Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago Cubs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:5
05/04/2026 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLB
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldMLB.TV

Match Stats

Hits
97
Errors
00
2B - double
21
3B - triple
00
Home runs
13
Runs batted in
65
Left on base
78
Base on balls
46
Strikeouts
412
Stolen bases
00
At bat
3234
Batting average
0.2810.206

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cleveland Guardians
45.4%
Chicago Cubs
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 53.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cleveland Guardians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Chicago Cubs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cleveland Guardians than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Cubs than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Cleveland Guardians - Chicago Cubs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.1)

    1.76
    (1.7)
    4.1%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 8.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Cleveland Guardians - Chicago Cubs?
  • Users Predictions: Cleveland Guardians will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Cleveland has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Chi Cubs has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 77:88. (average 3.9:4.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cleveland won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:42. (average 3.5:4.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cleveland Guardians - Chicago Cubs were as follows:
    05.04.2026 Cleveland Guardians - Chicago Cubs 6:5
    03.04.2026 Cleveland Guardians - Chicago Cubs 2:5
    16.03.2026 Cleveland Guardians - Chicago Cubs 2:5
    27.02.2026 Chicago Cubs - Cleveland Guardians 8:6
    03.07.2025 Chicago Cubs - Cleveland Guardians 1:0
    Latest results of Chicago Cubs
    MLB Table
    Main

    American League
    PlWLPCT
    1Tampa Bay Rays20128100:1030.600
    2New York Yankees21129103:820.571
    3Cleveland Guardians22121087:910.545
    4Texas Rangers21111090:770.524
    5Detroit Tigers21111088:730.524
    6Minnesota Twins211110108:930.524
    7Athletics21111087:1030.524
    8Los Angeles Angels221111114:1020.500
    9Baltimore Orioles21101187:900.476
    10Seattle Mariners2291385:820.409
    11Boston Red Sox2081279:900.400
    12Houston Astros22814116:1330.364
    13Toronto Blue Jays2071373:1050.350
    14Chicago White Sox2171475:1090.333
    15Kansas City Royals2171471:960.333


    National League
    PlWLPCT
    1Los Angeles Dodgers20155115:640.750
    2Atlanta Braves21147118:630.667
    3San Diego Padres2114794:780.667
    4Arizona Diamondbacks2113895:920.619
    5Cincinnati Reds2113871:820.619
    6Milwaukee Brewers20128103:820.600
    7St.Louis Cardinals2012896:1060.600
    8Pittsburgh Pirates21129107:850.571
    9Chicago Cubs20119110:810.550
    10Washington Nationals21912118:1340.429
    11Miami Marlins2191295:980.429
    12San Francisco Giants2191275:930.429
    13Philadelphia Phillies2081273:1090.400
    14Colorado Rockies2181380:930.381
    15New York Mets2171471:950.333