Forward Madison vs Charlotte Independence – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence
Result
1:1
16/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.22
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
03
Passes
87% (400/460)84% (342/405)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.99
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
03
Touches in opposition box
1527
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
87% (400/460)84% (342/405)
Long passes
43% (19/44)48% (16/33)
Passes in final third
75% (70/93)77% (110/143)
Crosses
14% (1/7)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.631.41
Throw-ins
1215
Fouls
1211
Tackles
80% (8/10)71% (12/17)
Duels won
3944
Clearances
3013
Interceptions
123
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.991.33
Goals prevented
-0.010.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Ousmanou P. 🟨,
  • 33', Mesias A. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Garcia C. , Lucca Dourado (A),
  • 45+2', Ciss O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Brown N. , Viader D. ,
  • 46', Lucca Dourado , McLaughlin G. ,
  • 57', Schipmann B. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 1, Ndiaye B. , Ciss O. (A),
  • 72', Murphy J. 🟨,
  • 74', Ciss O. , Moreno J. ,
  • 74', Ousmanou P. , Ngah F. ,
  • 76', Bartman N. 🟨,
  • 81', Garcia C. , Sousa F. ,
  • 81', Bartman N. , Galindrez J. ,
  • 83', Jauregui R. , Jaime C. ,
  • 83', Marou S. , Pedro Fonseca ,
  • 88', Bakero J. , Moshobane T. ,
  • 90+2', Mesias A. , Temitayo E. ,

Chances of winning


Forward Madison
44.3%
Draw
26.4%
Charlotte Independence
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 26.8% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 26.4% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forward Madison's performance.
  • Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charlotte Independence might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forward Madison that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte Independence could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.43)
    3.43
    (3.39)
    3.08
    (2.52)
    10.7%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 3.
    • Forward Madison has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Charlotte Ind has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Charlotte Ind may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison 1:1
    02.11.2024 Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence 2:0
    04.10.2024 Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison 2:4
    11.09.2024 Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence 2:1
    14.08.2024 Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence 0:0
    Latest results of Forward Madison
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spokane Velocity1685322:15729
    2Chattanooga Red Wolves1576223:15827
    3AV Alta1675427:21626
    4Charlotte Independ1675425:20526
    5One Knoxville1365219:12723
    6FC Naples1665522:20223
    7Texoma1655620:26-620
    8Portland Hearts of Pine1548318:16220
    9Greenville1754821:23-219
    10Richmond Kickers1644824:28-416
    11Forward Madison1537514:17-316
    12Tormenta1643920:29-915
    13Westchester SC1536624:30-615
    14Union Omaha1442817:24-714

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