DC United vs Chicago Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS DC United - Chicago Fire
Result
1:7
07/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 2
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.382.39
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
311
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
83% (430/517)80% (313/389)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.382.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.193.77
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
311
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
2022
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
75
Passes
83% (430/517)80% (313/389)
Long passes
45% (26/58)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
64% (87/136)61% (47/77)
Crosses
12% (3/25)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.21
Throw-ins
158
Fouls
57
Tackles
46% (6/13)57% (4/7)
Duels won
3434
Clearances
1639
Interceptions
715
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
3.771.19
Goals prevented
-3.230.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 4)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Haile-Selassie M. , Dean J. (A), Kouame R. (A2)
  • 8', Tubbs G. 🟨,
  • 12', Kouame R. , Williams S. ,
  • 24', 0 - 2, Bamba J. , Zinckernagel P. (A),
  • 30', 0 - 3, Barlow T. , Gutman A. (A),
  • 44', 0 - 4, Barlow T. , Bamba J. (A), Haile-Selassie M. (A2)
  • 45+1', Bamba J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Zouhir R. , Leal R. ,
  • 46', Bamba J. , Gutierrez B. ,
  • 46', Dean J. , Barroso L. ,
  • 57', 0 - 5, Zinckernagel P. ,
  • 58', Murrell J. , Badji D. ,
  • 59', Elliott J. , Rogers S. ,
  • 60', 1 - 5, Badji D. ,
  • 65', 1 - 6, Barlow T. ,
  • 66', Stroud J. , Turner G. ,
  • 72', Acosta K. 🟨,
  • 76', Barlow T. , Shokalook J. ,
  • 80', Antley C. , Dodson D. ,
  • 80', Gabriel Pirani , Barajas F. ,
  • 85', Zinckernagel P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 7, Gutierrez B. , Shokalook J. (A), Rogers S. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


DC United
35%
Draw
26.9%
Chicago Fire
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 27.1% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 29.1% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for DC United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Fire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • DC United - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.42)
    3.54
    (3.49)
    2.49
    (2.81)
    4.9%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for DC United - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Chicago will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 11)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 2.
    • Recent performances by DC United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chicago is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Chicago has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in DC United: Peltola M. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: Hopkins J. (Hip Injury) Kim J. (Lower-Body Injury) MacNaughton L. (Thigh Injury) Tubbs G. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Rogers S. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, DC United won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, DC United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between DC United - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Chicago Fire - DC United 2:2
    07.09.2024 Chicago Fire - DC United 1:2
    25.05.2024 DC United - Chicago Fire 1:1
    02.09.2023 DC United - Chicago Fire 4:0
    01.04.2023 Chicago Fire - DC United 0:0
    Latest results of DC United
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)