Charlton Athletic vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Valley (London).

Championship - Round 28
Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.89	1.72
Ball possession
61%	39%
Total shots
11	15
Shots on target
4	5
Big chances
2	4
Corner kicks
4	0
Passes
81% (379/469)	72% (215/300)
Yellow cards
0	4
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.89	1.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.64	0.60
Total shots
11	15
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
5	7
Blocked shots
2	3
Shots inside the box
7	10
Shots outside the box
4	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	4
Corner kicks
4	0
Touches in opposition box
23	19
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
14	12
Passes
81% (379/469)	72% (215/300)
Long passes
46% (27/59)	33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
59% (75/128)	61% (63/104)
Crosses
39% (7/18)	50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	0.98
Throw ins
15	20
Fouls
12	14
Tackles
40% (4/10)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
51	45
Clearances
33	48
Interceptions
10	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.60	0.64
Goals prevented
-0.40	-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Gillesphey M. (Own goal),
31', Clarke M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Leaburn M. ↓, Fullah I. ↑,
46', Jones L. ↓, Clarke H. ↑,
47', Agyemang P. 🟨,
59', Ozoh D. ↓, Travis L. ↑,
59', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
60', 0 - 2, Clark B. ⚽, Brereton Diaz B. (A),
67', 1 - 2, Campbell T. ⚽, Anderson K. (A),
72', Coventry C. ↓, Kelman C. ↑,
76', Clark B. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
76', Agyemang P. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
85', Clarke M. 🟨,
86', Anderson K. ↓, Berry L. ↑,
87', Burke R. ↓, Godden M. ↑,
89', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Elder C. ↑,
90+3', Travis L. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Charlton Athletic
36.3%

Draw
31.3%

Derby County
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Charlton Athletic - Derby County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.47)	3.02 ↓ (3.06)	2.93 ↓ (3.06)	5.5% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Charlton Athletic - Derby County?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Derby will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Charlton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Derby (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 18 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J. (Ankle Injury) Hernandez O. (Injury)
There will not play in Derby: Morris C. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Derby: Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Charlton Athletic won against Derby County?

Charlton Athletic has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Charlton Athletic?

Derby County has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Charlton Athletic - Derby County were as follows:

30.09.2025 Derby County - Charlton Athletic 1:1

27.02.2024 Derby County - Charlton Athletic 1:2

03.02.2024 Charlton Athletic - Derby County 0:1

18.02.2023 Derby County - Charlton Athletic 2:0

Latest results of Charlton Athletic

17.01.2026 Charlton Athletic - Sheffield United 1:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Charlton Athletic - Chelsea 1:5 ✺

04.01.2026 Blackburn Rovers - Charlton Athletic 2:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Charlton Athletic - Coventry City 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Portsmouth - Charlton Athletic 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Derby County

17.01.2026 Preston North End - Derby County 0:1 ✺

11.01.2026 Derby County - Leeds United 1:3 ✺

04.01.2026 Derby County - Wrexham 1:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Derby County - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Leicester City - Derby County 2:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	39	24	8	7	81:40	41	80
2	Middlesbrough	39	20	11	8	59:37	22	71
3	Ipswich	38	19	12	7	67:39	28	69
4	Millwall	39	20	9	10	53:44	9	69
5	Hull	39	20	6	13	62:57	5	66
6	Southampton	39	17	12	10	63:48	15	63
7	Wrexham	39	17	12	10	60:51	9	63
8	Derby	39	17	9	13	56:48	8	60
9	Watford	39	14	14	11	50:46	4	56
10	Norwich	39	16	6	17	52:46	6	54
11	Birmingham	39	14	11	14	48:49	-1	53
12	QPR	39	15	8	16	55:61	-6	53
13	Preston	39	13	13	13	45:49	-4	52
14	Swansea	39	15	7	17	44:49	-5	52
15	Stoke	39	14	9	16	46:43	3	51
16	Bristol City	39	14	9	16	49:50	-1	51
17	Sheffield Utd	39	15	5	19	54:54	0	50
18	Charlton	39	12	12	15	36:46	-10	48
19	Blackburn	39	11	10	18	36:49	-13	43
20	West Brom	39	11	10	18	40:54	-14	43
21	Portsmouth	38	10	10	18	37:54	-17	40
22	Leicester	39	11	12	16	51:60	-9	39
23	Oxford Utd	39	9	12	18	36:51	-15	39
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	39	1	9	29	24:79	-55	-6

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One