Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Chengdu Rongcheng – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Super League Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng
Result
2:1
18/07/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
spainSpainGol Play, GolStadium

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.531.76
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
74% (252/340)85% (488/576)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.531.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.801.24
Total shots
614
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
511
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
831
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
74% (252/340)85% (488/576)
Long passes
27% (17/62)49% (30/61)
Passes in final third
51% (27/53)68% (124/182)
Crosses
0% (0/5)8% (2/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.221.16
Throw-ins
1622
Fouls
1312
Tackles
60% (9/15)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5359
Clearances
4412
Interceptions
122
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.241.80
Goals prevented
0.24-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Wang Qiuming ,
  • 57', Delgado P. , Wei Shihao ,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Ademi A. (Pen),
  • 69', Wang Qiuming , Huang Jiahui ,
  • 73', Gan Chao , Wang Dongsheng ,
  • 73', Li Y. , Yan Dinghao ,
  • 76', Ademi A. , Li Yongjia ,
  • 76', Ba Dun , Su Yuanjie ,
  • 86', Wei Shihao 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Wei Shihao (Pen),
  • 89', Yang Ming-Yang , Liao Rongxiang ,
  • 90+2', Wei Shihao 🟨,
  • 90+4', Xadas , Guo Hao ,
  • 90+4', Yang Zihao , Liu J. ,
  • 90+11', Yan Dinghao 🟨,
  • 90+12', Wang Xianjun 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
19.8%
Draw
24.8%
Chengdu Rongcheng
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17% 22.5% 60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5% 21.8% 62.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Chengdu Rongcheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chengdu Rongcheng might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chengdu Rongcheng could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.63
    (5.52)
    3.78
    (4.18)
    1.71
    (1.55)
    6.5%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chengdu Rongcheng: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 1.
    • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chengdu Rongcheng is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Chengdu Rongcheng is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Chengdu Rongcheng - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1:2
    12.07.2024 Chengdu Rongcheng - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 2:1
    06.04.2024 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng 2:3
    29.09.2023 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Chengdu Rongcheng 2:2
    08.06.2023 Chengdu Rongcheng - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 0:0
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port21145251:272447
    2Shanghai Shenhua21144347:252246
    3Beijing Guoan21136247:262145
    4Chengdu Rongcheng21135339:162344
    5Shandong Taishan21104742:33934
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2196629:29033
    7Zhejiang Professional2186742:34830
    8Yunnan Yukun2185833:38-529
    9Dalian Yingbo2185821:28-729
    10Qingdao West Coast2169627:31-427
    11Wuhan Three Towns21561027:38-1121
    12Henan Songshan Longmen21541233:40-719
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng21521426:49-2317
    14Meizhou Hakka21441326:45-1916
    15Qingdao Hainiu21361220:32-1215
    16Changchun Yatai21331517:36-1912

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League