Leixões vs Chaves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 16
  • Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
79
Corner Kicks
103
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
79
Shots off target
81
Corner Kicks
103
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
2313
Throw-ins
2719
Fouls
1121

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Naldo (Own goal),
  • 12', Bruno Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 31', Joao Teixeira 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Wellington Carvalho , Pereira H. ,
  • 58', Carraca , Tiago Almeida ,
  • 66', Kusso D. 🟨,
  • 67', Joao Teixeira , Ktatau ,
  • 68', Valente R. , Rochez B. ,
  • 68', Paulinho , Neto ,
  • 78', Werton , Paulite ,
  • 78', Serif N. , Araujo C. ,
  • 84', Milovanovic U. , Roberto ,
  • 85', Tounkara M. , Simoes T. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 88', Bica 🟨,
  • 89', Agra S. , Rafael Santos ,

Chances of winning


Leixões
29.5%
Draw
30.5%
Chaves
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 29.5% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 27.5% 38%

Leixões - Chaves Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.21
(3.11)
3.06
(3.13)
2.34
(2.26)
6.6%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leixões - Chaves?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chaves (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Chaves will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 0.
    • Leixões has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chaves has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Chaves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Chaves could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Chaves were as follows:
    30.07.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:1
    25.01.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:0
    18.08.2024 Chaves - Leixões 0:0
    31.07.2024 Chaves - Leixões 3:3
    Latest results of Leixões
    09.11.2025 Leixões - Torreense 1:0
    25.10.2025 Leiria - Leixões 1:3
    19.10.2025 Amarante - Leixões 1:2
    Latest results of Chaves
    08.11.2025 Chaves - Porto B 0:1
    03.11.2025 Leiria - Chaves 2:1
    17.10.2025 Chaves - Benfica 0:2
    04.10.2025 Chaves - Vizela 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo16103324:111333
    2Sporting CP B1592424:91529
    3Academico Viseu1675429:181126
    4Chaves1675419:12726
    5Vizela1566319:14524
    6Leiria1565419:17223
    7Benfica B1656524:23121
    8Torreense1562719:19020
    9SC Farense1655615:20-520
    10Lusitania FC1555522:23-120
    11Penafiel1654715:16-119
    12Felgueiras1554618:22-419
    13Oliveirense1546515:17-218
    14Feirense1545616:17-117
    15FC Porto B1552814:22-817
    16Pacos Ferreira1637616:23-716
    17Leixoes16511018:34-1616
    18Portimonense1543817:26-915

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