Result
3:5
30/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 2.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (578/654) | 84% (303/360) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 2.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.32 | 3.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (578/654) | 84% (303/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (18/32) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (146/200) | 49% (23/47) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 60% (3/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 4 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.80 | 3.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.20 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 11', 0 - 1, D'Avilla D. ⚽, Haile-Selassie M. (A),
- 32', 0 - 2, Dean J. ⚽, Kouame R. (A), Bamba J. (A2)
- 32', Bamba J. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 2, Aviles T. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 3, Kouame R. ⚽, Haile-Selassie M. (A),
- 45+3', Aviles T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Kouame R. ↓, Zinckernagel P. ↑,
- 46', Weigandt M. ↓, Fray I. ↑,
- 46', Segovia T. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
- 46', Aviles T. ↓, Allende T. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 3, Suarez L. ⚽, Rodriguez B. (A),
- 61', Bamba J. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
- 61', D'Avilla D. ↓, Pineda M. ↑,
- 61', Dean J. ↓, Reynolds J. ↑,
- 68', Busquets S. 🟨,
- 68', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
- 69', Franco A. 🟨,
- 71', Franco A. ↓, Acosta K. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 3, Suarez L. ⚽, Alba J. (A), Rodriguez B. (A2)
- 77', Lujan G. ↓, Allen N. ↑,
- 78', Bright Y. 🟨,
- 80', 3 - 4, Reynolds J. ⚽, Pineda M. (A), Gutierrez B. (A2)
- 83', 3 - 5, Gutierrez B. ⚽,
- 85', Bright Y. ↓, Picault F. ↑,
- 86', Elliott J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Inter Miami
60.1% | Draw
20.1% | Chicago Fire
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Inter Miami - Chicago Fire Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.56) |
4.72 ↑
(4.52) |
4.82 ↓
(4.98) |
4.9%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Chicago Fire?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Chicago will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 72.9% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 2.
- Inter Miami is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Chicago's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Inter Miami is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Inter Miami: Obando A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ruiz D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Silvetti M.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Chicago: Mueller C.
(Health problems)
Radojevic V.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Miami won against Chicago Fire?
Inter Miami has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against Inter Miami?
Chicago Fire has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Chicago Fire were as follows:
13.04.2025
Chicago Fire
-
Inter Miami
0:0
31.08.2024
Chicago Fire
-
Inter Miami
1:4
20.07.2024
Inter Miami
-
Chicago Fire
2:1
04.10.2023
Chicago Fire
-
Inter Miami
4:1
25.03.2023
Inter Miami
-
Chicago Fire
2:3
Latest results of Inter Miami
Latest results of Chicago Fire
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
