Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Whaddon Road (Cheltenham).

League Two - Round 38
Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.03	1.60
Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
16	15
Shots on target
4	4
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
4	3
Passes
80% (316/395)	70% (193/276)
Yellow cards
3	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.03	1.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.86	2.24
Total shots
16	15
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
8	7
Blocked shots
4	4
Shots inside the box
9	11
Shots outside the box
7	4
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
31	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
11	11
Passes
80% (316/395)	70% (193/276)
Long passes
51% (42/82)	37% (26/71)
Passes in final third
71% (88/124)	63% (84/133)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	43% (9/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	2.35
Throw ins
25	24
Fouls
11	11
Tackles
58% (7/12)	47% (7/15)
Duels won
49	61
Clearances
46	42
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
2.24	0.86
Goals prevented
1.24	-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Thomas C. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
51', Young L. 🟨,
55', 1 - 0, Bickerstaff J. ⚽, Young L. (A),
70', Tomkinson J. 🟨,
72', Tezgel E. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
75', Young L. ↓, Ashfield H. ↑,
75', Thomas J. ↓, Deeming C. ↑,
76', Davison J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
79', Bickerstaff J. 🟨,
80', Lankester J. 🟨,
83', Sanders M. H. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
83', O'Reilly T. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
83', March J. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Connolly J. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cheltenham Town
33.6%

Draw
29.9%

Crewe Alexandra
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

27.5%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

27.7%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Cheltenham Town - Crewe Alexandra Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.55)	3.12 ↓ (3.3)	2.56 ↑ (2.46)	7.2% (10.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Crewe Alexandra?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 2.
Cheltenham is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Crewe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Cheltenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Cheltenham: King T. (Inactive)
There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O. (Inactive) Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Crewe Alexandra?

Cheltenham Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Cheltenham Town?

Crewe Alexandra has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:

01.01.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town 4:1

10.04.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town 2:3

26.12.2024 Cheltenham Town - Crewe Alexandra 2:1

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

14.03.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Cheltenham Town 0:2 ✺

10.03.2026 Fleetwood Town - Cheltenham Town 2:2 ✺

06.03.2026 Cheltenham Town - Barrow 2:2 ✺

27.02.2026 Harrogate Town - Cheltenham Town 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Cheltenham Town - Salford City 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Crewe Alexandra

14.03.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Walsall 0:3 ✺

07.03.2026 Bristol Rovers - Crewe Alexandra 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra 1:2 ✺

17.02.2026 Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League