
  • 60', Delorge-Knieper M. , Goore H. ,
  • 63', Van Den Kerkhof K. 🟨,
  • 68', Bernier A. , Blum L. ,
  • 69', Kanga W. 🟨,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Gandelman O. , Skoras M. (A),
  • 75', Van Den Kerkhof K. , Szymczak F. ,
  • 78', Skoras M. , Surdez F. ,
  • 81', Camara E. 🟨,
  • 84', Keita C. , Benaets Q. ,
  • 84', Camara E. , Asante R. ,
  • 86', Blum L. 🟨,
  • 89', Gandelman O. , Lopes L. ,

Chances of winning


Gent
48.3%
Draw
26.6%
Charleroi
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 24.7% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 25.7% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Gent - Charleroi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.07)
    3.67
    (3.85)
    3.94
    (3.25)
    2.6%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Gent - Charleroi?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). Charleroi will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 42.6%78.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Gent (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Charleroi (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 2.
    • Gent is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Charleroi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gent may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Gent is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gent: Dean M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Charleroi: Guiagon P. (Inactive) Sow M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Gent: Lopes L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gent won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gent won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gent - Charleroi were as follows:
    17.01.2025 Gent - Charleroi 1:1
    11.08.2024 Charleroi - Gent 1:0
    17.03.2024 Gent - Charleroi 5:0
    05.11.2023 Charleroi - Gent 1:3
    19.01.2023 Gent - Charleroi 0:0
    Latest results of Gent
    28.09.2025 Cercle Brugge - Gent 2:4
    23.09.2025 Anderlecht - Gent 1:0
    19.09.2025 Gent - Dender EH 3:0
    14.09.2025 Royal Antwerp - Gent 1:2
    31.08.2025 Gent - Club Brugge 1:1
    Latest results of Charleroi
    28.09.2025 Charleroi - KV Mechelen 0:2
    20.09.2025 Charleroi - Zulte Waregem 1:2
    17.09.2025 Genk - Charleroi 0:1
    14.09.2025 Cercle Brugge - Charleroi 2:3
    30.08.2025 Charleroi - Dender EH 3:1
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG1182122:61626
    2Club Brugge KV1172218:11723
    3KV Mechelen1154216:12419
    4Anderlecht1053215:9618
    5Gent1052317:13417
    6St. Truiden1052315:12317
    7Genk1143416:16015
    8Waregem1042413:13014
    9Westerlo1142518:20-214
    10RAAL La Louviere113447:9-213
    11Charleroi1133514:17-312
    12St. Liege103259:13-411
    13Cercle Brugge KSV1125415:16-111
    14Antwerp1025310:12-211
    15Leuven112278:20-128
    16Dender110384:18-143

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