Chesterfield vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 3
  • Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.55
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
86% (448/518)59% (138/233)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.121.31
Total shots
207
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
349
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
118
Passes
86% (448/518)59% (138/233)
Long passes
43% (33/77)29% (23/78)
Passes in final third
72% (125/173)39% (28/71)
Crosses
50% (6/12)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.710.74
Throw-ins
2014
Fouls
911
Tackles
67% (4/6)44% (8/18)
Duels won
4949
Clearances
3523
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
27
xGOT faced
1.312.12
Goals prevented
0.31-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', McFadzean K. 🟨,
  • 39', Senior J. 🟥,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Naylor T. , Duffy D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Lopata K. , Sotiriou R. ,
  • 46', Harrison E. , Southam-Hales M. ,
  • 51', Naylor T. 🟨,
  • 58', Sparkes J. 🟨,
  • 58', Daley-Campbell V. 🟨,
  • 61', McEachran J. , Hutchinson I. ,
  • 64', Duffy D. , Darcy R. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Hutchinson I. ,
  • 70', Omochere P. , Cavegn F. ,
  • 72', Mola C. 🟨,
  • 76', Howley R. , Moore T. ,
  • 81', Sotiriou R. 🟨,
  • 83', Daley-Campbell V. , Lewis A. ,
  • 83', Gordon L. , Mandeville L. ,
  • 83', Naylor T. , Grigg W. ,
  • 83', Bonis L. , Fleck J. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, McFadzean K. , Lewis A. (A),
  • 88', 3 - 1, Dobra A. , Mandeville L. (A),

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
53.7%
Draw
24.7%
Bristol Rovers
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 23.1% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 22.7% 21.4%

Chesterfield - Bristol Rovers Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.75
(1.69)
3.77
(4.03)
4.35
(4.27)
6.7%
(7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Bristol Rovers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Chesterfield will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3.
    • Chesterfield has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bristol Rovers is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Chesterfield is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Donacien J. (Hamstring Injury) Tanton D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dibley-Dias M. (Injury) Fleck J. (Shin Injury) Williams T. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley25156444:271751
    2Swindon24144639:261346
    3Walsall24134732:23943
    4Salford24134735:31443
    5MK Dons25118646:281841
    6Cambridge Utd24118528:19941
    7Chesterfield251010542:35740
    8Notts Co24116736:261039
    9Colchester2499638:281036
    10Crewe25106939:33636
    11Barnet2498732:26635
    12Grimsby2497835:30534
    13Fleetwood2497832:30234
    14Accrington2496927:26133
    15Oldham24711624:19532
    16Gillingham24711631:28332
    17Tranmere2588939:39032
    18Cheltenham25931325:41-1630
    19Barrow24661226:35-924
    20Bristol Rovers24631521:44-2321
    21Crawley25471428:45-1719
    22Shrewsbury24471321:41-2019
    23Harrogate25461519:40-2118
    24Newport24451524:43-1917

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League