Tondela vs Chaves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Tondela - Chaves
Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32
  • Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
114
Corner Kicks
71
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
227
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
113
Corner Kicks
71
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1117
Throw-ins
2432
Fouls
1211
Goalkeeper Saves
39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Pinto L. 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Miro , Costinha (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Pina R. (Pen),
  • 61', Soro A. , Gomes R. ,
  • 65', Fernandes V. 🟨,
  • 66', Pinto L. 🟨,
  • 72', Wilson R. , Platiny ,
  • 75', Platiny 🟨,
  • 77', Ramos R. , Roberto ,
  • 79', Ktatau 🟨,
  • 82', Tiago Almeida , Carraca ,
  • 82', Ktatau , Pedro Tiba ,
  • 83', Pina R. , Wellington Carvalho ,
  • 83', Bebeto , Cunha N. ,
  • 83', Maviram E. , Moudjatovic M. ,
  • 84', Costinha , Xavier ,
  • 88', Manso T. , Pedro Maranhao ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Moudjatovic M. , Miro (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tondela
43%
Draw
29.9%
Chaves
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 27% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 26.6% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tondela's form might have worsened.
  • Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chaves's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tondela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chaves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tondela - Chaves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.79)
    3.14
    (3.45)
    3.37
    (4.39)
    7.2%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Tondela - Chaves?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 2.
    • Tondela is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chaves's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tondela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tondela might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Chaves were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Chaves - Tondela 2:2
    Latest results of Tondela
    27.04.2025 Portimonense - Tondela 2:2
    20.04.2025 Tondela - Vizela 0:1
    05.04.2025 Tondela - Feirense 2:1
    29.03.2025 Oliveirense - Tondela 1:3
    Latest results of Chaves
    29.04.2025 Chaves - Alverca 0:2
    19.04.2025 Porto B - Chaves 1:2
    12.04.2025 Chaves - Portimonense 2:0
    05.04.2025 Chaves - Vizela 1:2
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela32107:257
    2Sporting CP B22002:026
    3Leixoes21104:134
    4Feirense21104:134
    5Lusitania FC21103:214
    6Leiria31113:304
    7Portimonense31114:6-24
    8Torreense21013:123
    9Maritimo21011:103
    10Chaves30304:403
    11Benfica B20202:202
    12Oliveirense20201:102
    13Pacos Ferreira30211:2-12
    14Academico Viseu20112:3-11
    15Penafiel20111:2-11
    16SC Farense20111:4-31
    17Felgueiras30121:5-41
    18FC Porto B20110:4-41

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3