Result
1:3
07/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MLS - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (352/431) | 81% (391/481) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 2.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (352/431) | 81% (391/481) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (21/47) | 30% (18/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (124/168) | 64% (73/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.38 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+2', 0 - 1, Mercau N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', 0 - 2, Martinez A. ⚽, Moralez M. (A),
- 61', Bronico B. ↓, Goodwin A. ↑,
- 67', Perea A. 🟨,
- 67', O'Neill A. 🟨,
- 75', Perea A. ↓, Raul Gustavo ↑,
- 78', Calderon Vargas K. A. ↓, Abada L. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Toklomati I. ⚽, Goodwin A. (A),
- 87', Goodwin A. 🟨,
- 90', Martinez A. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
- 90', Moralez M. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 90+2', Ream T. 🟨,
- 90+2', Mercau N. 🟨,
- 90+11', 1 - 3, Mercau N. ⚽, Wolf H. (A),
- 90+12', Mercau N. ↓, Tanasijevic S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Charlotte
36.1% | Draw
28.6% | New York City
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Charlotte - New York City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.48) |
3.3 ↓
(3.41) |
2.72 ↓
(2.76) |
4.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Charlotte - New York City?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). NY City will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): New York City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Series tied 1-1. 3rd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Charlotte: Biel P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in NY City: Carrizo M.
(International duty)
Jones M.
(Broken Leg)
Parks K.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in NY City: Carrizo M.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte won against New York City?
Charlotte has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Charlotte?
New York City has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte - New York City were as follows:
01.11.2025
New York City
-
Charlotte
0:1
28.10.2025
Charlotte
-
New York City
0:1
20.09.2025
New York City
-
Charlotte
2:0
12.07.2025
Charlotte
-
New York City
2:0
27.04.2024
New York City
-
Charlotte
2:1
Latest results of Charlotte
Latest results of New York City
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:0 | 14 | 16 |
| 2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 15 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:1 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | San Diego FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 8 |
| 10 | Houston Dynamo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Austin FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Portland Timbers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | New York City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 | Charlotte | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | DC United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
| 9 | New England Revolution | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 3 |
| 14 | Orlando City | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:23 | -18 | 3 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
