Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:5
30/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
surinameSurinameSCCN
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.362.41
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
2411
Shots on target
106
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
88% (578/654)84% (303/360)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.362.41
xG on target (xGOT)
3.323.80
Total shots
2411
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
169
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
3218
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
89
Passes
88% (578/654)84% (303/360)
Long passes
56% (18/32)48% (25/52)
Passes in final third
73% (146/200)49% (23/47)
Crosses
36% (5/14)60% (3/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.151.31
Throw-ins
2012
Fouls
98
Tackles
56% (9/16)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3434
Clearances
423
Interceptions
1215
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
3.803.32
Goals prevented
-1.200.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', 0 - 1, D'Avilla D. , Haile-Selassie M. (A),
  • 32', 0 - 2, Dean J. , Kouame R. (A), Bamba J. (A2)
  • 32', Bamba J. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 2, Aviles T. ,
  • 43', 1 - 3, Kouame R. , Haile-Selassie M. (A),
  • 45+3', Aviles T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Kouame R. , Zinckernagel P. ,
  • 46', Weigandt M. , Fray I. ,
  • 46', Segovia T. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 46', Aviles T. , Allende T. ,
  • 57', 2 - 3, Suarez L. , Rodriguez B. (A),
  • 61', Bamba J. , Gutierrez B. ,
  • 61', D'Avilla D. , Pineda M. ,
  • 61', Dean J. , Reynolds J. ,
  • 68', Busquets S. 🟨,
  • 68', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
  • 69', Franco A. 🟨,
  • 71', Franco A. , Acosta K. ,
  • 74', 3 - 3, Suarez L. , Alba J. (A), Rodriguez B. (A2)
  • 77', Lujan G. , Allen N. ,
  • 78', Bright Y. 🟨,
  • 80', 3 - 4, Reynolds J. , Pineda M. (A), Gutierrez B. (A2)
  • 83', 3 - 5, Gutierrez B. ,
  • 85', Bright Y. , Picault F. ,
  • 86', Elliott J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
60.1%
Draw
20.1%
Chicago Fire
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 20.8% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 20.3% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Inter Miami - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.56)
    4.72
    (4.52)
    4.82
    (4.98)
    4.9%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Chicago Fire?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Inter Miami (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Inter Miami (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Inter Miami (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Chicago (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 2.
    • Inter Miami is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chicago's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Obando A. (Hamstring Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury) Silvetti M. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Mueller C. (Health problems) Radojevic V. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Chicago Fire - Inter Miami 0:0
    31.08.2024 Chicago Fire - Inter Miami 1:4
    20.07.2024 Inter Miami - Chicago Fire 2:1
    04.10.2023 Chicago Fire - Inter Miami 4:1
    25.03.2023 Inter Miami - Chicago Fire 2:3
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC54108:0813
    2Vancouver Whitecaps540114:21212
    3San Jose Earthquakes54017:1612
    4San Diego FC532013:5811
    5Seattle Sounders53115:2310
    6Real Salt Lake53119:7210
    7Colorado Rapids530211:749
    8FC Dallas522110:918
    9Houston Dynamo42028:9-16
    10Los Angeles Galaxy51227:8-15
    11Austin FC51225:7-25
    12Minnesota United51224:11-75
    13St. Louis City51134:7-34
    14Portland Timbers51137:12-54
    15Sporting Kansas City51135:11-64


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC541013:21113
    2New York City531113:6710
    3Inter Miami53119:8110
    4Charlotte522110:648
    5Chicago Fire52127:527
    6DC United52124:407
    7Toronto FC52126:8-27
    8New York Red Bulls52125:11-67
    9FC Cincinnati52037:11-46
    10Atlanta Utd51135:8-34
    11New England Revolution41038:9-13
    12CF Montreal51047:14-73
    13Orlando City51045:17-123
    14Columbus Crew50235:8-32
    15Philadelphia Union50053:9-60

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)