Wrexham vs Chelsea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4 ET
07/03/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Sporty TV App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaSportsnet+
chinaChinaMigu
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia, Discovery+
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV4
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandPPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Sport, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.801.61
Ball possession
32%68%
Total shots
1921
Shots on target
57
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
94
Passes
79% (359/456)91% (919/1008)
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.801.61
xG on target (xGOT)
1.471.78
Total shots
1921
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
68
Blocked shots
86
Shots inside the box
1214
Shots outside the box
77
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2743
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free kicks
611
Passes
79% (359/456)91% (919/1008)
Long passes
37% (26/70)44% (22/50)
Passes in final third
64% (68/107)81% (214/265)
Crosses
15% (4/26)14% (4/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.29
Throw ins
2330
Fouls
116
Tackles
54% (15/28)36% (4/11)
Duels won
5444
Clearances
3430
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
1.781.47
Goals prevented
-1.22-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Smith S. , Doyle C. (A),
  • 23', Lavia R. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Okonkwo A. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Sarr M. , Guiu M. ,
  • 65', Hato J. , Cucurella M. ,
  • 65', Lavia R. , Essugo D. ,
  • 66', Smith S. , Moore K. ,
  • 66', Rathbone O. , Windass J. ,
  • 76', Vyner Z. , Broadhead N. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Doyle C. , Windass J. (A),
  • 82', 2 - 2, Acheampong J. ,
  • 85', Delap L. , Joao Pedro ,
  • 85', Acheampong J. , Gusto M. ,
  • 90+3', Dobson G. 🟥,
  • Extra Time (0 - 2)
  • 96', 2 - 3, Garnacho A. , Essugo D. (A),
  • 100', Neto P. , Derry J. ,
  • 101', Thomason G. 🟨,
  • 106', Doyle C. , Brunt L. ,
  • 110', Andrey Santos 🟨,
  • 112', Cleworth M. , Keillor-Dunn D. ,
  • 120', Moore K. 🟨,
  • 120', Garnacho A. 🟨,
  • 120+5', 2 - 4, Joao Pedro , Essugo D. (A),

Chances of winning


Wrexham
17.5%
Draw
21.9%
Chelsea
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.8% 19.4% 65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6% 21.1% 71.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelsea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelsea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Wrexham - Chelsea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.51
    (6.35)
    4.39
    (4.83)
    1.57
    (1.42)
    4.8%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Wrexham - Chelsea?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 13 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 100%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1.5 - Wrexham (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Chelsea (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • TQ, OT - Chelsea (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Wrexham (5.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chelsea will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 2 - 25%). Chelsea (votes: 6 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wrexham has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Chelsea has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Wrexham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Chelsea is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L. (Thigh Injury) Cacace L. (Injury) James A. (Injury) James M. (Inactive) O'Connor T. (Injury) Sheaf B. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Essugo D. (Injury) Estêvão (Muscle Injury) Gittens J. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Chelsea: Fofana W. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Chelsea were as follows:
    24.07.2024 Chelsea - Wrexham 2:2
    19.07.2023 Chelsea - Wrexham 5:0
    Latest results of Wrexham
    24.02.2026 Wrexham - Portsmouth 2:1
    21.02.2026 Wrexham - Ipswich Town 5:3
    17.02.2026 Bristol City - Wrexham 2:2
    13.02.2026 Wrexham - Ipswich Town 1:0
    Latest results of Chelsea
    04.03.2026 Aston Villa - Chelsea 1:4
    01.03.2026 Arsenal - Chelsea 2:1
    21.02.2026 Chelsea - Burnley 1:1
    13.02.2026 Hull City - Chelsea 0:4
    10.02.2026 Chelsea - Leeds United 2:2
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1StokeBye
    4ByeCoventry
    5FulhamBye
    8ByeMiddlesbrough
    9StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    10CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    12ByeSouthampton
    13CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    14BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    16ByeLeicester
    17BurnleyBye
    20ByeMillwall
    21Sheffield UtdBye
    23GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    24MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    25PortsmouthBye
    28ByeArsenal
    29PrestonBye
    31WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    32SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2
    33WrexhamBye
    36ByeNottingham
    37IpswichBye
    39BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    40ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    41HullBye
    44ByeBlackburn
    45CharltonBye
    48ByeChelsea
    49Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    50BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    51FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    52LutonForest Green4 : 3
    53Bristol CityBye
    56ByeWatford
    57ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    58OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    60ByeOxford Utd
    61EvertonBye
    64ByeSunderland
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    98NewportGillingham3 : 2
    99Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    100BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    101West HamBye
    104ByeQPR
    105SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    106MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    108ByeCrystal Palace
    109Sheffield WedBye
    112ByeBrentford
    113TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    114Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    116ByeBirmingham
    117DerbyBye
    120ByeLeeds
    121NorwichBye
    123AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    124EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    125SwanseaBye
    128ByeWest Brom

    1/64-finals
    1StokeBye
    2ByeCoventry
    3FulhamBye
    4ByeMiddlesbrough
    5ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    6ByeSouthampton
    7CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    8ByeLeicester
    9BurnleyBye
    10ByeMillwall
    11Sheffield UtdBye
    12AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    13PortsmouthBye
    14ByeArsenal
    15PrestonBye
    16WiganBarrow3 : 2
    17WrexhamBye
    18ByeNottingham
    19IpswichBye
    20BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    21HullBye
    22ByeBlackburn
    23CharltonBye
    24ByeChelsea
    25Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    26FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    27Bristol CityBye
    28ByeWatford
    29MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    30ByeOxford Utd
    31EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    50Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    51West HamBye
    52ByeQPR
    53SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    54ByeCrystal Palace
    55Sheffield WedBye
    56ByeBrentford
    57Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    58ByeBirmingham
    59DerbyBye
    60ByeLeeds
    61NorwichBye
    62GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    63SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom

    1/32-finals
    1StokeCoventry1 : 0
    2FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    3DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    4CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    5BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    6Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    7PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    8PrestonWigan0 : 1
    9WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    10IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    11HullBlackburn1 : 0
    12CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    13Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    14Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    15MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    16EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    26West HamQPR2 : 1
    27MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    28Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    29Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    30DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    31NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    32SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1StokeFulham1 : 2
    2SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    3BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    4ArsenalWigan4 : 0
    5WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    6HullChelsea0 : 4
    7Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    8Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    14MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    15BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    16NorwichWest Brom3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    2MansfieldArsenal1 : 2
    3WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    4Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7West HamBrentford3 : 2
    8LeedsNorwich3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1SouthamptonArsenal
    2ChelseaPort Vale
    3Manchester CityLiverpool
    4West HamLeeds