Result
2:3
14/02/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 25
- Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (424/509) | 75% (234/311) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 3.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 56 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (424/509) | 75% (234/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (24/45) | 41% (24/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (153/206) | 65% (52/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (10/41) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.59 | 2.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Ito A. ⚽, Kadri A. (A),
- 37', Skoras M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Bernier A. ↓, Blum L. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 2, Dean M. ⚽, Sonko M. (A),
- 59', Dean M. 🟨,
- 65', Camara E. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Keita C. ⚽, Pflucke P. (A),
- 68', Sonko M. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
- 71', 1 - 3, Dean M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 78', Pflucke P. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 78', Keita C. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
- 80', Skoras M. ↓, Essaouabi H. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 3, Ousou A. ⚽,
- 89', Kadri A. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
- 89', Dean M. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
- 89', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Cisse Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Ito A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Charleroi
46.5% | Draw
27.7% | Gent
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)The ML Model estimate for Gent aligns with the current prediction.
Charleroi - Gent Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.04) |
3.42 ↑
(3.38) |
3.7 ↑
(3.57) |
5.5%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Charleroi - Gent?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Gent will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 26.7% – 80.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Gent may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Charleroi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Blum L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Gent: Delorge-Knieper M.
(Ankle Injury)
Samoise M.
(Knee Injury)
Van Der Heyden S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Gent: Essaouabi H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Gent?
Charleroi has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gent won against Charleroi?
Gent has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Gent were as follows:
03.10.2025
Gent
-
Charleroi
2:1
17.01.2025
Gent
-
Charleroi
1:1
11.08.2024
Charleroi
-
Gent
1:0
17.03.2024
Gent
-
Charleroi
5:0
05.11.2023
Charleroi
-
Gent
1:3
Latest results of Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
