Cincinnati vs Charlotte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Cincinnati - Charlotte
Result
0:1
10/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.48
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
89% (379/427)86% (369/428)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.460.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.560.64
Total shots
178
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3426
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
89% (379/427)86% (369/428)
Long passes
60% (21/35)60% (31/52)
Passes in final third
80% (126/157)80% (122/153)
Crosses
25% (5/20)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.54
Throw-ins
157
Fouls
1115
Tackles
46% (6/13)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4940
Clearances
1827
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
0.641.56
Goals prevented
-0.361.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Orellano L. , Echenique E. ,
  • 52', Tuiloma B. , Marshall-Rutty J. ,
  • 62', Engel L. 🟨,
  • 64', Valenzuela G. 🟨,
  • 70', Anunga T. 🟥,
  • 73', Valenzuela G. , Jimenez S. ,
  • 73', Kamara K. , Smith B. ,
  • 73', Abada L. , Williamson E. ,
  • 82', Celentano R. 🟨,
  • 82', Williamson E. 🟨,
  • 85', 0 - 1, Zaha W. , Toklomati I. (A),
  • 88', Byrne N. , Scardina N. ,
  • 88', Engel L. , Denkey K. ,
  • 89', Yedlin D. , Powell A. ,
  • 90+7', Calderon Vargas K. A. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Evander 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
52.5%
Draw
24.7%
Charlotte
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 25% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 28.5% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Cincinnati - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.76)
    3.84
    (3.8)
    4.21
    (4.5)
    5.1%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Charlotte?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Charlotte will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 24.9%69.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Charlotte will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Cincinnati is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Denkey K. (Leg Injury) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Doumbia S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Biel P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Charlotte were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Charlotte - Cincinnati 2:0
    13.07.2024 Cincinnati - Charlotte 1:3
    30.03.2024 Charlotte - Cincinnati 1:1
    23.09.2023 Cincinnati - Charlotte 3:0
    08.07.2023 Charlotte - Cincinnati 2:2
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3
    31.07.2025 Monterrey - Cincinnati 2:3
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    Latest results of Charlotte
    07.08.2025 Monterrey - Charlotte 0:2
    31.07.2025 Charlotte - Juárez 1:4
    26.07.2025 Charlotte - Toronto FC 2:0
    19.07.2025 Atlanta United - Charlotte 2:3
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 30175855:371856
    2Minnesota United ✔ 30159651:331854
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 28157654:312352
    4Seattle Sounders28129750:401045
    5Los Angeles FC27128749:351444
    6Portland Timbers29119938:39-142
    7Austin FC291181031:36-541
    8Colorado Rapids301161340:49-939
    9San Jose Earthquakes30981355:55035
    10Real Salt Lake281041430:37-734
    11FC Dallas298101142:48-634
    12Houston Dynamo30891339:49-1033
    13Sporting Kansas City30761745:61-1627
    14St. Louis City30671736:51-1525
    15Los Angeles Galaxy29491635:58-2321


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 30176749:331657
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 30174944:37755
    3Charlotte ✔ 301721151:401153
    4Nashville SC301551050:351550
    5Columbus Crew291310648:43549
    6Orlando City29139755:411448
    7New York City28145941:33847
    8Inter Miami26137654:431146
    9Chicago Fire291261154:53142
    10New York Red Bulls301171243:40340
    11New England Revolution30881439:44-532
    12Toronto FC295111329:36-726
    13Atlanta Utd295111336:54-1826
    14DC United305101527:55-2825
    15CF Montreal30591629:53-2424

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)