Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
04/06/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!

Match Stats

Hits
1114
Errors
02
Home runs
11
Runs batted in
25
Base on balls
74
Strikeouts
1017
Stolen bases
02
At bat
4546
Batting average
0.2440.304

Chances of winning


Hiroshima Toyo Carp
43.5%
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hiroshima Toyo Carp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroshima Toyo Carp than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hiroshima Toyo Carp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.01)

    1.68
    (1.88)
    5%
    (2.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hokkaido (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 and 4)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 70:47. (average 3.5:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 2.6:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters were as follows:
    03.06.2026 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 3:1
    02.06.2026 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters Postponed
    21.02.2026 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Hiroshima Toyo Carp 1:7
    15.06.2025 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Hiroshima Toyo Carp 8:7
    14.06.2025 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Hiroshima Toyo Carp 5:0
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Yakult Swallows5632123187:1850.582
    2Hanshin Tigers5531123212:1810.574
    3Yomiuri Giants5631025180:1870.554
    4Yokohama BayStars5625229202:2210.463
    5Hiroshima Carp5319331149:1710.380
    6Chunichi Dragons5620135184:2080.364


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Seibu Lions5733222218:1720.600
    2Fukuoka S. Hawks5531024236:2000.564
    3Orix Buffaloes5630125197:1900.545
    4Nippon Ham Fighters5829029229:2200.500
    5Chiba Lotte Marines5627029184:2070.482
    6Rakuten Gold. Eagles5621134176:2120.382

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
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