Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 3
- Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (448/518) | 59% (138/233) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (448/518) | 59% (138/233) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (33/77) | 29% (23/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (125/173) | 39% (28/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', McFadzean K. 🟨,
- 39', Senior J. 🟥,
- 41', 1 - 0, Naylor T. ⚽, Duffy D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Lopata K. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
- 46', Harrison E. ↓, Southam-Hales M. ↑,
- 51', Naylor T. 🟨,
- 58', Sparkes J. 🟨,
- 58', Daley-Campbell V. 🟨,
- 61', McEachran J. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
- 64', Duffy D. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Hutchinson I. ⚽,
- 70', Omochere P. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
- 72', Mola C. 🟨,
- 76', Howley R. ↓, Moore T. ↑,
- 81', Sotiriou R. 🟨,
- 83', Daley-Campbell V. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
- 83', Gordon L. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
- 83', Naylor T. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
- 83', Bonis L. ↓, Fleck J. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, McFadzean K. ⚽, Lewis A. (A),
- 88', 3 - 1, Dobra A. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
Chances of winning
Chesterfield
53.7% | Draw
24.7% | Bristol Rovers
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Chesterfield - Bristol Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.69) |
3.77 ↓
(4.03) |
4.35 ↑
(4.27) |
6.7%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Bristol Rovers?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Chesterfield will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3.
- Chesterfield has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bristol Rovers is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Chesterfield is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Donacien J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tanton D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dibley-Dias M.
(Injury)
Fleck J.
(Shin Injury)
Williams T.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Bristol Rovers?
Chesterfield has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Chesterfield?
Bristol Rovers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
Latest results of Chesterfield
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
| 19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
