Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Result
3:5
30/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
surinameSurinameSCCN
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.362.41
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
2411
Shots on target
106
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
88% (578/654)84% (303/360)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.362.41
xG on target (xGOT)
3.323.80
Total shots
2411
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
169
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
3218
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
89
Passes
88% (578/654)84% (303/360)
Long passes
56% (18/32)48% (25/52)
Passes in final third
73% (146/200)49% (23/47)
Crosses
36% (5/14)60% (3/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.151.31
Throw-ins
2012
Fouls
98
Tackles
56% (9/16)69% (9/13)
Duels won
3434
Clearances
423
Interceptions
1215
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
3.803.32
Goals prevented
-1.200.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', 0 - 1, D'Avilla D. ⚽, Haile-Selassie M. (A),
  • 32', 0 - 2, Dean J. ⚽, Kouame R. (A), Bamba J. (A2)
  • 32', Bamba J. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 2, Aviles T. ⚽,
  • 43', 1 - 3, Kouame R. ⚽, Haile-Selassie M. (A),
  • 45+3', Aviles T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Kouame R. ↓, Zinckernagel P. ↑,
  • 46', Weigandt M. ↓, Fray I. ↑,
  • 46', Segovia T. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
  • 46', Aviles T. ↓, Allende T. ↑,
  • 57', 2 - 3, Suarez L. ⚽, Rodriguez B. (A),
  • 61', Bamba J. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
  • 61', D'Avilla D. ↓, Pineda M. ↑,
  • 61', Dean J. ↓, Reynolds J. ↑,
  • 68', Busquets S. 🟨,
  • 68', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
  • 69', Franco A. 🟨,
  • 71', Franco A. ↓, Acosta K. ↑,
  • 74', 3 - 3, Suarez L. ⚽, Alba J. (A), Rodriguez B. (A2)
  • 77', Lujan G. ↓, Allen N. ↑,
  • 78', Bright Y. 🟨,
  • 80', 3 - 4, Reynolds J. ⚽, Pineda M. (A), Gutierrez B. (A2)
  • 83', 3 - 5, Gutierrez B. ⚽,
  • 85', Bright Y. ↓, Picault F. ↑,
  • 86', Elliott J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
60.1%		Draw
20.1%		Chicago Fire
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 20.8% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 20.3% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
    •

    Inter Miami - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.59 ↑
    (1.56)    		 4.72 ↑
    (4.52)    		 4.82 ↓
    (4.98)    		 4.9%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Chicago Fire?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Inter Miami (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Inter Miami (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Inter Miami (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Miami will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Chicago (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 2.
    • Inter Miami is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Chicago's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Inter Miami is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Obando A. (Hamstring Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury) Silvetti M. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Mueller C. (Health problems) Radojevic V. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Chicago Fire - Inter Miami 0:0
    31.08.2024 Chicago Fire - Inter Miami 1:4
    20.07.2024 Inter Miami - Chicago Fire 2:1
    04.10.2023 Chicago Fire - Inter Miami 4:1
    25.03.2023 Inter Miami - Chicago Fire 2:3
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    27.09.2025 Toronto FC - Inter Miami 1:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 New York City - Inter Miami 0:4 ✺
    20.09.2025 Inter Miami - DC United 3:2 ✺
    16.09.2025 Inter Miami - Seattle Sounders 3:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Charlotte - Inter Miami 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    27.09.2025 Chicago Fire - Columbus Crew 2:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Minnesota United - Chicago Fire 0:3 ✺
    13.09.2025 Chicago Fire - New York City 1:3 ✺
    06.09.2025 Chicago Fire - New England Revolution 3:2 ✺
    23.08.2025 Philadelphia Union - Chicago Fire 4:0 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Jose Earthquakes1191126:71928
    2Vancouver Whitecaps1081126:62025
    3Los Angeles FC1163219:81121
    4Seattle Sounders962113:5820
    5Minnesota United1162314:16-220
    6Real Salt Lake1061319:14519
    7FC Dallas1144320:15516
    8Houston Dynamo1050513:18-515
    9Colorado Rapids1141622:19313
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1134416:17-113
    11Austin FC1134416:19-313
    12San Diego FC1133519:19012
    13Portland Timbers1031613:21-810
    14St. Louis City101369:18-96
    15Sporting Kansas City101278:26-185


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC1072121:61523
    2New England Revolution1061318:12619
    3Inter Miami1154222:19319
    4Chicago Fire1052319:11817
    5DC United1143413:15-215
    6FC Cincinnati1143422:25-315
    7Charlotte1142518:19-114
    8Toronto FC1135318:20-214
    9New York City1133519:18112
    10Columbus Crew1133516:16012
    11New York Red Bulls1133516:27-1112
    12Atlanta Utd1131712:18-610
    13Orlando City1131716:32-1610
    14CF Montreal1030714:23-99
    15Philadelphia Union111379:17-86

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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