Result
2:3
07/02/2026 at 10:01 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 31
- Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (165/260) | 70% (225/323) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 3.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (165/260) | 70% (225/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (27/93) | 30% (24/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (64/135) | 48% (44/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 41% (9/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.14 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Naylor T. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, Forde S. ⚽, Harbottle R. (A),
- 43', Mola C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 48', Bonis L. 🟨,
- 54', De Havilland R. ↓, Smallwood R. ↑,
- 55', Akhamrich Y. ↓, Leigh T. ↑,
- 55', Harrison E. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 1, Forde S. ⚽, Quigley J. (A),
- 61', 2 - 2, Naylor T. ⚽,
- 71', Duffy D. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
- 71', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
- 71', Mandeville L. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
- 75', Kilgour A. 🟨,
- 77', Cavegn F. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 3, Berry-McNally J. ⚽, Curtis S. (A),
- 85', Markanday D. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
- 85', Markanday D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Harbottle R. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
- 90+6', Forde S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers
39.9% | Draw
26.8% | Chesterfield
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Bristol Rovers - Chesterfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↓
(2.53) |
3.48 ↑
(3.28) |
2.8 ↑
(2.52) |
6.9%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Chesterfield?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Chesterfield (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Chesterfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Southam-Hales M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Hobson B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Lockyer T.
(Inactive)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Gordon L.
(Injury)
Grimes J.
(Inactive)
Owolabi-Belewu M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Chesterfield?
Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Bristol Rovers?
Chesterfield has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Chesterfield were as follows:
16.08.2025
Chesterfield
-
Bristol Rovers
3:1
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
Latest results of Chesterfield
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | MK Dons ✔ | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 85:44 | 41 | 85 |
| 2 | Bromley ✔ | 45 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 68:45 | 23 | 84 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 45 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 81 |
| 4 | Salford | 45 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 80 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 45 | 24 | 7 | 14 | 73:51 | 22 | 79 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 45 | 22 | 11 | 12 | 73:49 | 24 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 45 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 69:55 | 14 | 76 |
| 8 | Swindon | 45 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 69:57 | 12 | 75 |
| 9 | Barnet | 45 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 68:52 | 16 | 73 |
| 10 | Crewe | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 45 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 57:44 | 13 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 55:53 | 2 | 65 |
| 13 | Colchester | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 58:48 | 10 | 63 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 19 | 4 | 22 | 55:64 | -9 | 61 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 56:57 | -1 | 60 |
| 16 | Accrington | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 53 |
| 17 | Cheltenham | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 52:75 | -23 | 52 |
| 18 | Gillingham | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 52:72 | -20 | 50 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 42:68 | -26 | 49 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 53:78 | -25 | 40 |
| 21 | Newport | 45 | 11 | 7 | 27 | 46:76 | -30 | 40 |
| 22 | Crawley | 45 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 39 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 38:66 | -28 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 45 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 44:76 | -32 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
Bromley is Qualified for League One
