DC United vs Chicago Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS DC United - Chicago Fire
Result
1:7
07/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 2
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.382.39
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
311
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
83% (430/517)80% (313/389)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.382.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.193.77
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
311
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
2022
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
75
Passes
83% (430/517)80% (313/389)
Long passes
45% (26/58)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
64% (87/136)61% (47/77)
Crosses
12% (3/25)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.21
Throw-ins
158
Fouls
57
Tackles
46% (6/13)57% (4/7)
Duels won
3434
Clearances
1639
Interceptions
715
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
3.771.19
Goals prevented
-3.230.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 4)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Haile-Selassie M. , Dean J. (A), Kouame R. (A2)
  • 8', Tubbs G. 🟨,
  • 12', Kouame R. , Williams S. ,
  • 24', 0 - 2, Bamba J. , Zinckernagel P. (A),
  • 30', 0 - 3, Barlow T. , Gutman A. (A),
  • 44', 0 - 4, Barlow T. , Bamba J. (A), Haile-Selassie M. (A2)
  • 45+1', Bamba J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Zouhir R. , Leal R. ,
  • 46', Bamba J. , Gutierrez B. ,
  • 46', Dean J. , Barroso L. ,
  • 57', 0 - 5, Zinckernagel P. ,
  • 58', Murrell J. , Badji D. ,
  • 59', Elliott J. , Rogers S. ,
  • 60', 1 - 5, Badji D. ,
  • 65', 1 - 6, Barlow T. ,
  • 66', Stroud J. , Turner G. ,
  • 72', Acosta K. 🟨,
  • 76', Barlow T. , Shokalook J. ,
  • 80', Antley C. , Dodson D. ,
  • 80', Gabriel Pirani , Barajas F. ,
  • 85', Zinckernagel P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 7, Gutierrez B. , Shokalook J. (A), Rogers S. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


DC United
35%
Draw
26.9%
Chicago Fire
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 27.1% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 29.1% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for DC United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Fire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • DC United - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.42)
    3.54
    (3.49)
    2.49
    (2.81)
    4.9%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for DC United - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Chicago will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 11)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 2.
    • Recent performances by DC United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chicago is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Chicago has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in DC United: Peltola M. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: Hopkins J. (Hip Injury) Kim J. (Lower-Body Injury) MacNaughton L. (Thigh Injury) Tubbs G. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Rogers S. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, DC United won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, DC United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between DC United - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Chicago Fire - DC United 2:2
    07.09.2024 Chicago Fire - DC United 1:2
    25.05.2024 DC United - Chicago Fire 1:1
    02.09.2023 DC United - Chicago Fire 4:0
    01.04.2023 Chicago Fire - DC United 0:0
    Latest results of DC United
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

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    5Los Angeles FC27128749:351444
    6Portland Timbers29119938:39-142
    7Austin FC291181031:36-541
    8Colorado Rapids301161340:49-939
    9San Jose Earthquakes30981355:55035
    10Real Salt Lake281041430:37-734
    11FC Dallas298101142:48-634
    12Houston Dynamo30891339:49-1033
    13Sporting Kansas City30761745:61-1627
    14St. Louis City30671736:51-1525
    15Los Angeles Galaxy29491635:58-2321


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 30176749:331657
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 30174944:37755
    3Charlotte ✔ 301721151:401153
    4Nashville SC301551050:351550
    5Columbus Crew291310648:43549
    6Orlando City29139755:411448
    7New York City28145941:33847
    8Inter Miami26137654:431146
    9Chicago Fire291261154:53142
    10New York Red Bulls301171243:40340
    11New England Revolution30881439:44-532
    12Toronto FC295111329:36-726
    13Atlanta Utd295111336:54-1826
    14DC United305101527:55-2825
    15CF Montreal30591629:53-2424

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)