Cincinnati vs Charlotte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
10/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.48
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
89% (379/427)86% (369/428)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.560.64
Total shots
178
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3426
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
89% (379/427)86% (369/428)
Long passes
60% (21/35)60% (31/52)
Passes in final third
80% (126/157)80% (122/153)
Crosses
25% (5/20)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.54
Throw-ins
157
Fouls
1115
Tackles
46% (6/13)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4940
Clearances
1827
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.641.56
Goals prevented
-0.361.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Orellano L. , Echenique E. ,
  • 52', Tuiloma B. , Marshall-Rutty J. ,
  • 62', Engel L. 🟨,
  • 64', Valenzuela G. 🟨,
  • 70', Anunga T. 🟥,
  • 73', Valenzuela G. , Jimenez S. ,
  • 73', Kamara K. , Smith B. ,
  • 73', Abada L. , Williamson E. ,
  • 82', Celentano R. 🟨,
  • 82', Williamson E. 🟨,
  • 85', 0 - 1, Zaha W. , Toklomati I. (A),
  • 88', Byrne N. , Scardina N. ,
  • 88', Engel L. , Denkey K. ,
  • 89', Yedlin D. , Powell A. ,
  • 90+7', Calderon Vargas K. A. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Evander 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
52.5%
Draw
24.7%
Charlotte
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 25% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 28.5% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Cincinnati - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.76)
    3.84
    (3.8)
    4.21
    (4.5)
    5.1%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Charlotte?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Charlotte will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 24.9%69.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Cincinnati (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Charlotte (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charlotte will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Charlotte (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Cincinnati is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Denkey K. (Leg Injury) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Doumbia S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Biel P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Charlotte were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Charlotte - Cincinnati 2:0
    13.07.2024 Cincinnati - Charlotte 1:3
    30.03.2024 Charlotte - Cincinnati 1:1
    23.09.2023 Cincinnati - Charlotte 3:0
    08.07.2023 Charlotte - Cincinnati 2:2
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3
    31.07.2025 Monterrey - Cincinnati 2:3
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    Latest results of Charlotte
    07.08.2025 Monterrey - Charlotte 0:2
    31.07.2025 Charlotte - Juárez 1:4
    26.07.2025 Charlotte - Toronto FC 2:0
    19.07.2025 Atlanta United - Charlotte 2:3
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC54108:0813
    2Vancouver Whitecaps540114:21212
    3San Jose Earthquakes54017:1612
    4San Diego FC532013:5811
    5Seattle Sounders53115:2310
    6Real Salt Lake53119:7210
    7Colorado Rapids530211:749
    8FC Dallas522110:918
    9Houston Dynamo42028:9-16
    10Los Angeles Galaxy51227:8-15
    11Austin FC51225:7-25
    12Minnesota United51224:11-75
    13St. Louis City51134:7-34
    14Portland Timbers51137:12-54
    15Sporting Kansas City51135:11-64


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC541013:21113
    2New York City531113:6710
    3Inter Miami53119:8110
    4Charlotte522110:648
    5Chicago Fire52127:527
    6DC United52124:407
    7Toronto FC52126:8-27
    8New York Red Bulls52125:11-67
    9FC Cincinnati52037:11-46
    10Atlanta Utd51135:8-34
    11New England Revolution41038:9-13
    12CF Montreal51047:14-73
    13Orlando City51045:17-123
    14Columbus Crew50235:8-32
    15Philadelphia Union50053:9-60

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)