Result
2:1
18/07/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | Migu |
Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
Spain | Gol Play, GolStadium |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.53 | 1.76 |
Ball Possession |
---|
37% | 63% |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
74% (252/340) | 85% (488/576) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.53 | 1.76 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.80 | 1.24 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
8 | 31 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
74% (252/340) | 85% (488/576) |
Long passes |
---|
27% (17/62) | 49% (30/61) |
Passes in final third |
---|
51% (27/53) | 68% (124/182) |
Crosses |
---|
0% (0/5) | 8% (2/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.22 | 1.16 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (9/15) | 67% (12/18) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 59 |
Clearances |
---|
44 | 12 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.24 | 1.80 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.24 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 0, Wang Qiuming ⚽,
- 57', Delgado P. ↓, Wei Shihao ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Ademi A. (Pen),
- 69', Wang Qiuming ↓, Huang Jiahui ↑,
- 73', Gan Chao ↓, Wang Dongsheng ↑,
- 73', Li Y. ↓, Yan Dinghao ↑,
- 76', Ademi A. ↓, Li Yongjia ↑,
- 76', Ba Dun ↓, Su Yuanjie ↑,
- 86', Wei Shihao 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 1, Wei Shihao (Pen),
- 89', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Liao Rongxiang ↑,
- 90+2', Wei Shihao 🟨,
- 90+4', Xadas ↓, Guo Hao ↑,
- 90+4', Yang Zihao ↓, Liu J. ↑,
- 90+11', Yan Dinghao 🟨,
- 90+12', Wang Xianjun 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 19.8% | Draw 24.8% | Chengdu Rongcheng 55.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chengdu Rongcheng might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chengdu Rongcheng could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.63 ↓ (5.52) |
3.78 ↓ (4.18) |
1.71 ↑ (1.55) |
6.5% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chengdu Rongcheng: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 1.
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Chengdu Rongcheng is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Chengdu Rongcheng is considered a favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won against Chengdu Rongcheng?
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chengdu Rongcheng won against Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
Chengdu Rongcheng has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng were as follows:
02.03.2025
Chengdu Rongcheng
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:2
12.07.2024
Chengdu Rongcheng
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:1
06.04.2024
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Chengdu Rongcheng
2:3
29.09.2023
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Chengdu Rongcheng
2:2
08.06.2023
Chengdu Rongcheng
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0:0
Latest results of Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Latest results of Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 39:17 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Shanghai Port | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 41:23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 38:20 | 18 | 38 |
4 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 35:15 | 20 | 37 |
5 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Shandong Taishan | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 33:29 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Yunnan Yukun | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26:28 | -2 | 25 |
8 | Zhejiang Professional | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 23 |
9 | Qingdao West Coast | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 23 |
10 | Dalian Yingbo | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:31 | -8 | 20 |
12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 22:38 | -16 | 17 |
13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 16 |
14 | Meizhou Hakka | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 13 |
15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13:29 | -16 | 8 |
16 | Changchun Yatai | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15:32 | -17 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League