Charlotte Checkers vs Toronto Marlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:5
29/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3820
Shooting PCT
7.89% (3/38)25% (5/20)
Goalkeeper Saves
1535
Saves PCT
78.95% (15/19)92.11% (35/38)
Penalties
35
PIM
610
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)80% (4/5)
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 3)
  • 01:27, 0 - 1, Quillan J. (G), Lettieri V. (A),
  • 13:08, 0 - 2, Haymes L. (G), Villeneuve W. (A), Valis B. (A2)
  • 14:32, 0 - 3, Boyd T. (G), Groulx B. (A), Shaw L. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 02:33, 1 - 3, Vilmanis S. (G), Benning M. (A), Chorske B. (A2)
  • 08:14, 2 - 3, Sawchyn G. (G), Studnicka J. (A), Jansson L. (A2)
  • 13:48, 2 - 4, Shaw L. (G), Boyd T. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 09:34, 3 - 4, Steeves B. (G), Gaber R. (A), Benning M. (A2)
  • 19:34, 3 - 5, Johnson R. (G), Shaw L. (A),

Chances of winning


Charlotte Checkers
45.2%
Draw
23.1%
Toronto Marlies
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 22.7% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 22.2% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte Checkers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Checkers than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Charlotte Checkers - Toronto Marlies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.06)
    3.96
    (4.09)
    2.89
    (2.87)
    8.9%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3.
    • Charlotte is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Charlotte has had a series of away games.
    • Charlotte could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Charlotte will win today's game, with odds of 2.04.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 69:60. (average 3.5:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:34. (average 3.8:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte Checkers - Toronto Marlies were as follows:
    28.11.2025 Charlotte Checkers - Toronto Marlies 5:1
    15.03.2025 Toronto Marlies - Charlotte Checkers 3:1
    10.11.2024 Charlotte Checkers - Toronto Marlies 5:4
    09.11.2024 Charlotte Checkers - Toronto Marlies 3:4
    21.01.2024 Charlotte Checkers - Toronto Marlies 1:4
    Latest results of Charlotte Checkers
    Latest results of Toronto Marlies
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins553211111182:11887
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears57206823164:17760
    5Bridgeport Islanders57204825170:17856
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms56168626166:18854
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves532171213172:16768
    3Manitoba Moose51224619132:14358
    4Texas Stars54189423162:17158
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign56299216190:15178
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds55219520184:17065
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights532131019174:16858
    8Tucson Roadrunners551312822171:18258
    9Calgary Wranglers571091424152:20852
    10Abbotsford Canucks57138630132:19148


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch56323417184:13674
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies56207920176:18063
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets56173927144:17949

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )