Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph
Result
4:5
09/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.031.63
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
81% (316/390)89% (445/502)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.031.63
xG on target (xGOT)
2.532.41
Total shots
812
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2120
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
81% (316/390)89% (445/502)
Long passes
52% (27/52)60% (38/63)
Passes in final third
73% (87/120)75% (131/175)
Crosses
29% (4/14)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.19
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
1217
Tackles
78% (7/9)50% (4/8)
Duels won
5439
Clearances
2718
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
2.412.53
Goals prevented
-2.59-1.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Marsh C. , Robles R. (A),
  • 28', Agyaakwah I. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Chaney C. (Pen),
  • 30', 2 - 1, Bakero J. , Jauregui R. (A),
  • 45+4', 2 - 2, Marsh C. , Bubb Z. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 49', Spielman N. 🟨,
  • 50', 2 - 3, Marsh C. (Pen),
  • 53', Rankenburg G. 🟨,
  • 54', 3 - 3, Chaney C. (Pen),
  • 59', 4 - 3, Jauregui R. , Ngah F. (A),
  • 65', Marsh C. , Soto E. ,
  • 65', Agyaakwah I. , Polak T. ,
  • 68', 4 - 4, Corvino P. , Evans C. (A),
  • 72', Bakero J. , Pedro Fonseca ,
  • 72', Moshobane T. , Moreno J. ,
  • 74', Moreno J. 🟥,
  • 74', Robles R. 🟨,
  • 76', Mensah R. , Lee E. ,
  • 79', Jauregui R. , Sorenson A. ,
  • 84', Sims T. , Benton D. ,
  • 85', Corvino P. , Zakowski B. ,
  • 88', Zakowski B. 🟨,
  • 88', Ciss O. , Jaime C. ,
  • 89', Chaney C. , Ousmanou P. ,
  • 90+6', 4 - 5, Zakowski B. , Polak T. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Charlotte Independence
35.3%
Draw
27%
Greenville Triumph
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 27% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 26.9% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.59)
    3.39
    (3.36)
    2.43
    (2.39)
    9.4%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Charlotte Ind may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte Ind won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph 1:0
    05.04.2025 Greenville Triumph - Charlotte Independence 1:0
    30.08.2024 Greenville Triumph - Charlotte Independence 0:1
    10.08.2024 Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph 2:1
    19.06.2024 Greenville Triumph - Charlotte Independence 2:0
    USL League One Table
    2025
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    6AV Alta2178631:29229
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    8Union Omaha20731028:31-324
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    10Portland Hearts of Pine1749418:17121
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