Leixões vs Chaves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 16
  • Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
79
Corner Kicks
103
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
79
Shots off target
81
Corner Kicks
103
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
2313
Throw-ins
2719
Fouls
1121

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Naldo (Own goal),
  • 12', Bruno Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 31', Joao Teixeira 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Wellington Carvalho , Pereira H. ,
  • 58', Carraca , Tiago Almeida ,
  • 66', Kusso D. 🟨,
  • 67', Joao Teixeira , Ktatau ,
  • 68', Valente R. , Rochez B. ,
  • 68', Paulinho , Neto ,
  • 78', Werton , Paulite ,
  • 78', Serif N. , Araujo C. ,
  • 84', Milovanovic U. , Roberto ,
  • 85', Tounkara M. , Simoes T. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 88', Bica 🟨,
  • 89', Agra S. , Rafael Santos ,

Chances of winning


Leixões
29.5%
Draw
30.5%
Chaves
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 29.5% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 27.5% 38%

Leixões - Chaves Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.21
(3.11)
3.06
(3.13)
2.34
(2.26)
6.6%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leixões - Chaves?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chaves (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Chaves will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 0.
    • Leixões has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chaves has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Chaves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Chaves could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Chaves were as follows:
    30.07.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:1
    25.01.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:0
    18.08.2024 Chaves - Leixões 0:0
    31.07.2024 Chaves - Leixões 3:3
    Latest results of Leixões
    09.11.2025 Leixões - Torreense 1:0
    25.10.2025 Leiria - Leixões 1:3
    19.10.2025 Amarante - Leixões 1:2
    Latest results of Chaves
    08.11.2025 Chaves - Porto B 0:1
    03.11.2025 Leiria - Chaves 2:1
    17.10.2025 Chaves - Benfica 0:2
    04.10.2025 Chaves - Vizela 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo21125433:161741
    2Academico Viseu21105636:241235
    3Sporting CP B21112833:181535
    4Torreense21102927:24332
    5Lusitania FC2187631:33-231
    6FC Porto B2193925:29-430
    7Vizela2178625:22329
    8Feirense2177727:26128
    9Leiria2077627:27028
    10Felgueiras2176822:26-427
    11Benfica B2169628:27127
    12Chaves2176823:20327
    13Oliveirense2167823:25-225
    14Leixoes21741023:37-1425
    15Portimonense2166922:29-724
    16SC Farense2166919:26-724
    17Penafiel21651018:22-423
    18Pacos Ferreira2057820:31-1122

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