İstanbul Başakşehir vs Cherno More Varna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
31/07/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Kopiyevsky V. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.340.90
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
90% (556/615)75% (188/251)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
2.340.90
xG on target (xGOT)
3.720.69
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
13
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
107
Passes
90% (556/615)75% (188/251)
Long passes
70% (30/43)31% (11/36)
Passes in final third
76% (96/127)62% (38/61)
Crosses
33% (6/18)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.65
Throw-ins
1622
Fouls
710
Tackles
87% (20/23)39% (7/18)
Duels won
6039
Clearances
1516
Interceptions
1015
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.693.72
Goals prevented
0.69-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Brnic I. , Sari Y. (A),
  • 31', 2 - 0, Crespo M. ,
  • 36', 3 - 0, Da Costa N. , Crespo M. (A),
  • 40', Weslen Junior 🟨,
  • 42', Panov T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Weslen Junior , Joao Pedro ,
  • 46', Stefanov R. , Chandarov A. ,
  • 46', Donchev A. , Martin D. ,
  • 58', Da Costa N. , Shomurodov E. ,
  • 67', Sari Y. , Turuc D. ,
  • 68', Brnic I. , Selke D. ,
  • 68', Sahiner O. , Kemen O. ,
  • 72', Panayotov V. 🟨,
  • 77', Ozdemir B. , Gunes U. ,
  • 79', Sidney C. , Zlatev N. ,
  • 80', 4 - 0, Operi C. , Kemen O. (A),
  • 90+2', Teles D. , Tonev D. ,

Chances of winning


İstanbul Başakşehir
67.9%
Draw
20.4%
Cherno More Varna
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.6% 17.1% 11.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • İstanbul Başakşehir - Cherno More Varna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.27)
    4.6
    (5.33)
    8.1
    (8)
    7.4%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for İstanbul Başakşehir - Cherno More Varna?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Başakşehir will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Cherno More will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 60.3%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2.5 - Başakşehir (4.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Başakşehir (3.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Başakşehir (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Başakşehir (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Başakşehir (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Başakşehir (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Başakşehir (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Başakşehir (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Cherno More may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Başakşehir has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Cherno More has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Başakşehir is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Başakşehir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between İstanbul Başakşehir - Cherno More Varna were as follows:
    24.07.2025 Cherno More Varna - İstanbul Başakşehir 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2