Leixões vs Chaves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 16
  • Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
79
Corner Kicks
103
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
79
Shots off target
81
Corner Kicks
103
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
2313
Throw-ins
2719
Fouls
1121

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Naldo (Own goal),
  • 12', Bruno Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 31', Joao Teixeira 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Wellington Carvalho , Pereira H. ,
  • 58', Carraca , Tiago Almeida ,
  • 66', Kusso D. 🟨,
  • 67', Joao Teixeira , Ktatau ,
  • 68', Valente R. , Rochez B. ,
  • 68', Paulinho , Neto ,
  • 78', Werton , Paulite ,
  • 78', Serif N. , Araujo C. ,
  • 84', Milovanovic U. , Roberto ,
  • 85', Tounkara M. , Simoes T. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 88', Bica 🟨,
  • 89', Agra S. , Rafael Santos ,

Chances of winning


Leixões
29.5%
Draw
30.5%
Chaves
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 29.5% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 27.5% 38%

Leixões - Chaves Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.21
(3.11)
3.06
(3.13)
2.34
(2.26)
6.6%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leixões - Chaves?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chaves (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Chaves will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 0.
    • Leixões has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chaves has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Chaves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Chaves could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Chaves were as follows:
    30.07.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:1
    25.01.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:0
    18.08.2024 Chaves - Leixões 0:0
    31.07.2024 Chaves - Leixões 3:3
    Latest results of Leixões
    09.11.2025 Leixões - Torreense 1:0
    25.10.2025 Leiria - Leixões 1:3
    19.10.2025 Amarante - Leixões 1:2
    Latest results of Chaves
    08.11.2025 Chaves - Porto B 0:1
    03.11.2025 Leiria - Chaves 2:1
    17.10.2025 Chaves - Benfica 0:2
    04.10.2025 Chaves - Vizela 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo18123331:131839
    2Academico Viseu1895433:191432
    3Sporting CP B1892727:151229
    4Vizela1877424:17728
    5Chaves1875621:16526
    6Torreense1882822:21126
    7Benfica B1867526:24225
    8Leiria1867523:23025
    9Lusitania FC1866625:29-424
    10Feirense1866624:23124
    11Felgueiras1865719:23-423
    12Portimonense1864820:26-622
    13SC Farense1856715:21-621
    14FC Porto B1863918:26-821
    15Leixoes18621021:36-1520
    16Pacos Ferreira1847718:27-919
    17Oliveirense1847718:22-419
    18Penafiel1854916:20-419

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