İstanbul Başakşehir vs Cherno More Varna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/07/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium (Istanbul).

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
Referee: Kopiyevsky V. (Ukr)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.34	0.90
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
4	8
Passes
90% (556/615)	75% (188/251)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34	0.90
xG on target (xGOT)
3.72	0.69
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
0	2
Shots inside the Box
12	7
Shots outside the Box
1	3
Headed Goals
2	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
4	8
Touches in opposition box
18	13
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
10	7
Passes
90% (556/615)	75% (188/251)
Long passes
70% (30/43)	31% (11/36)
Passes in final third
76% (96/127)	62% (38/61)
Crosses
33% (6/18)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.14	0.65
Throw-ins
16	22
Fouls
7	10
Tackles
87% (20/23)	39% (7/18)
Duels won
60	39
Clearances
15	16
Interceptions
10	15
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.69	3.72
Goals prevented
0.69	-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Brnic I. ⚽, Sari Y. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Crespo M. ⚽,
36', 3 - 0, Da Costa N. ⚽, Crespo M. (A),
40', Weslen Junior 🟨,
42', Panov T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Weslen Junior ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
46', Stefanov R. ↓, Chandarov A. ↑,
46', Donchev A. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
58', Da Costa N. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,
67', Sari Y. ↓, Turuc D. ↑,
68', Brnic I. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
68', Sahiner O. ↓, Kemen O. ↑,
72', Panayotov V. 🟨,
77', Ozdemir B. ↓, Gunes U. ↑,
79', Sidney C. ↓, Zlatev N. ↑,
80', 4 - 0, Operi C. ⚽, Kemen O. (A),
90+2', Teles D. ↓, Tonev D. ↑,

Chances of winning

İstanbul Başakşehir
67.9%

Draw
20.4%

Cherno More Varna
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

17.1%

11.4%

İstanbul Başakşehir - Cherno More Varna Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.27)	4.6 ↓ (5.33)	8.1 ↑ (8)	7.4% (10%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Cherno More Varna?

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Cherno More will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 60.3% – 91.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Cherno More may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of away games.
Recently, Cherno More has had a series of home games.
In this match, Başakşehir is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Başakşehir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Cherno More Varna?

İstanbul Başakşehir has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cherno More Varna won against İstanbul Başakşehir?

Cherno More Varna has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Cherno More Varna were as follows:

24.07.2025 Cherno More Varna - İstanbul Başakşehir 0:1

Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir

24.07.2025 Cherno More Varna - İstanbul Başakşehir 0:1 ✺

17.07.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - İstanbul Başakşehir 0:1 ✺

16.07.2025 Reichenau - İstanbul Başakşehir 1:4 ✺

13.07.2025 Hertha Berlin - İstanbul Başakşehir Canceled ✺

09.07.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - İstanbul Başakşehir 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Cherno More Varna

27.07.2025 Cherno More Varna - Botev Plovdiv 2:1 ✺

24.07.2025 Cherno More Varna - İstanbul Başakşehir 0:1 ✺

18.07.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna 1:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Cherno More Varna - Dobrudzha Dobrich 4:1 ✺

01.07.2025 Cherno More Varna - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 4:1 ✺

UEFA Europa Conference League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Strasbourg	6	5	1	0	11:5	6	16
2	Rakow	6	4	2	0	9:2	7	14
3	AEK Athens	6	4	1	1	14:7	7	13
4	Sparta Prague	6	4	1	1	10:3	7	13
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	4	1	1	13:7	6	13
6	Shakhtar Donetsk	6	4	1	1	10:5	5	13
7	Mainz	6	4	1	1	7:3	4	13
8	AEK Larnaca	6	3	3	0	7:1	6	12
9	Lausanne	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11
10	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	11:6	5	10
11	Lech Poznan	6	3	1	2	12:8	4	10
12	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	10:6	4	10
13	Celje	6	3	1	2	8:7	1	10
14	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10
15	Fiorentina	6	3	0	3	8:5	3	9
16	Rijeka	6	2	3	1	5:2	3	9
17	Jagiellonia	6	2	3	1	5:4	1	9
18	Omonia	6	2	2	2	5:4	1	8
19	Noah	6	2	2	2	6:7	-1	8
20	Drita	6	2	2	2	4:8	-4	8
21	KuPS	6	1	4	1	6:5	1	7
22	Shkendija	6	2	1	3	4:5	-1	7
23	Zrinjski	6	2	1	3	8:10	-2	7
24	Sigma Olomouc	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7
25	Univ. Craiova	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7
26	Lincoln Red Imps	6	2	1	3	7:15	-8	7
27	Dyn. Kyiv	6	2	0	4	9:9	0	6
28	Legia	6	2	0	4	8:8	0	6
29	Slovan Bratislava	6	2	0	4	5:9	-4	6
30	Breidablik	6	1	2	3	6:11	-5	5
31	Shamrock Rovers	6	1	1	4	7:13	-6	4
32	Hacken	6	0	3	3	5:8	-3	3
33	Hamrun	6	1	0	5	4:11	-7	3
34	Shelbourne	6	0	2	4	0:7	-7	2
35	Aberdeen	6	0	2	4	3:14	-11	2
36	SK Rapid	6	0	1	5	3:14	-11	1

Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)