Derby County vs Charlton Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Derby County - Charlton Athletic
Result
1:1
30/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 8
  • Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.900.68
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
78% (355/455)68% (206/303)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.900.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.77
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
1510
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3233
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
78% (355/455)68% (206/303)
Long passes
46% (36/78)27% (17/63)
Passes in final third
66% (71/107)57% (64/112)
Crosses
33% (10/30)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.580.57
Throw-ins
2926
Fouls
1110
Tackles
65% (11/17)72% (13/18)
Duels won
6461
Clearances
1842
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.771.29
Goals prevented
-0.230.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Bree J. , Docherty G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Adams E. , Ozoh D. ,
  • 57', Kelman C. , Leaburn M. ,
  • 57', Carey S. , Knibbs H. ,
  • 57', Bree J. , Burke R. ,
  • 65', Brereton Diaz B. 🟨,
  • 68', Brereton Diaz B. , Weimann A. ,
  • 68', Johnston M. , Ward J. ,
  • 71', Ozoh D. 🟨,
  • 77', Campbell T. , Olaofe T. ,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Clarke M. , Travis L. (A),
  • 84', Clark B. , Jackson K. ,
  • 88', Agyemang P. , Salvesen L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
31.1%
Draw
37.5%
Charlton Athletic
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 30.6% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 30% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.
  • Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Derby County - Charlton Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.54
    (2.47)
    2.74
    (3.1)
    3.53
    (3.05)
    -6.9%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Derby County - Charlton Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 17 - 50%). Charlton will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 33.2%66.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Charlton (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Derby (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Derby has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Derby: Beck O. (Lacking Match Fitness) Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Brewster R. (Injury) Langas S. (Knee Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Charlton: Godden M. (Calf Injury) Mannion W. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Charlton: Berry L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Derby won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Charlton Athletic were as follows:
    27.02.2024 Derby County - Charlton Athletic 1:2
    03.02.2024 Charlton Athletic - Derby County 0:1
    18.02.2023 Derby County - Charlton Athletic 2:0
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Charlton Athletic
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1174031:82325
    2Middlesbrough1173115:7824
    3Millwall1162313:13020
    4Bristol City1154219:11819
    5Charlton1153313:9418
    6Stoke1153312:8418
    7Hull1153319:19018
    8QPR1153315:16-118
    9Leicester1145215:11417
    10West Brom1152412:13-117
    11Preston1144312:10216
    12Watford1143413:13015
    13Birmingham1143411:14-315
    14Ipswich1034316:13313
    15Wrexham1134415:16-113
    16Swansea1134410:11-113
    17Portsmouth1134410:12-213
    18Southampton1126312:15-312
    19Derby1125412:16-411
    20Oxford Utd1123611:14-39
    21Sheffield Utd113087:17-109
    22Norwich1122711:16-58
    23Blackburn102178:16-87
    24Sheffield Wed111379:23-146

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          Relegation ~ League One