Result
1:2
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 38
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Shrimpton F. ⚽,
- 11', 1 - 1, Harris M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+7', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Merthyr Town
30% | Draw
25.3% | Chester
44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merthyr Town's form might have worsened.Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chester's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merthyr Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chester, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Merthyr Town - Chester Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.37) |
3.64 ↓
(3.9) |
2.06 ↓
(2.51) |
8.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - Chester?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Chester (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chester (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
- Recent performances by Merthyr have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Chester is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Chester?
Merthyr Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chester won against Merthyr Town?
Chester has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - Chester were as follows:
04.10.2025
Chester
-
Merthyr Town
2:2
Latest results of Merthyr Town
Latest results of Chester
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Buxton (5) | Scarborough (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 3 | Kidderminster (3) | Bye | |
| 4 | Macclesfield (4) | Chester (7) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Buxton (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Kidderminster (3) | Macclesfield (4) | 3 : 1 |
Final| 1 | South Shields (2) | Kidderminster (3) | |
