Result
4:2
11/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Molina Astorga M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (479/540) | 77% (251/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.14 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 2 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (479/540) | 77% (251/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (59/82) | 27% (13/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (161/193) | 55% (31/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 3.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.94 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Di Yorio L. ⚽, Villalba F. (A),
- 15', 1 - 1, Guzman V. ⚽, Kenedy (A),
- 35', 2 - 1, Guzman V. ⚽, Montiel E. (A),
- 45+3', Dajome C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Dajome C. ↓, Sordo R. ↑,
- 52', Amione B. 🟥,
- 53', Cedillo N. ↓, Orona E. ↑,
- 57', Guemez J. 🟨,
- 60', 3 - 1, Guzman V. ⚽, Garcia Caprizo B. A. (A),
- 67', Montiel E. ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
- 72', 4 - 1, Sanchez C. ⚽,
- 75', Bullaude E. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 82', Idrissi O. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
- 82', Kenedy ↓, Quinones L. ↑,
- 82', Villalba F. ↓, Jimenez T. ↑,
- 82', Di Yorio L. ↓, Medina D. ↑,
- 87', Rondon S. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 87', Guzman V. ↓, Pedraza P. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 2, Ramirez J. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Pachuca
68.8% | Draw
18.4% | Santos Laguna
12.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pachuca's performance.Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pachuca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+3%)
Pachuca - Santos Laguna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.47) |
5.08 ↑
(4.22) |
7.3 ↑
(5.63) |
6.3%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Pachuca - Santos Laguna?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Pachuca will win (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 3.
- Pachuca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Santos Laguna's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Pachuca is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
Mozo A.
(Broken Leg)
Rivera C.
(Red Card)
Rodriguez S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Santos Laguna: Gruezo C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lozano C.
(Knee Injury)
Mariscal Murra S.
(Muscle Injury)
Picon K.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Bullaude E.
(Injury)
Cedillo N.
(Injury)
- We predict that Pachuca will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:11. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Santos Laguna?
Pachuca has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos Laguna won against Pachuca?
Santos Laguna has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Santos Laguna were as follows:
09.11.2025
Santos Laguna
-
Pachuca
1:0
20.01.2025
Pachuca
-
Santos Laguna
2:1
22.10.2024
Santos Laguna
-
Pachuca
1:1
20.04.2024
Santos Laguna
-
Pachuca
0:2
18.09.2023
Pachuca
-
Santos Laguna
3:2
Latest results of Pachuca
Latest results of Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
