Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:5
30/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
surinameSurinameSCCN
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.362.41
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
2411
Shots on target
106
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
88% (578/654)84% (303/360)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.362.41
xG on target (xGOT)
3.323.80
Total shots
2411
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
169
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
3218
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
89
Passes
88% (578/654)84% (303/360)
Long passes
56% (18/32)48% (25/52)
Passes in final third
73% (146/200)49% (23/47)
Crosses
36% (5/14)60% (3/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.151.31
Throw-ins
2012
Fouls
98
Tackles
56% (9/16)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3434
Clearances
423
Interceptions
1215
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
3.803.32
Goals prevented
-1.200.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', 0 - 1, D'Avilla D. , Haile-Selassie M. (A),
  • 32', 0 - 2, Dean J. , Kouame R. (A), Bamba J. (A2)
  • 32', Bamba J. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 2, Aviles T. ,
  • 43', 1 - 3, Kouame R. , Haile-Selassie M. (A),
  • 45+3', Aviles T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Kouame R. , Zinckernagel P. ,
  • 46', Weigandt M. , Fray I. ,
  • 46', Segovia T. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 46', Aviles T. , Allende T. ,
  • 57', 2 - 3, Suarez L. , Rodriguez B. (A),
  • 61', Bamba J. , Gutierrez B. ,
  • 61', D'Avilla D. , Pineda M. ,
  • 61', Dean J. , Reynolds J. ,
  • 68', Busquets S. 🟨,
  • 68', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
  • 69', Franco A. 🟨,
  • 71', Franco A. , Acosta K. ,
  • 74', 3 - 3, Suarez L. , Alba J. (A), Rodriguez B. (A2)
  • 77', Lujan G. , Allen N. ,
  • 78', Bright Y. 🟨,
  • 80', 3 - 4, Reynolds J. , Pineda M. (A), Gutierrez B. (A2)
  • 83', 3 - 5, Gutierrez B. ,
  • 85', Bright Y. , Picault F. ,
  • 86', Elliott J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
60.1%
Draw
20.1%
Chicago Fire
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 20.8% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 20.3% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Inter Miami - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.56)
    4.72
    (4.52)
    4.82
    (4.98)
    4.9%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 72.9%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Inter Miami (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Inter Miami (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Inter Miami (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Chicago (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 2.
    • Inter Miami is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chicago's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Obando A. (Hamstring Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury) Silvetti M. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Mueller C. (Health problems) Radojevic V. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Chicago Fire - Inter Miami 0:0
    31.08.2024 Chicago Fire - Inter Miami 1:4
    20.07.2024 Inter Miami - Chicago Fire 2:1
    04.10.2023 Chicago Fire - Inter Miami 4:1
    25.03.2023 Inter Miami - Chicago Fire 2:3
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)