Naples vs Charlotte Independence – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
25/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.72
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
87% (336/387)81% (287/356)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.800.15
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2021
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
67
Passes
87% (336/387)81% (287/356)
Long passes
57% (28/49)46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
70% (67/96)70% (95/136)
Crosses
7% (1/14)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.951.00
Throw-ins
1611
Fouls
76
Tackles
75% (6/8)54% (7/13)
Duels won
2535
Clearances
2922
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.151.80
Goals prevented
0.15-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Sorenson A. 🟨,
  • 24', Heckenberg C. 🟨,
  • 40', Ciss O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sorenson A. , Ngah F. ,
  • 46', Ciss O. , Jauregui R. ,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Henderlong K. , Glasser M. (A),
  • 65', Cerro I. , Prpa L. ,
  • 65', Chaney C. , Marou S. ,
  • 70+1', Moshobane T. , Moreno J. ,
  • 72', Onen J. , Pasnik T. ,
  • 75', Pasnik T. 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Henderlong K. (Pen),
  • 83', Heckenberg C. , Fernandes G. ,
  • 84+1', Ndiaye B. , Ousmanou P. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Naples
41.2%
Draw
27.3%
Charlotte Independence
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 25.3% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 24.4% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naples, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Naples - Charlotte Independence Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (1.95)
    3.36
    (3.55)
    2.92
    (3.15)
    9%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Naples is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )
    • Naples is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Charlotte Ind has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Naples may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Naples could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naples won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Naples - Charlotte Independence were as follows:
    12.09.2025 Charlotte Independence - Naples 0:1
    Latest results of Naples
    18.10.2025 Naples - Spokane Velocity 0:1
    12.10.2025 Westchester SC - Naples 2:0
    05.10.2025 Union Omaha - Naples 1:0
    27.09.2025 Naples - AV Alta 4:0
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples64118:3513
    2Spokane Velocity641111:8313
    3Union Omaha54019:5412
    4One Knoxville63217:5211
    5Westchester SC521212:937
    6Greenville42028:716
    7Forward Madison32013:216
    8New York Cosmos52039:11-26
    9Portland Hearts of Pine41213:215
    10Boise41216:605
    11Charlotte Independ31117:434
    12Chattanooga Red Wolves31114:404
    13Fort Wayne41123:6-34
    14Sarasota Paradise61144:9-54
    15AV Alta60427:11-44
    16Corpus Christi FC40224:9-52
    17Richmond Kickers40132:6-41

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)