Cincinnati vs Charlotte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Cincinnati - Charlotte
Result
0:1
10/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.48
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
89% (379/427)86% (369/428)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.560.64
Total shots
178
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3426
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
89% (379/427)86% (369/428)
Long passes
60% (21/35)60% (31/52)
Passes in final third
80% (126/157)80% (122/153)
Crosses
25% (5/20)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.54
Throw-ins
157
Fouls
1115
Tackles
46% (6/13)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4940
Clearances
1827
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.641.56
Goals prevented
-0.361.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Orellano L. , Echenique E. ,
  • 52', Tuiloma B. , Marshall-Rutty J. ,
  • 62', Engel L. 🟨,
  • 64', Valenzuela G. 🟨,
  • 70', Anunga T. 🟥,
  • 73', Valenzuela G. , Jimenez S. ,
  • 73', Kamara K. , Smith B. ,
  • 73', Abada L. , Williamson E. ,
  • 82', Celentano R. 🟨,
  • 82', Williamson E. 🟨,
  • 85', 0 - 1, Zaha W. , Toklomati I. (A),
  • 88', Byrne N. , Scardina N. ,
  • 88', Engel L. , Denkey K. ,
  • 89', Yedlin D. , Powell A. ,
  • 90+7', Calderon Vargas K. A. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Evander 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
52.5%
Draw
24.7%
Charlotte
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 25% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 28.5% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Cincinnati - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.76)
    3.84
    (3.8)
    4.21
    (4.5)
    5.1%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Charlotte?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Charlotte will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 24.9%69.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charlotte will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Cincinnati is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Denkey K. (Leg Injury) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Doumbia S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Biel P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Charlotte were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Charlotte - Cincinnati 2:0
    13.07.2024 Cincinnati - Charlotte 1:3
    30.03.2024 Charlotte - Cincinnati 1:1
    23.09.2023 Cincinnati - Charlotte 3:0
    08.07.2023 Charlotte - Cincinnati 2:2
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3
    31.07.2025 Monterrey - Cincinnati 2:3
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    Latest results of Charlotte
    07.08.2025 Monterrey - Charlotte 0:2
    31.07.2025 Charlotte - Juárez 1:4
    26.07.2025 Charlotte - Toronto FC 2:0
    19.07.2025 Atlanta United - Charlotte 2:3
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC27164752:331952
    2Minnesota United27138644:301447
    3Vancouver Whitecaps26137644:291546
    4Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    5Los Angeles FC24117643:301340
    6Portland Timbers26107935:37-237
    7Colorado Rapids271061136:41-536
    8Austin FC2598824:29-535
    9San Jose Earthquakes27881150:47332
    10Real Salt Lake26941327:33-631
    11FC Dallas26781138:46-829
    12Houston Dynamo26781133:42-929
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City26561529:44-1521
    15Los Angeles Galaxy26371629:55-2616


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati27164742:34852
    2Philadelphia Union27156644:261851
    3Nashville SC27145844:311347
    4Orlando City27138653:351847
    5Inter Miami24136553:391445
    6Columbus Crew26129542:37545
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City25125836:30641
    9Chicago Fire26116950:44639
    10New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    11New England Revolution26771233:37-428
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    14CF Montreal27481525:48-2320
    15DC United27481523:52-2920

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