Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (318/396) | 87% (326/376) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.33 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 15 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (318/396) | 87% (326/376) |
| Long passes |
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| 50% (24/48) | 68% (49/72) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 64% (88/138) | 72% (50/69) |
| Crosses |
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| 15% (2/13) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.43 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
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| 89% (8/9) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 41 |
| Clearances |
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| 20 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
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| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.27 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Baggio J. ⚽, Otton C. (A),
- 23', Romeu 🟨,
- 31', Helio 🟨,
- 38', Mhuaddarak T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kannoo S. ↓, Lee S. ↑,
- 46', Singthong O. ↓, Phoptham P. ↑,
- 57', Claudio ↓, Kanlayanabandit S. ↑,
- 58', Gildo 🟨,
- 68', Inprakhon T. ↓, Thinjom S. ↑,
- 68', Phutonyong C. ↓, Suvannaseat S. ↑,
- 70', Aranpiroj R. ↓, Denman A. ↑,
- 70', Gildo ↓, Chatthong S. ↑,
- 76', Verzura G. 🟨,
- 84', Ballini M. ↓, Phanitchakun P. ↑,
- 84', Verzura G. ↓, Enomoto I. ↑,
- 90', Mhuaddarak T. ↓, Thiamrat L. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Helio ⚽, Dudu (A),
- 90+5', Chaiman N. 🟨,
- 90+8', Thumporn T. 🟨,
- 90+11', Phoptham P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chiangrai United
41% | Draw
28.5% | Sukhothai
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chiangrai United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chiangrai United's form might have worsened.Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sukhothai's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiangrai United than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chiangrai United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sukhothai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chiangrai United - Sukhothai Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(1.71) |
3.24 ↓
(3.73) |
3.03 ↓
(4.26) |
8.3%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chiangrai United - Sukhothai?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Chiangrai United (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chiangrai United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiangrai United won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Chiangrai United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Sukhothai has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Chiangrai United is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chiangrai United won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chiangrai United won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:4. (average 2.4:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Chiangrai United won against Sukhothai?
Chiangrai United has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sukhothai won against Chiangrai United?
Sukhothai has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chiangrai United - Sukhothai were as follows:
26.09.2025
Sukhothai
-
Chiangrai United
1:1
19.04.2025
Sukhothai
-
Chiangrai United
3:3
30.11.2024
Chiangrai United
-
Sukhothai
0:0
02.03.2024
Sukhothai
-
Chiangrai United
2:1
02.10.2023
Chiangrai United
-
Sukhothai
2:1
Latest results of Chiangrai United
Latest results of Sukhothai
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 71:23 | 48 | 66 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:21 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 47 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 36:23 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Chonburi | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Ayutthaya Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 32:37 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 27 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 33:45 | -12 | 26 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 19:39 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 22 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 17:39 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | Muang Thong Utd | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
