Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph
Result
1:0
15/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.78
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
80% (289/362)88% (484/553)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.250.88
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1936
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
80% (289/362)88% (484/553)
Long passes
47% (29/62)63% (29/46)
Passes in final third
71% (75/105)76% (112/147)
Crosses
25% (4/16)36% (8/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.471.31
Throw-ins
1410
Fouls
1214
Tackles
47% (7/15)81% (13/16)
Duels won
4450
Clearances
2318
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.881.25
Goals prevented
0.880.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Ciss O. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Ngah F. , Bakero J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Patti A. , Castro L. ,
  • 46', Lee E. , Zakowski B. ,
  • 55', Moreno J. , Marou S. ,
  • 55', Bakero J. , Ndiaye B. ,
  • 61', Evans C. , Agyaakwah I. ,
  • 67', Jaime C. , Ousmanou P. ,
  • 67', Chaney C. , Sorenson A. ,
  • 71', Robles R. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 80', Agyaakwah I. , Anguiano C. ,
  • 88', Jauregui R. , Mbuyu T. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Charlotte Independence
42.1%
Draw
26.2%
Greenville Triumph
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 26.3% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 25.5% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charlotte Independence's performance.
  • Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greenville Triumph might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.52)
    3.49
    (3.47)
    2.89
    (2.43)
    9.3%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 3.
    • Charlotte Ind is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Greenville has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Greenville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte Ind won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Greenville Triumph - Charlotte Independence 1:0
    30.08.2024 Greenville Triumph - Charlotte Independence 0:1
    10.08.2024 Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph 2:1
    19.06.2024 Greenville Triumph - Charlotte Independence 2:0
    12.04.2024 Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph 1:0
    Latest results of Greenville Triumph
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chattanooga Red Wolves1686226:161030
    2Spokane Velocity1685322:15729
    3Charlotte Independ1776427:22527
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    5One Knoxville1466221:14724
    6FC Naples1665522:20223
    7Texoma1655620:26-620
    8Portland Hearts of Pine1548318:16220
    9Greenville1754821:23-219
    10Richmond Kickers1644824:28-416
    11Forward Madison1537514:17-316
    12Tormenta1643920:29-915
    13Westchester SC1636725:33-815
    14Union Omaha1442817:24-714

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