Result
0:1
10/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (379/427) | 86% (369/428) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (379/427) | 86% (369/428) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (21/35) | 60% (31/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (126/157) | 80% (122/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | 1.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Orellano L. ↓, Echenique E. ↑,
- 52', Tuiloma B. ↓, Marshall-Rutty J. ↑,
- 62', Engel L. 🟨,
- 64', Valenzuela G. 🟨,
- 70', Anunga T. 🟥,
- 73', Valenzuela G. ↓, Jimenez S. ↑,
- 73', Kamara K. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
- 73', Abada L. ↓, Williamson E. ↑,
- 82', Celentano R. 🟨,
- 82', Williamson E. 🟨,
- 85', 0 - 1, Zaha W. ⚽, Toklomati I. (A),
- 88', Byrne N. ↓, Scardina N. ↑,
- 88', Engel L. ↓, Denkey K. ↑,
- 89', Yedlin D. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
- 90+7', Calderon Vargas K. A. 🟨,
- 90+8', Evander 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cincinnati
52.5% | Draw
24.7% | Charlotte
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Cincinnati - Charlotte Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.76) |
3.84 ↑
(3.8) |
4.21 ↓
(4.5) |
5.1%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Charlotte?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Charlotte will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 24.9% – 69.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charlotte will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Cincinnati is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Denkey K.
(Leg Injury)
Kubo Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Nwobodo O.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Charlotte: Doumbia S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Charlotte: Biel P.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Charlotte?
Cincinnati has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte won against Cincinnati?
Charlotte has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Charlotte were as follows:
15.03.2025
Charlotte
-
Cincinnati
2:0
13.07.2024
Cincinnati
-
Charlotte
1:3
30.03.2024
Charlotte
-
Cincinnati
1:1
23.09.2023
Cincinnati
-
Charlotte
3:0
08.07.2023
Charlotte
-
Cincinnati
2:2
Latest results of Cincinnati
Latest results of Charlotte
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
