Toronto Marlies vs Charlotte Checkers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Chances of winning


Toronto Marlies
35.4%
Draw
22.6%
Charlotte Checkers
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 22.6% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 25.5% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Charlotte Checkers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Marlies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Checkers than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charlotte Checkers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toronto Marlies - Charlotte Checkers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.45)
    4.08
    (4.1)
    2.21
    (2.35)
    8.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
    • Charlotte is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
    • Toronto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Charlotte is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Charlotte has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 61:69. (average 3.1:3.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 2.4:3.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Marlies - Charlotte Checkers were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Charlotte Checkers - Toronto Marlies 3:5
    28.11.2025 Charlotte Checkers - Toronto Marlies 5:1
    15.03.2025 Toronto Marlies - Charlotte Checkers 3:1
    10.11.2024 Charlotte Checkers - Toronto Marlies 5:4
    09.11.2024 Charlotte Checkers - Toronto Marlies 3:4
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 653713114220:146101
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 65356816212:17090
    3Charlotte Checkers ✔ 66319521219:17885
    4Bridgeport Islanders65236828194:20066
    5Hershey Bears65226928186:21165
    6Springfield Thunderbirds64243829179:21962
    7Lehigh Valley Phantoms65199631192:22162
    8Hartford Wolf Pack64204832170:21856


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 65398513222:13799
    2Chicago Wolves642381419200:20176
    3Texas Stars64249427195:20570
    4Manitoba Moose63274626157:17968
    5Milwaukee Admirals631712727181:18565
    6Rockford IceHogs65188534178:21757
    7Iowa Wild63166932152:20053


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign ✔ 66339519218:17789
    2Colorado Eagles653181016217:16988
    3San Jose Barracuda64299422219:19380
    4Coachella Valley Firebirds642512522214:19779
    5Bakersfield Condors642681020215:20378
    6Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    7San Diego Gulls652461223197:20072
    8Tucson Roadrunners641812925202:21469
    9Abbotsford Canucks66168636156:22354
    10Calgary Wranglers661191432179:24754


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 65363620216:16784
    3Toronto Marlies652571023207:20574
    4Cleveland Monsters652013725190:20273
    5Rochester Americans63217926194:20065
    6Utica Comets652141030174:20560
    7Belleville Senators65196931203:23459

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Charlotte Checkers is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Ontario Reign is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )