Result
1:3
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 33
- Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (215/321) | 60% (156/258) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 3.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (215/321) | 60% (156/258) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (19/64) | 42% (29/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (52/101) | 51% (55/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 25% (7/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 55 | 54 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.12 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', Kane H. ↓, Wiredu B. ↑,
- 17', Archibald T. 🟨,
- 20', Dale O. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Pepple A. ⚽, Boateng M. (A),
- 45+3', 1 - 1, O'Neill O. ⚽, Morris J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', Pepple A. 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 2, Curtis R. ⚽,
- 59', Dale O. ↓, Tolaj L. ↑,
- 59', Watts C. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
- 68', Levitt D. ↓, Wellens C. ↑,
- 68', Archibald T. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 3, Ross M. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
- 75', Oluwayemi T. ↓, Dennis W. ↑,
- 77', Forrester W. 🟨,
- 82', Fawunmi F. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
- 85', Pepple A. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
- 85', Koroma J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Wellens C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Leyton Orient
34.4% | Draw
27.6% | Plymouth Argyle
38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leyton Orient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.33) |
3.41 ↑
(3.38) |
2.49 ↓
(2.71) |
6.8%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 10.6% – 60.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 18 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 2.
- Recent form of Leyton Orient has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Plymouth has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Plymouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A.
(Injury)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Inactive)
El Mizouni I.
(Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Plymouth: Ralls J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Plymouth: Galloway B.
(Inactive)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Plymouth Argyle?
Leyton Orient has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Leyton Orient?
Plymouth Argyle has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
02.12.2025
Leyton Orient
-
Plymouth Argyle
0:1
19.08.2025
Plymouth Argyle
-
Leyton Orient
0:1
08.08.2023
Plymouth Argyle
-
Leyton Orient
2:0
Latest results of Leyton Orient
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
