Result
3:1
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 22
- Referee: Eley R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (179/282) | 59% (200/338) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (179/282) | 59% (200/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (23/79) | 30% (25/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (55/93) | 50% (72/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 5% (1/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 47 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 54 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Adelakun H. ⚽, Thomas J. (A),
- 31', 2 - 0, Bickerstaff J. ⚽, Adelakun H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 3 - 0, Hutchinson I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 63', 3 - 1, Marquis J. ⚽, Boyle W. (A),
- 69', Scully A. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 70', Day J. 🟨,
- 73', Boyle W. 🟨,
- 75', Hutchinson I. ↓, Archer E. ↑,
- 78', Lloyd G. ↓, Sang T. ↑,
- 86', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
- 89', Thomas J. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 89', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
- 90', Perry T. 🟨,
- 90+2', McDermott T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cheltenham Town 35% | Draw 28.5% | Shrewsbury Town 36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.67 ↓ (2.98) |
3.25 ↑ (3.14) |
2.54 ↑ (2.36) |
7.5% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cheltenham: 50.5% – 99.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5, 2nd Half - Cheltenham (8.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cheltenham Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 18 and 20)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 3.
- Cheltenham is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Shrewsbury's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mazionis J.
(Inactive)
Miller G.
(Inactive)
Sherring S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Broom R.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Shrewsbury Town?
Cheltenham Town has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Cheltenham Town?
Shrewsbury Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
26.12.2023
Cheltenham Town
-
Shrewsbury Town
2:0
05.08.2023
Shrewsbury Town
-
Cheltenham Town
1:0
29.12.2022
Shrewsbury Town
-
Cheltenham Town
0:1
01.10.2022
Cheltenham Town
-
Shrewsbury Town
2:0
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Salford | 33 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 46:43 | 3 | 55 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 52:44 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 10 | Walsall | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 42:36 | 6 | 53 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 52 |
| 12 | Colchester | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 13 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Oldham | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 45 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 43:42 | 1 | 45 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
| 24 | Newport | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | -28 | 25 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League