Result
2:3
10/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 42
- Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Ultra |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 2.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (185/296) | 56% (111/200) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 2.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (185/296) | 56% (111/200) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (23/79) | 29% (18/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 38% (35/91) | 51% (53/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 26% (7/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (13/24) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 83 | 71 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 52 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.17 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Miller G. ⚽, Jude-Boyd A. (A),
- 33', Haynes R. (Pen),
- 34', Williams Z. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Hemmings K. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Lowery T. ↓, Lunt O. ↑,
- 70', Haynes R. ↓, Adedokun V. ↑,
- 70', Bogle O. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
- 70', Powell J. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
- 73', Bennett S. 🟨,
- 76', Bennett S. ↓, Dulson L. ↑,
- 76', Miller G. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 2, Thomas J. ⚽, Adedokun V. (A),
- 86', 1 - 3, Dulson L. ⚽, Jude-Boyd A. (A),
- 88', Thomas J. ↓, Bakare I. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 3, Agius C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra
56% | Draw
25.5% | Cheltenham Town
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crewe Alexandra's performance.Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-14.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cheltenham Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.88) |
3.7 ↑
(3.46) |
5.05 ↑
(4.02) |
6.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 16).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2.
- Recent matches Crewe is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Cheltenham has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Crewe is a favorite.
- There will not play in Crewe: Finney C.
(Injury)
Robinson N.
(Inactive)
Tracey S.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Pell H.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Connolly J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lankester J.
(Injury)
Tabiner J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Bowman R.
(Inactive)
Power D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Young L.
(Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Crewe won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:19 (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Cheltenham Town?
Crewe Alexandra has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Crewe Alexandra?
Cheltenham Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
26.12.2024
Cheltenham Town
-
Crewe Alexandra
2:1
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
