Result
2:1
26/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Vinicius Gomes ⚽, Mazie O. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Tamba M'Pinda R. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Piquionne L. ⚽,
- 62', Piquionne L. ↓, Konate A. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Konate A. ⚽, Zakouani H. (A),
- 69', Bagbema Z. ↓, Dali Amar B. ↑,
- 70', Hafid M. ↓, Gnanduillet A. ↑,
- 73', Ahmed A. 🟨,
- 80', Trinker T. ↓, Freitas R. ↑,
- 80', Zakouani H. ↓, Noc M. ↑,
- 84', Goncalves A. ↓, El Hriti A. ↑,
- 85', Debohi D. 🟨,
- 86', Labonne R. ↓, Noireau-Dauriat S. ↑,
- 90+7', Noc M. 🟨,
- 90+8', Botella I. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Châteauroux
45.5% | Draw
36.2% | Caen
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Châteauroux's performance.Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-17.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Châteauroux that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+25.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Châteauroux - Caen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↓
(3.31) |
3.5 ↑
(3.28) |
6.92 ↑
(2.15) |
-21%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Châteauroux - Caen?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Caen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Châteauroux won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Châteauroux won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Châteauroux won against Caen?
Châteauroux has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Châteauroux?
Caen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Châteauroux - Caen were as follows:
Latest results of Châteauroux
French National League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dijon | 21 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 35:14 | 21 | 42 |
| 2 | Rouen | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 30:15 | 15 | 41 |
| 3 | Sochaux | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 33:15 | 18 | 39 |
| 4 | Orleans | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 28:31 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 | Versailles | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 26:22 | 4 | 33 |
| 6 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 30:23 | 7 | 31 |
| 7 | Fleury-Merogis | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 25:16 | 9 | 31 |
| 8 | Aubagne | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 28 |
| 9 | Caen | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 26 |
| 10 | Concarneau | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | Villefranche | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 21:29 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Valenciennes | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 23 |
| 13 | Paris 13 Atl | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 23 |
| 14 | Chateauroux | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 15 | Quevilly Rouen | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17:28 | -11 | 17 |
| 16 | Bourg en Bresse | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 15:30 | -15 | 17 |
| 17 | Stade Briochin | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19:35 | -16 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 2
Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: )
Relegation
