Chiba Lotte Marines vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball NPB Chiba Lotte Marines - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Result
3:0
04/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB

Match Stats

Hits
75
Errors
01
Home Runs
00
Runs batted in
20
Base on Balls
14
Strikeouts
612
Stolen bases
01
At bat
2829
Batting Average
0.250.172

Chances of winning


Chiba Lotte Marines
42.4%
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chiba Lotte Marines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chiba Lotte Marines's form might have worsened.
  • Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiba Lotte Marines than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chiba Lotte Marines, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chiba Lotte Marines - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.94)

    1.66
    (1.89)
    5.5%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Chiba Lotte Marines - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Hokkaido will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiba won 3.
    • Recent form of Chiba has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hokkaido is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Chiba has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Hokkaido has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chiba won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 53:87. (average 2.7:4.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chiba won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 31:63. (average 2.8:5.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chiba Lotte Marines - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Chiba Lotte Marines - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 3:4
    27.09.2025 Chiba Lotte Marines - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 0:2
    22.09.2025 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Chiba Lotte Marines 0:2
    21.09.2025 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Chiba Lotte Marines 7:2
    20.09.2025 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Chiba Lotte Marines 8:7
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Hanshin Tigers14385454496:3520.612
    2Yokohama BayStars14371666510:4560.518
    3Yomiuri Giants14370469463:4610.504
    4Chunichi Dragons14363278403:4630.447
    5Hiroshima Carp14359579441:4970.428
    6Yakult Swallows14357779443:5640.419


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks14387452551:3890.626
    2Nippon Ham Fighters14383357548:4090.593
    3Orix Buffaloes14374366502:5190.529
    4Rakuten Gold. Eagles14367274446:5260.475
    5Seibu Lions14363377410:4650.450
    6Chiba Lotte Marines14356384441:5530.400

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)