Leixões vs Chaves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 16
  • Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
79
Corner Kicks
103
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
79
Shots off target
81
Corner Kicks
103
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
2313
Throw-ins
2719
Fouls
1121

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Naldo (Own goal),
  • 12', Bruno Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 31', Joao Teixeira 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Wellington Carvalho , Pereira H. ,
  • 58', Carraca , Tiago Almeida ,
  • 66', Kusso D. 🟨,
  • 67', Joao Teixeira , Ktatau ,
  • 68', Valente R. , Rochez B. ,
  • 68', Paulinho , Neto ,
  • 78', Werton , Paulite ,
  • 78', Serif N. , Araujo C. ,
  • 84', Milovanovic U. , Roberto ,
  • 85', Tounkara M. , Simoes T. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 88', Bica 🟨,
  • 89', Agra S. , Rafael Santos ,

Chances of winning


Leixões
29.5%
Draw
30.5%
Chaves
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 29.5% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 27.5% 38%

Leixões - Chaves Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.21
(3.11)
3.06
(3.13)
2.34
(2.26)
6.6%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leixões - Chaves?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chaves (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Chaves will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 0.
    • Leixões has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chaves has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Chaves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Chaves could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Chaves were as follows:
    30.07.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:1
    25.01.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:0
    18.08.2024 Chaves - Leixões 0:0
    31.07.2024 Chaves - Leixões 3:3
    Latest results of Leixões
    09.11.2025 Leixões - Torreense 1:0
    25.10.2025 Leiria - Leixões 1:3
    19.10.2025 Amarante - Leixões 1:2
    Latest results of Chaves
    08.11.2025 Chaves - Porto B 0:1
    03.11.2025 Leiria - Chaves 2:1
    17.10.2025 Chaves - Benfica 0:2
    04.10.2025 Chaves - Vizela 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo1492319:91029
    2Sporting CP B1392224:71729
    3Chaves1465316:9723
    4Academico Viseu1364325:16922
    5Vizela1255218:12620
    6Torreense1362517:15220
    7Leiria1355316:14220
    8Lusitania FC1345417:21-417
    9Penafiel1444614:15-116
    10SC Farense1244413:16-316
    11Oliveirense1336412:14-215
    12Benfica B1335520:21-114
    13FC Porto B1342713:20-714
    14Feirense1335513:14-114
    15Leixoes1441915:29-1413
    16Felgueiras1334613:20-713
    17Pacos Ferreira1326514:18-412
    18Portimonense1333715:24-912

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