Southport vs Chester – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
11/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 11

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', 0 - 1, Zanzala O. ,
  • 45+2', Woodthorpe N. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 54', 1 - 1, Hilton S. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Woods C. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Thibaut A. ,

Chances of winning


Southport
32.2%
Draw
28.9%
Chester
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.2% 27.7% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 27.9% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Southport - Chester Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (3.1)
    3.19
    (3.27)
    2.37
    (2.1)
    8.4%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Southport - Chester?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Chester will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chester (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Chester (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Chester (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southport won 1.
    • Southport is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chester's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Southport won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:25. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Southport won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.9:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southport - Chester were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Southport - Chester 0:1
    01.01.2025 Chester - Southport 0:0
    12.03.2024 Chester - Southport 0:1
    24.10.2023 Southport - Chester 0:2
    10.04.2023 Southport - Chester 1:2
    Latest results of Southport
    08.11.2025 Hereford - Southport 1:2
    04.11.2025 Buxton - Southport 1:2
    25.10.2025 Darlington - Southport 2:0
    Latest results of Chester
    08.11.2025 Buxton - Chester 1:2
    04.11.2025 Chester - Marine 1:1
    01.11.2025 Cambridge United - Chester 3:0
    25.10.2025 Chester - Bedford Town 1:2
    21.10.2025 Alfreton Town - Chester 0:2
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde33243682:354775
    2South Shields33228374:284674
    3Merthyr Town362031380:631763
    4Darlington33168964:471756
    5Kidderminster321511644:35956
    6Radcliffe351741463:55855
    7AFC Telford341411967:462153
    8Scarborough3514111049:44553
    9Macclesfield31157956:461052
    10Chester3613111252:57-550
    11Marine321461243:48-548
    12Spennymoor331371344:57-1346
    13Buxton341361556:49745
    14Curzon Ashton351291456:63-745
    15Chorley341191454:52242
    16Worksop361181745:62-1741
    17Southport359121447:56-939
    18Bedford361091755:65-1039
    19Kingu2019s Lynn349111441:48-738
    20Oxford City35981842:54-1235
    21Peterborough Sports35962041:69-2833
    22Alfreton30881430:55-2532
    23Hereford28771435:50-1528
    24Leamington33472223:59-3619

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation