Tondela vs Chaves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Tondela - Chaves
Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32
  • Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
114
Corner Kicks
71
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
227
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
113
Corner Kicks
71
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1117
Throw-ins
2432
Fouls
1211
Goalkeeper Saves
39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Pinto L. 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Miro , Costinha (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Pina R. (Pen),
  • 61', Soro A. , Gomes R. ,
  • 65', Fernandes V. 🟨,
  • 66', Pinto L. 🟨,
  • 72', Wilson R. , Platiny ,
  • 75', Platiny 🟨,
  • 77', Ramos R. , Roberto ,
  • 79', Ktatau 🟨,
  • 82', Tiago Almeida , Carraca ,
  • 82', Ktatau , Pedro Tiba ,
  • 83', Pina R. , Wellington Carvalho ,
  • 83', Bebeto , Cunha N. ,
  • 83', Maviram E. , Moudjatovic M. ,
  • 84', Costinha , Xavier ,
  • 88', Manso T. , Pedro Maranhao ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Moudjatovic M. , Miro (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tondela
43%
Draw
29.9%
Chaves
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 27% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 26.6% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tondela's form might have worsened.
  • Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chaves's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tondela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chaves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tondela - Chaves Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.79)
    3.14
    (3.45)
    3.37
    (4.39)
    7.2%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Tondela - Chaves?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 2.
    • Tondela is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chaves's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tondela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tondela might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Chaves were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Chaves - Tondela 2:2
    Latest results of Tondela
    27.04.2025 Portimonense - Tondela 2:2
    20.04.2025 Tondela - Vizela 0:1
    05.04.2025 Tondela - Feirense 2:1
    29.03.2025 Oliveirense - Tondela 1:3
    Latest results of Chaves
    29.04.2025 Chaves - Alverca 0:2
    19.04.2025 Porto B - Chaves 1:2
    12.04.2025 Chaves - Portimonense 2:0
    05.04.2025 Chaves - Vizela 1:2
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela642011:3814
    2Maritimo64116:2413
    3Sporting CP B64027:3412
    4Chaves62409:5410
    5Leiria53116:4210
    6Portimonense631210:11-110
    7Lusitania FC62317:709
    8Feirense62228:538
    9Torreense62228:628
    10SC Farense62135:8-37
    11Leixoes62137:9-27
    12Felgueiras62136:9-37
    13Oliveirense51314:406
    14Academico Viseu61239:10-15
    15Penafiel61235:7-25
    16Benfica B60428:10-24
    17Pacos Ferreira60423:7-44
    18FC Porto B60243:12-92

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          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3