Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 31
  • Referee: Russell M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.502.45
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
28
Big chances
17
Corner kicks
76
Passes
63% (165/260)70% (225/323)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
1.502.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.863.14
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
1011
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
12
Big chances
17
Corner kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2821
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
914
Passes
63% (165/260)70% (225/323)
Long passes
29% (27/93)30% (24/80)
Passes in final third
47% (64/135)48% (44/92)
Crosses
30% (6/20)41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.860.82
Throw ins
2522
Fouls
149
Tackles
50% (10/20)73% (8/11)
Duels won
5140
Clearances
1629
Interceptions
23
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
40
xGOT faced
3.141.86
Goals prevented
0.14-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Naylor T. , Mandeville L. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Forde S. , Harbottle R. (A),
  • 43', Mola C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 48', Bonis L. 🟨,
  • 54', De Havilland R. , Smallwood R. ,
  • 55', Akhamrich Y. , Leigh T. ,
  • 55', Harrison E. , Quigley J. ,
  • 58', 2 - 1, Forde S. , Quigley J. (A),
  • 61', 2 - 2, Naylor T. ,
  • 71', Duffy D. , Berry-McNally J. ,
  • 71', Bonis L. , Grigg W. ,
  • 71', Mandeville L. , Dobra A. ,
  • 75', Kilgour A. 🟨,
  • 77', Cavegn F. , Rijks M. ,
  • 78', 2 - 3, Berry-McNally J. , Curtis S. (A),
  • 85', Markanday D. , Donacien J. ,
  • 85', Markanday D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Harbottle R. , Senior J. ,
  • 90+6', Forde S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol Rovers
39.9%
Draw
26.8%
Chesterfield
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 27.8% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 27.7% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • Bristol Rovers - Chesterfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.53)
    3.48
    (3.28)
    2.8
    (2.52)
    6.9%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Chesterfield?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Chesterfield (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Chesterfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Hobson B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Lockyer T. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Gordon L. (Injury) Grimes J. (Inactive) Owolabi-Belewu M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.3:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Chesterfield were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Chesterfield - Bristol Rovers 3:1
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley382113461:362576
    2MK Dons382111675:373874
    3Cambridge Utd371912655:282769
    4Notts Co372071060:372367
    5Salford382141354:47767
    6Swindon382061262:451766
    7Grimsby3716111051:401159
    8Chesterfield381514960:52859
    9Crewe381691354:47757
    10Walsall381691346:40657
    11Oldham361413943:311255
    12Barnet3814121246:42454
    13Colchester3714111250:401053
    14Fleetwood3813121347:46151
    15Accrington371391538:41-348
    16Gillingham3711121443:54-1145
    17Cheltenham371191741:60-1942
    18Shrewsbury381181937:59-2241
    19Bristol Rovers381242238:59-2140
    20Tranmere38992048:68-2036
    21Crawley386131936:59-2331
    22Newport38872338:65-2731
    23Harrogate38792229:57-2830
    24Barrow37782236:58-2229

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League