Crewe Alexandra vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town
Result
2:3
10/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 42
  • Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Ultra
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.632.03
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
63% (185/296)56% (111/200)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.632.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.580.83
Total shots
79
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1511
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
63% (185/296)56% (111/200)
Long passes
29% (23/79)29% (18/63)
Passes in final third
38% (35/91)51% (53/104)
Crosses
11% (1/9)26% (7/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.521.13
Fouls
1316
Tackles
54% (13/24)58% (11/19)
Duels won
8371
Clearances Total
5243
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.831.58
Goals prevented
-2.17-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Miller G. , Jude-Boyd A. (A),
  • 33', Haynes R. (Pen),
  • 34', Williams Z. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Hemmings K. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Lowery T. , Lunt O. ,
  • 70', Haynes R. , Adedokun V. ,
  • 70', Bogle O. , Agius C. ,
  • 70', Powell J. , Thibaut A. ,
  • 73', Bennett S. 🟨,
  • 76', Bennett S. , Dulson L. ,
  • 76', Miller G. , Taylor M. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Thomas J. , Adedokun V. (A),
  • 86', 1 - 3, Dulson L. , Jude-Boyd A. (A),
  • 88', Thomas J. , Bakare I. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 3, Agius C. ,

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
56%
Draw
25.5%
Cheltenham Town
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 27% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 22.4% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crewe Alexandra's performance.
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crewe Alexandra that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cheltenham Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.88)
    3.7
    (3.46)
    5.05
    (4.02)
    6.2%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 56.3%96.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 16).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2.
    • Recent matches Crewe is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cheltenham has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Crewe is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Crewe: Finney C. (Injury) Robinson N. (Inactive) Tracey S. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Pell H. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crewe: Connolly J. (Hamstring Injury) Lankester J. (Injury) Tabiner J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Bowman R. (Inactive) Power D. (Hamstring Injury) Young L. (Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Crewe won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:19 (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Cheltenham Town - Crewe Alexandra 2:1
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League