Result
2:1
04/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Thailand | True Ball Thai 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (380/426) | 83% (289/348) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (380/426) | 83% (289/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (19/40) | 59% (32/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (63/84) | 75% (74/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 38% (11/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 34 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -1.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Verzura G. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Emaviwe J. ⚽, Lee S. (A),
- 37', Lyngbo S. 🟨,
- 39', Jaihan T. ↓, Thinjom S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Harntes A. ↓, Palachom T. ↑,
- 46', Lukthong N. ↓, Park Jong-Woo ↑,
- 48', Thinjom S. 🟨,
- 59', Lyngbo S. ↓, Jujeen A. ↑,
- 63', Pimoytha T. ↓, Suvannaseat S. ↑,
- 70', Songma J. ↓, Sriwichai W. ↑,
- 72', Lee S. ↓, Phanichakul P. ↑,
- 72', Verzura G. ↓, Promsawat M. ↑,
- 73', Jorge Felipe 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 0, Emaviwe J. ⚽,
- 79', Judivan ↓, Haber M. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Haber M. ⚽, Sriwichai W. (A),
- 89', Jujeen A. 🟨,
- 90+7', Waenlor A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chiangrai United
47% | Draw
28% | Nongbua Pitchaya
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chiangrai United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Nongbua Pitchaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chiangrai United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Chiangrai United - Nongbua Pitchaya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.16) |
3.25 ↑
(3.08) |
3.65 ↑
(3.26) |
9.8%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chiangrai United - Nongbua Pitchaya?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chiangrai United (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Nongbua Pitchaya (1.74) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Chiangrai United will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Chiangrai United (votes: 2 - 40%). Nongbua Pitchaya (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 11 and 13).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Chiangrai United will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Chiangrai United won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 2:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Chiangrai United won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Chiangrai United won against Nongbua Pitchaya?
Chiangrai United has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nongbua Pitchaya won against Chiangrai United?
Nongbua Pitchaya has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chiangrai United - Nongbua Pitchaya were as follows:
24.11.2024
Nongbua Pitchaya
-
Chiangrai United
0:2
28.01.2023
Nongbua Pitchaya
-
Chiangrai United
1:2
28.08.2022
Chiangrai United
-
Nongbua Pitchaya
2:0
Latest results of Chiangrai United
Latest results of Nongbua Pitchaya
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 65:20 | 45 | 59 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 46:20 | 26 | 44 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 36:21 | 15 | 42 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 40 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Ayutthaya Utd | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 31:34 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
| 9 | Chiangrai Utd | 23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 29:32 | -3 | 29 |
| 10 | Chonburi | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 28 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 25 |
| 12 | Sukhothai | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 24 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 30:43 | -13 | 22 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 18 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:39 | -24 | 14 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
