New York City vs Charlotte – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Football MLS New York City - Charlotte
Result
2:0
20/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Ford T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN 5
chinaChinaQQ Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.490.90
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
81% (343/425)84% (485/576)
Yellow Cards
45
Expected Goals (xG)
2.490.90
xG on target (xGOT)
2.491.34
Total shots
155
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2520
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
81% (343/425)84% (485/576)
Long passes
34% (15/44)48% (31/65)
Passes in final third
63% (59/93)72% (139/192)
Crosses
45% (5/11)5% (1/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.41
Throw-ins
2534
Fouls
1710
Tackles
58% (14/24)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4550
Clearances
4621
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.342.49
Goals prevented
1.340.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Kahlina K. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Martinez A. (Pen),
  • 16', Bronico B. 🟨,
  • 20', Byrne N. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Mercau N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Westwood A. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Martinez A. (Pen),
  • 60', Bronico B. ↓, Biel P. ↑,
  • 60', O'Toole K. 🟨,
  • 64', Perea A. 🟨,
  • 65', O'Toole K. ↓, Tanasijevic S. ↑,
  • 65', Mercau N. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
  • 68', Zaha W. (Pen),
  • 75', Ream T. ↓, Privett A. ↑,
  • 75', Marshall-Rutty J. ↓, Goodwin A. ↑,
  • 77', Gray T. ↓, Ilenic M. ↑,
  • 77', Moralez M. ↓, O'Neill A. ↑,
  • 80', Martinez A. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
  • 90+4', Fernandez J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Privett A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Calderon Vargas K. A. ↓, Abada L. ↑,

Chances of winning


New York City
54.6%		Draw
24.5%		Charlotte
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 26.9% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 27.9% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York City's performance.
  • Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charlotte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    New York City - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.75 ↓
    (2.22)    		 4.17 ↑
    (3.5)    		 5.18 ↑
    (3.09)    		 0.3%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for New York City - Charlotte?
  • Users Predictions: New York City will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New York City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • NY City is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Charlotte is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • NY City might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in NY City: Cavallo N. (Leg Injury) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Toffolo H. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Callender D. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Charlotte were as follows:
    12.07.2025 Charlotte - New York City 2:0
    27.04.2024 New York City - Charlotte 2:1
    24.02.2024 Charlotte - New York City 1:0
    05.07.2023 New York City - Charlotte 1:1
    06.05.2023 Charlotte - New York City 3:2
    Latest results of New York City
    17.09.2025 New York City - Columbus Crew 3:2 ✺
    13.09.2025 Chicago Fire - New York City 1:3 ✺
    30.08.2025 New York City - DC United 1:2 ✺
    23.08.2025 Cincinnati - New York City 0:1 ✺
    17.08.2025 New York City - Nashville SC 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Charlotte
    13.09.2025 Charlotte - Inter Miami 3:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 New England Revolution - Charlotte 1:2 ✺
    24.08.2025 Charlotte - New York Red Bulls 1:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Charlotte - Real Salt Lake 1:0 ✺
    10.08.2025 Cincinnati - Charlotte 0:1 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 33189665:362963
    2San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 33178863:382559
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 331410956:47952
    6Austin FC331381236:43-747
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3310111250:54-441
    9Real Salt Lake331241736:47-1140
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy33691844:65-2127


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 33188776:532362
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City331411861:471453
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd335121637:62-2527
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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