Chaves vs Portimonense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
20/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 15
  • Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
45
Total shots
115
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
92
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1821
Throw-ins
2625
Fouls
1817

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Mateus Sarara 🟨,
  • 30', Xavier 🟨,
  • 33', Wellington Carvalho 🟨,
  • 39', Cagro W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 1, Abel A. ,
  • 53', Kusso D. 🟨,
  • 60', Wellington Carvalho , Esajas R. ,
  • 60', Muscat Z. , Carraca ,
  • 63', Welinton Junior , Monteiro T. ,
  • 66', Bruno Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 71', Mateus Sarara , Ze Gabriel ,
  • 71', Lobato S. , Dauda M. ,
  • 79', Pinho P. 🟨,
  • 80', Kusso D. , Milovanovic U. ,
  • 80', Pinho P. , Ktatau ,
  • 86', Dauda M. , Neves S. ,
  • 87', Bruno Rodrigues , Pina R. ,
  • 90+4', Monteiro T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Cibois S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chaves
57.3%
Draw
24.8%
Portimonense
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 25.1% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 23.8% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Chaves - Portimonense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.72)
    3.8
    (3.69)
    5.17
    (4.45)
    7.2%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Chaves - Portimonense?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chaves (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Chaves will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 3.
    • Chaves is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Portimonense has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Portimonense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Chaves is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Chaves will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chaves won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chaves - Portimonense were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Chaves - Portimonense 2:0
    30.11.2024 Portimonense - Chaves 1:2
    07.04.2024 Chaves - Portimonense 2:3
    11.11.2023 Portimonense - Chaves 2:1
    11.03.2023 Chaves - Portimonense 2:0
    Latest results of Chaves
    12.12.2025 Oliveirense - Chaves 2:3
    30.11.2025 Torreense - Chaves 0:2
    23.11.2025 Chaves - Sporting Lisbon B 0:0
    16.11.2025 Leixões - Chaves 0:1
    Latest results of Portimonense
    14.12.2025 Portimonense - Leixões 1:2
    07.12.2025 Lusitânia - Portimonense 3:2
    30.11.2025 Portimonense - Marítimo 0:2
    23.11.2025 Porto B - Portimonense 1:0
    08.11.2025 Portimonense - Oliveirense 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo29186544:212360
    2Academico Viseu29155953:332050
    3Torreense291441136:30646
    4Leiria291210745:36946
    5Vizela29128937:34344
    6FC Porto B291261137:36142
    7Benfica B291011841:35641
    8Sporting CP B291321441:301141
    9Feirense291181032:32041
    10Chaves291161231:29239
    11Lusitania FC291091038:45-739
    12Leixoes291151335:50-1538
    13Penafiel29981228:30-235
    14Felgueiras298101125:34-934
    15SC Farense29881325:35-1032
    16Pacos Ferreira297111126:39-1332
    17Portimonense29861531:42-1130
    18Oliveirense29691427:41-1427

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3