Tondela vs Chaves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32
  • Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
114
Corner Kicks
71
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
227
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
113
Corner Kicks
71
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1117
Throw-ins
2432
Fouls
1211
Goalkeeper Saves
39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Pinto L. 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Miro , Costinha (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Pina R. (Pen),
  • 61', Soro A. , Gomes R. ,
  • 65', Fernandes V. 🟨,
  • 66', Pinto L. 🟨,
  • 72', Wilson R. , Platiny ,
  • 75', Platiny 🟨,
  • 77', Ramos R. , Roberto ,
  • 79', Ktatau 🟨,
  • 82', Tiago Almeida , Carraca ,
  • 82', Ktatau , Pedro Tiba ,
  • 83', Pina R. , Wellington Carvalho ,
  • 83', Bebeto , Cunha N. ,
  • 83', Maviram E. , Moudjatovic M. ,
  • 84', Costinha , Xavier ,
  • 88', Manso T. , Pedro Maranhao ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Moudjatovic M. , Miro (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tondela
43%
Draw
29.9%
Chaves
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 27% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 26.6% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tondela's form might have worsened.
  • Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chaves's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tondela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chaves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tondela - Chaves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.79)
    3.14
    (3.45)
    3.37
    (4.39)
    7.2%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Tondela - Chaves?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 2.
    • Tondela is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chaves's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tondela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tondela might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Chaves were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Chaves - Tondela 2:2
    Latest results of Tondela
    27.04.2025 Portimonense - Tondela 2:2
    20.04.2025 Tondela - Vizela 0:1
    05.04.2025 Tondela - Feirense 2:1
    29.03.2025 Oliveirense - Tondela 1:3
    Latest results of Chaves
    29.04.2025 Chaves - Alverca 0:2
    19.04.2025 Porto B - Chaves 1:2
    12.04.2025 Chaves - Portimonense 2:0
    05.04.2025 Chaves - Vizela 1:2
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo27175543:212256
    2Academico Viseu27155750:282250
    3Torreense271431035:27845
    4Vizela27128736:31544
    5Leiria26118741:34741
    6Sporting CP B271321239:261341
    7FC Porto B271151133:35-238
    8Lusitania FC271071037:44-737
    9Benfica B27910837:32537
    10Chaves271061129:26336
    11Feirense27981030:32-235
    12Leixoes271041332:49-1734
    13Felgueiras27791124:34-1030
    14Pacos Ferreira26791026:37-1130
    15Penafiel27781222:26-429
    16SC Farense27781223:33-1029
    17Portimonense27761429:40-1127
    18Oliveirense27691226:37-1127

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