Result
1:2
20/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 28
- Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (379/469) | 72% (215/300) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (379/469) | 72% (215/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (27/59) | 33% (20/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (75/128) | 61% (63/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Gillesphey M. (Own goal),
- 31', Clarke M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Leaburn M. ↓, Fullah I. ↑,
- 46', Jones L. ↓, Clarke H. ↑,
- 47', Agyemang P. 🟨,
- 59', Ozoh D. ↓, Travis L. ↑,
- 59', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 2, Clark B. ⚽, Brereton Diaz B. (A),
- 67', 1 - 2, Campbell T. ⚽, Anderson K. (A),
- 72', Coventry C. ↓, Kelman C. ↑,
- 76', Clark B. ↓, Fraulo O. ↑,
- 76', Agyemang P. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
- 85', Clarke M. 🟨,
- 86', Anderson K. ↓, Berry L. ↑,
- 87', Burke R. ↓, Godden M. ↑,
- 89', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Elder C. ↑,
- 90+3', Travis L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Charlton Athletic 36.3% | Draw 31.3% | Derby County 32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Charlton Athletic - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.61 ↑ (2.47) |
3.02 ↓ (3.06) |
2.93 ↓ (3.06) |
5.5% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Charlton Athletic - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Derby will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Charlton (votes: 1 - 50%). Derby (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 18 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J.
(Ankle Injury)
Hernandez O.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Derby: Morris C.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Johnston M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charlton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Charlton Athletic won against Derby County?
Charlton Athletic has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Charlton Athletic?
Derby County has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charlton Athletic - Derby County were as follows:
30.09.2025
Derby County
-
Charlton Athletic
1:1
27.02.2024
Derby County
-
Charlton Athletic
1:2
03.02.2024
Charlton Athletic
-
Derby County
0:1
18.02.2023
Derby County
-
Charlton Athletic
2:0
Latest results of Charlton Athletic
Latest results of Derby County
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 61:31 | 30 | 58 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 52 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 47:24 | 23 | 50 |
| 4 | Hull | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Millwall | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 32:35 | -3 | 46 |
| 6 | Preston | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 36:29 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | Watford | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 38:32 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | Stoke | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 33:25 | 8 | 41 |
| 9 | Wrexham | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 40:35 | 5 | 41 |
| 10 | Derby | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 41 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:31 | 7 | 40 |
| 12 | QPR | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 40 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 38 |
| 14 | Leicester | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | Southampton | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 40:40 | 0 | 36 |
| 16 | Swansea | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 36:40 | -4 | 32 |
| 18 | Charlton | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 32 |
| 19 | West Brom | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 20 | Norwich | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 35:40 | -5 | 30 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 23:36 | -13 | 29 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 25:36 | -11 | 28 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:54 | -36 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One