Leixões vs Chaves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 16
  • Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
79
Corner Kicks
103
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
79
Shots off target
81
Corner Kicks
103
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
2313
Throw-ins
2719
Fouls
1121

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Naldo (Own goal),
  • 12', Bruno Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 31', Joao Teixeira 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Wellington Carvalho , Pereira H. ,
  • 58', Carraca , Tiago Almeida ,
  • 66', Kusso D. 🟨,
  • 67', Joao Teixeira , Ktatau ,
  • 68', Valente R. , Rochez B. ,
  • 68', Paulinho , Neto ,
  • 78', Werton , Paulite ,
  • 78', Serif N. , Araujo C. ,
  • 84', Milovanovic U. , Roberto ,
  • 85', Tounkara M. , Simoes T. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 88', Bica 🟨,
  • 89', Agra S. , Rafael Santos ,

Chances of winning


Leixões
29.5%
Draw
30.5%
Chaves
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 29.5% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 27.5% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Leixões - Chaves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.21
    (3.11)
    3.06
    (3.13)
    2.34
    (2.26)
    6.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leixões - Chaves?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chaves (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Chaves will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 0.
    • Leixões has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chaves has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Chaves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Chaves could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Chaves were as follows:
    30.07.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:1
    25.01.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:0
    18.08.2024 Chaves - Leixões 0:0
    31.07.2024 Chaves - Leixões 3:3
    Latest results of Leixões
    09.11.2025 Leixões - Torreense 1:0
    25.10.2025 Leiria - Leixões 1:3
    19.10.2025 Amarante - Leixões 1:2
    Latest results of Chaves
    08.11.2025 Chaves - Porto B 0:1
    03.11.2025 Leiria - Chaves 2:1
    17.10.2025 Chaves - Benfica 0:2
    04.10.2025 Chaves - Vizela 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo29186544:212360
    2Academico Viseu29155953:332050
    3Torreense291441136:30646
    4Leiria291210745:36946
    5Vizela29128937:34344
    6Benfica B291011841:35641
    7Sporting CP B291321441:301141
    8FC Porto B281251136:35141
    9Feirense291181032:32041
    10Chaves291161231:29239
    11Lusitania FC281081037:44-738
    12Leixoes291151335:50-1538
    13Penafiel29981228:30-235
    14Felgueiras298101125:34-934
    15SC Farense29881325:35-1032
    16Pacos Ferreira297111126:39-1332
    17Portimonense29861531:42-1130
    18Oliveirense29691427:41-1427

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