Result
1:1
16/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.15 | 1.22 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
87% (400/460) | 84% (342/405) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.15 | 1.22 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.33 | 0.99 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
87% (400/460) | 84% (342/405) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (19/44) | 48% (16/33) |
Passes in final third |
---|
75% (70/93) | 77% (110/143) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (1/7) | 24% (6/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.63 | 1.41 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (8/10) | 71% (12/17) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 44 |
Clearances |
---|
30 | 13 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.99 | 1.33 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.01 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Ousmanou P. 🟨,
- 33', Mesias A. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Garcia C. ⚽, Lucca Dourado (A),
- 45+2', Ciss O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Brown N. ↓, Viader D. ↑,
- 46', Lucca Dourado ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
- 57', Schipmann B. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 1, Ndiaye B. ⚽, Ciss O. (A),
- 72', Murphy J. 🟨,
- 74', Ciss O. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
- 74', Ousmanou P. ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
- 76', Bartman N. 🟨,
- 81', Garcia C. ↓, Sousa F. ↑,
- 81', Bartman N. ↓, Galindrez J. ↑,
- 83', Jauregui R. ↓, Jaime C. ↑,
- 83', Marou S. ↓, Pedro Fonseca ↑,
- 88', Bakero J. ↓, Moshobane T. ↑,
- 90+2', Mesias A. ↓, Temitayo E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Forward Madison 44.3% | Draw 26.4% | Charlotte Independence 29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forward Madison's performance.Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charlotte Independence might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forward Madison that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte Independence could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.04 ↓ (2.43) |
3.43 ↑ (3.39) |
3.08 ↑ (2.52) |
10.7% (10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 3.
- Forward Madison has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Charlotte Ind has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Charlotte Ind may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Charlotte Independence?
Forward Madison has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte Independence won against Forward Madison?
Charlotte Independence has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence were as follows:
11.04.2025
Charlotte Independence
-
Forward Madison
1:1
02.11.2024
Forward Madison
-
Charlotte Independence
2:0
04.10.2024
Charlotte Independence
-
Forward Madison
2:4
11.09.2024
Forward Madison
-
Charlotte Independence
2:1
14.08.2024
Forward Madison
-
Charlotte Independence
0:0
Latest results of Forward Madison
Latest results of Charlotte Independence
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Spokane Velocity | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
2 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 23:15 | 8 | 27 |
3 | AV Alta | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 27:21 | 6 | 26 |
4 | Charlotte Independ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
5 | One Knoxville | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 23 |
6 | FC Naples | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 23 |
7 | Texoma | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:26 | -6 | 20 |
8 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 20 |
9 | Greenville | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 19 |
10 | Richmond Kickers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 16 |
11 | Forward Madison | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Tormenta | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Westchester SC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 24:30 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Union Omaha | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )