DC United vs Chicago Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:7
07/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 2
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.382.39
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
311
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
83% (430/517)80% (313/389)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.382.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.193.77
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
311
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
2022
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
75
Passes
83% (430/517)80% (313/389)
Long passes
45% (26/58)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
64% (87/136)61% (47/77)
Crosses
12% (3/25)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.21
Throw-ins
158
Fouls
57
Tackles
46% (6/13)57% (4/7)
Duels won
3434
Clearances
1639
Interceptions
715
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
3.771.19
Goals prevented
-3.230.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 4)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Haile-Selassie M. , Dean J. (A), Kouame R. (A2)
  • 8', Tubbs G. 🟨,
  • 12', Kouame R. , Williams S. ,
  • 24', 0 - 2, Bamba J. , Zinckernagel P. (A),
  • 30', 0 - 3, Barlow T. , Gutman A. (A),
  • 44', 0 - 4, Barlow T. , Bamba J. (A), Haile-Selassie M. (A2)
  • 45+1', Bamba J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Zouhir R. , Leal R. ,
  • 46', Bamba J. , Gutierrez B. ,
  • 46', Dean J. , Barroso L. ,
  • 57', 0 - 5, Zinckernagel P. ,
  • 58', Murrell J. , Badji D. ,
  • 59', Elliott J. , Rogers S. ,
  • 60', 1 - 5, Badji D. ,
  • 65', 1 - 6, Barlow T. ,
  • 66', Stroud J. , Turner G. ,
  • 72', Acosta K. 🟨,
  • 76', Barlow T. , Shokalook J. ,
  • 80', Antley C. , Dodson D. ,
  • 80', Gabriel Pirani , Barajas F. ,
  • 85', Zinckernagel P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 7, Gutierrez B. , Shokalook J. (A), Rogers S. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


DC United
35%
Draw
26.9%
Chicago Fire
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 27.1% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 29.1% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for DC United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Fire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • DC United - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.42)
    3.54
    (3.49)
    2.49
    (2.81)
    4.9%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for DC United - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Chicago will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - DC United (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - DC United (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - DC United (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - DC United (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. DC United (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Chicago (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 11)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 2.
    • Recent performances by DC United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chicago is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Chicago has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in DC United: Peltola M. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: Hopkins J. (Hip Injury) Kim J. (Lower-Body Injury) MacNaughton L. (Thigh Injury) Tubbs G. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Rogers S. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, DC United won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, DC United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between DC United - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Chicago Fire - DC United 2:2
    07.09.2024 Chicago Fire - DC United 1:2
    25.05.2024 DC United - Chicago Fire 1:1
    02.09.2023 DC United - Chicago Fire 4:0
    01.04.2023 Chicago Fire - DC United 0:0
    Latest results of DC United
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

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