Forward Madison vs Charlotte Independence – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Breese Stevens Field (Madison, WI).

USL League One
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
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Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.15	1.22
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
0	3
Passes
87% (400/460)	84% (342/405)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15	1.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.33	0.99
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
1	4
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
4	10
Shots outside the Box
7	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
0	3
Touches in opposition box
15	27
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
87% (400/460)	84% (342/405)
Long passes
43% (19/44)	48% (16/33)
Passes in final third
75% (70/93)	77% (110/143)
Crosses
14% (1/7)	24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.63	1.41
Throw-ins
12	15
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
80% (8/10)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
39	44
Clearances
30	13
Interceptions
12	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.99	1.33
Goals prevented
-0.01	0.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Ousmanou P. 🟨,
33', Mesias A. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Garcia C. ⚽, Lucca Dourado (A),
45+2', Ciss O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Brown N. ↓, Viader D. ↑,
46', Lucca Dourado ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
57', Schipmann B. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Ndiaye B. ⚽, Ciss O. (A),
72', Murphy J. 🟨,
74', Ciss O. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
74', Ousmanou P. ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
76', Bartman N. 🟨,
81', Garcia C. ↓, Sousa F. ↑,
81', Bartman N. ↓, Galindrez J. ↑,
83', Jauregui R. ↓, Jaime C. ↑,
83', Marou S. ↓, Pedro Fonseca ↑,
88', Bakero J. ↓, Moshobane T. ↑,
90+2', Mesias A. ↓, Temitayo E. ↑,

Chances of winning

Forward Madison
44.3%

Draw
26.4%

Charlotte Independence
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

26.8%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forward Madison has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forward Madison's performance.

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charlotte Independence might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forward Madison that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte Independence could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.43)	3.43 ↑ (3.39)	3.08 ↑ (2.52)	10.7% (10.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 3.
Forward Madison has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Charlotte Ind has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Charlotte Ind may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Charlotte Independence?

Forward Madison has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte Independence won against Forward Madison?

Charlotte Independence has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence were as follows:

11.04.2025 Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison 1:1

02.11.2024 Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence 2:0

04.10.2024 Charlotte Independence - Forward Madison 2:4

11.09.2024 Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence 2:1

14.08.2024 Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence 0:0

Latest results of Forward Madison

12.07.2025 Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph 3:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Texoma - Forward Madison 2:0 ✺

18.06.2025 Forward Madison - Westchester SC 1:2 ✺

14.06.2025 Spokane Velocity - Forward Madison 2:1 ✺

07.06.2025 Forward Madison - Union Omaha 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Charlotte Independence

12.07.2025 Charlotte Independence - Union Omaha 1:2 ✺

21.06.2025 Texoma - Charlotte Independence 3:2 ✺

15.06.2025 Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph 1:0 ✺

11.06.2025 Spokane Velocity - Charlotte Independence 1:1 ✺

07.06.2025 South Georgia Tormenta - Charlotte Independence 0:2 ✺

USL League One Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chattanooga Red Wolves ✔	27	13	10	4	37:26	11	49
2	One Knoxville ✔	27	13	9	5	37:24	13	48
3	Spokane Velocity ✔	26	13	7	6	36:26	10	46
4	FC Naples ✔	26	12	8	6	37:27	10	44
5	Portland Hearts of Pine	26	10	10	6	37:30	7	40
6	Union Omaha	26	11	5	10	43:36	7	38
7	Tormenta	27	11	5	11	47:45	2	38
8	Charlotte Independ	27	9	7	11	41:44	-3	34
9	Forward Madison	27	7	11	9	28:33	-5	32
10	AV Alta	27	7	11	9	36:42	-6	32
11	Greenville	27	8	7	12	37:38	-1	31
12	Texoma	27	6	9	12	33:50	-17	27
13	Richmond Kickers	27	7	5	15	38:49	-11	26
14	Westchester SC	27	4	8	15	38:55	-17	20

Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Chattanooga Red Wolves is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
One Knoxville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
Spokane Velocity is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
FC Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )