Result
2:1
22/02/2025 at 20:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Pacheco Larios G. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | NBC Universo, Peacock TV, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 32 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 7 | 29 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (216/312) | 86% (433/505) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 57% (52/91) | 74% (119/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 19% (4/21) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (18/25) | 77% (17/22) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Idrissi O. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Pulido A. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 1, Romo L. ⚽, Camberos H. (A),
- 42', Idrissi O. 🟨,
- 45+4', Alvarado R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Gonzalez A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 61', Pulido A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 61', Mozo A. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
- 70', John Kennedy ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
- 70', Rodriguez L. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
- 74', Camberos H. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
- 78', Homenchenko S. 🟨,
- 80', Rondon S. 🟨,
- 80', Tapias M. 🟨,
- 81', Tapias M. 🟨,
- 82', Homenchenko S. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
- 88', Alvarado R. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 88', Gonzalez A. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
- 90+2', Moreno C. 🟨,
- 90+6', Gutierrez E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
42.5% | Draw
28.1% | Pachuca
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chivas Guadalajara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(2) |
3.34 ↓
(3.73) |
3.21 ↓
(3.41) |
5.9%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Mexican Liga MX with fubo (for US customers) Network on : NBC Universo
What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Pachuca will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Pachuca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Guadalajara will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Olivas Salcedo L. A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Pachuca: Barreto S. D.
(Injury)
Cabral G.
(Injury)
Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D.
(Injury)
Gomez M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Whalley O.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 4 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19:26 (average 1:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guadalajara won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:13 (average 0.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Pachuca?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Pachuca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca were as follows:
19.10.2024
Pachuca
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:2
23.06.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Pachuca
0:3
13.04.2024
Pachuca
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:1
23.09.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Pachuca
0:0
11.02.2023
Pachuca
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
