Chiba Lotte Marines vs Orix Buffaloes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball NPB Chiba Lotte Marines - Orix Buffaloes
Result
3:7
09/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB

Match Stats

Hits
812
Errors
10
Home Runs
11
Runs batted in
37
Base on Balls
25
Strikeouts
92
Stolen bases
00
At bat
3137
Batting Average
0.2580.324

Chances of winning


Chiba Lotte Marines
36.3%
Orix Buffaloes
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 61.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chiba Lotte Marines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Orix Buffaloes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiba Lotte Marines than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orix Buffaloes than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Chiba Lotte Marines - Orix Buffaloes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.64)

    1.5
    (1.51)
    4.7%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Chiba Lotte Marines - Orix Buffaloes?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Chiba will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Orix will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chiba (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chiba won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Orix might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chiba won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 77:62. (average 3.9:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chiba won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 3.8:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chiba Lotte Marines - Orix Buffaloes were as follows:
    08.09.2025 Chiba Lotte Marines - Orix Buffaloes 4:2
    27.08.2025 Orix Buffaloes - Chiba Lotte Marines 1:6
    26.08.2025 Orix Buffaloes - Chiba Lotte Marines 6:5
    11.08.2025 Chiba Lotte Marines - Orix Buffaloes 3:5
    09.08.2025 Chiba Lotte Marines - Orix Buffaloes 2:3
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Hanshin Tigers12979347440:3050.627
    2Yomiuri Giants12963363405:3960.500
    3Yokohama BayStars12860563425:4060.488
    4Chunichi Dragons12857269368:4070.452
    5Hiroshima Carp12855568394:4260.447
    6Yakult Swallows12447671365:4940.398


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks12675447479:3520.615
    2Nippon Ham Fighters12774350485:3490.597
    3Orix Buffaloes12564358441:4630.525
    4Rakuten Gold. Eagles12358263387:4450.479
    5Seibu Lions12356364335:3730.467
    6Chiba Lotte Marines12448373383:4910.397

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)