Plymouth Argyle vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English EFL Trophy Plymouth Argyle - Cheltenham Town
Result
2:0
02/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Martin R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.070.62
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
216
Shots on target
110
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
83% (434/520)55% (104/189)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.070.62
xG on target (xGOT)
2.030.00
Total shots
216
Shots on target
110
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
100
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1714
Passes
83% (434/520)55% (104/189)
Long passes
34% (18/53)30% (18/60)
Passes in final third
81% (148/182)48% (30/62)
Crosses
28% (5/18)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.17
Throw-ins
2919
Fouls
1418
Tackles
67% (12/18)62% (13/21)
Duels won
5952
Clearances
1730
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
09
xGOT faced
0.002.03
Goals prevented
0.000.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 1', Walters C. 🟨,
  • 5', 1 - 0, Tolaj L. , Boateng M. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 0, Tolaj L. , Sorinola M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Boateng M. , Roberts C. ,
  • 49', Edwards J. 🟨,
  • 55', Tolaj L. , Pepple A. ,
  • 63', Edwards J. , Benarous A. ,
  • 63', Ross M. , Szucs K. ,
  • 64', Willcox F. , King T. ,
  • 64', Sherring S. , Young L. ,
  • 68', Tustin H. 🟨,
  • 68', Hatch J. , Finn T. ,
  • 73', Bickerstaff J. , Miller G. ,
  • 74', Martin J. , Jude-Boyd A. ,
  • 77', Walters C. , Bennett S. ,
  • 79', Bennett S. 🟥,
  • 81', Pepple A. (Pen),
  • 84', Wiredu B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Plymouth Argyle
66.7%
Draw
20.4%
Cheltenham Town
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 24.5% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 19.2% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Argyle's performance.
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cheltenham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-22.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Argyle that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cheltenham Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Plymouth Argyle - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.64)
    5.07
    (3.75)
    8
    (4.73)
    -0.7%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Cheltenham Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Plymouth Argyle will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 5.
    • Plymouth is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cheltenham has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cheltenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Plymouth is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 16 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:16. (average 2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 1.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    14.08.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Cheltenham Town 3:0
    20.07.2024 Cheltenham Town - Plymouth Argyle 1:5
    21.02.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Cheltenham Town 2:1
    21.01.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Cheltenham Town 4:2
    26.12.2022 Cheltenham Town - Plymouth Argyle 0:1
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English EFL Trophy Table
    2025/26

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