Wrexham vs Chelsea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4 ET
07/03/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Sporty TV App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaSportsnet+
chinaChinaMigu
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia, Discovery+
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV4
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandPPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Sport, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.801.61
Ball possession
32%68%
Total shots
1921
Shots on target
57
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
94
Passes
79% (359/456)91% (919/1008)
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.801.61
xG on target (xGOT)
1.471.78
Total shots
1921
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
68
Blocked shots
86
Shots inside the box
1214
Shots outside the box
77
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2743
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free kicks
611
Passes
79% (359/456)91% (919/1008)
Long passes
37% (26/70)44% (22/50)
Passes in final third
64% (68/107)81% (214/265)
Crosses
15% (4/26)14% (4/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.29
Throw ins
2330
Fouls
116
Tackles
54% (15/28)36% (4/11)
Duels won
5444
Clearances
3430
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
1.781.47
Goals prevented
-1.22-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Smith S. , Doyle C. (A),
  • 23', Lavia R. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Okonkwo A. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Sarr M. , Guiu M. ,
  • 65', Hato J. , Cucurella M. ,
  • 65', Lavia R. , Essugo D. ,
  • 66', Smith S. , Moore K. ,
  • 66', Rathbone O. , Windass J. ,
  • 76', Vyner Z. , Broadhead N. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Doyle C. , Windass J. (A),
  • 82', 2 - 2, Acheampong J. ,
  • 85', Delap L. , Joao Pedro ,
  • 85', Acheampong J. , Gusto M. ,
  • 90+3', Dobson G. 🟥,
  • Extra Time (0 - 2)
  • 96', 2 - 3, Garnacho A. , Essugo D. (A),
  • 100', Neto P. , Derry J. ,
  • 101', Thomason G. 🟨,
  • 106', Doyle C. , Brunt L. ,
  • 110', Andrey Santos 🟨,
  • 112', Cleworth M. , Keillor-Dunn D. ,
  • 120', Moore K. 🟨,
  • 120', Garnacho A. 🟨,
  • 120+5', 2 - 4, Joao Pedro , Essugo D. (A),

Chances of winning


Wrexham
17.5%
Draw
21.9%
Chelsea
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.8% 19.4% 65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6% 21.1% 71.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelsea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelsea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Wrexham - Chelsea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.51
    (6.35)
    4.39
    (4.83)
    1.57
    (1.42)
    4.8%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Wrexham - Chelsea?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 13 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 100%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1.5 - Wrexham (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Chelsea (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • TQ, OT - Chelsea (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Wrexham (5.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 2 - 25%). Chelsea (votes: 6 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wrexham has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Chelsea has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Wrexham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Chelsea is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L. (Thigh Injury) Cacace L. (Injury) James A. (Injury) James M. (Inactive) O'Connor T. (Injury) Sheaf B. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Essugo D. (Injury) Estêvão (Muscle Injury) Gittens J. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Chelsea: Fofana W. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Chelsea were as follows:
    24.07.2024 Chelsea - Wrexham 2:2
    19.07.2023 Chelsea - Wrexham 5:0
    Latest results of Wrexham
    24.02.2026 Wrexham - Portsmouth 2:1
    21.02.2026 Wrexham - Ipswich Town 5:3
    17.02.2026 Bristol City - Wrexham 2:2
    13.02.2026 Wrexham - Ipswich Town 1:0
    Latest results of Chelsea
    04.03.2026 Aston Villa - Chelsea 1:4
    01.03.2026 Arsenal - Chelsea 2:1
    21.02.2026 Chelsea - Burnley 1:1
    13.02.2026 Hull City - Chelsea 0:4
    10.02.2026 Chelsea - Leeds United 2:2
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    4ByeNottingham
    5IpswichBye
    7BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    8ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    9HullBye
    12ByeBlackburn
    13CharltonBye
    16ByeChelsea
    17Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    18BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    19FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    20LutonForest Green4 : 3
    21Bristol CityBye
    24ByeWatford
    25ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    26OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    28ByeOxford Utd
    29EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    34NewportGillingham3 : 2
    35Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    36BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    37West HamBye
    40ByeQPR
    41SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    42MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    44ByeCrystal Palace
    45Sheffield WedBye
    48ByeBrentford
    49TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    50Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    52ByeBirmingham
    53DerbyBye
    56ByeLeeds
    57NorwichBye
    59AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    60EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    61SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97StokeBye
    100ByeCoventry
    101FulhamBye
    104ByeMiddlesbrough
    105StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    106CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    108ByeSouthampton
    109CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    110BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    112ByeLeicester
    113BurnleyBye
    116ByeMillwall
    117Sheffield UtdBye
    119GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    120MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    121PortsmouthBye
    124ByeArsenal
    125PrestonBye
    127WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    128SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    2ByeNottingham
    3IpswichBye
    4BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    5HullBye
    6ByeBlackburn
    7CharltonBye
    8ByeChelsea
    9Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    10FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    11Bristol CityBye
    12ByeWatford
    13MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    14ByeOxford Utd
    15EvertonBye
    16ByeSunderland
    17Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    18Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    19West HamBye
    20ByeQPR
    21SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    22ByeCrystal Palace
    23Sheffield WedBye
    24ByeBrentford
    25Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    26ByeBirmingham
    27DerbyBye
    28ByeLeeds
    29NorwichBye
    30GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    31SwanseaBye
    32ByeWest Brom
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49StokeBye
    50ByeCoventry
    51FulhamBye
    52ByeMiddlesbrough
    53ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    54ByeSouthampton
    55CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    56ByeLeicester
    57BurnleyBye
    58ByeMillwall
    59Sheffield UtdBye
    60AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    61PortsmouthBye
    62ByeArsenal
    63PrestonBye
    64WiganBarrow3 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    2IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    3HullBlackburn1 : 0
    4CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    5Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    6Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    7MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    8EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    9Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    10West HamQPR2 : 1
    11MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    12Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    13Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    14DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    15NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    16SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25StokeCoventry1 : 0
    26FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    27DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    28CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    29BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    30Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    31PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    32PrestonWigan0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    2HullChelsea0 : 4
    3Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    4Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    5BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    6MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    7BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    8NorwichWest Brom3 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13StokeFulham1 : 2
    14SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    15BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    16ArsenalWigan4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    2Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    3West HamBrentford3 : 2
    4LeedsNorwich3 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    8MansfieldArsenal1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ChelseaPort Vale7 : 0
    2West HamLeeds2 : 3
    3Manchester CityLiverpool4 : 0
    4SouthamptonArsenal2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ChelseaLeeds
    2Manchester CitySouthampton