Result
1:0
29/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.88 | 1.56 |
| Ball possession |
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| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
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| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
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| 75% (160/214) | 89% (433/487) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.88 | 1.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.02 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
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| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 2 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 16 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
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| 75% (160/214) | 89% (433/487) |
| Long passes |
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| 52% (27/52) | 70% (31/44) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 64% (48/75) | 85% (169/199) |
| Crosses |
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| 25% (4/16) | 25% (10/40) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.40 | 1.62 |
| Throw ins |
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| 13 | 22 |
| Fouls |
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| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
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| 83% (15/18) | 100% (6/6) |
| Duels won |
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| 38 | 32 |
| Clearances |
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| 41 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.48 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.48 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', 1 - 0, Yaemsaen S. ⚽, Enomoto I. (A),
- 66', Iury C. ↓, Gabriel Henrique ↑,
- 66', Suvannaseat S. ↓, Phutonyong C. ↑,
- 66', Promrak A. ↓, Sidcley ↑,
- 75', Limwannasthian T. ↓, Kaewprom J. ↑,
- 75', Phutonyong C. ↓, Promsawat M. ↑,
- 75', Deeromram K. ↓, Poomkaew C. ↑,
- 87', Inprakhon T. 🟨,
- 88', Victor Cardozo 🟨,
- 90', Curran J. ↓, Yoryoei T. ↑,
- 90+1', Helio 🟨,
- 90+4', Emaviwe J. ↓, Srisai T. ↑,
- 90+4', Chaiman N. ↓, Thinjom S. ↑,
- 90+4', Deni Junior 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chiangrai United 23.7% | Draw 25.6% | Ratchaburi 50.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chiangrai United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ratchaburi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiangrai United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ratchaburi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chiangrai United - Ratchaburi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.88 ↑ (3.38) |
3.58 ↑ (3.29) |
1.81 ↓ (2.05) |
8.8% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chiangrai United - Ratchaburi?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Ratchaburi will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiangrai United won 2.
- Recent performances by Chiangrai United have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ratchaburi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ratchaburi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ratchaburi has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ratchaburi is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chiangrai United won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:14. (average 1.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chiangrai United won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Chiangrai United won against Ratchaburi?
Chiangrai United has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ratchaburi won against Chiangrai United?
Ratchaburi has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chiangrai United - Ratchaburi were as follows:
24.12.2025
Ratchaburi
-
Chiangrai United
1:2
15.04.2025
Chiangrai United
-
Ratchaburi
1:2
02.03.2025
Chiangrai United
-
Ratchaburi
0:1
20.10.2024
Ratchaburi
-
Chiangrai United
1:0
28.04.2024
Chiangrai United
-
Ratchaburi
1:0
Latest results of Chiangrai United
Latest results of Ratchaburi
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 74:27 | 47 | 69 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:21 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48:29 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 38:30 | 8 | 46 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 37:34 | 3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 42:42 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Chiangrai Utd | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 35:37 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya Utd | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 34:46 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 20:41 | -21 | 25 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:48 | -22 | 25 |
| 15 | Kanchanaburi | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27:51 | -24 | 22 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18:42 | -24 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )