Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
09/11/2025 at 22:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoNu9ve, TUDN, ViX Gratis, VIX+
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
84
Yellow Cards
44
Total shots
157
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
82
Corner Kicks
84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', Henry A. 🟨,
  • 32', Peraza C. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Cervantes A. , Salazar E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', van de Sanden S. 🟨,
  • 64', Salazar E. , Delgado D. ,
  • 68', Cuevas B. , Vazquez S. ,
  • 72', Castro D. , Montoya J. ,
  • 77', Cervantes A. 🟨,
  • 78', 🟨,
  • 83', 0 - 2, Cervantes A. ,
  • 90', Cervantes A. , Iturbide A. ,
  • 90+1', Delgado D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Franco Y. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Espino C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Toluca
37%
Draw
27.4%
Chivas Guadalajara
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 26.9% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 26.6% 34.5%

Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.49
(2.33)
3.37
(3.3)
2.59
(2.54)
8.5%
(12.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toluca (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 2.
    • Toluca is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Guadalajara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Guadalajara has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:35. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.9:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
    06.11.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca 2:2
    13.08.2025 Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara 2:1
    13.02.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca 1:0
    02.09.2024 Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara 2:0
    21.01.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca 1:1
    Latest results of Toluca
    31.10.2025 Toluca - Puebla 4:1
    17.10.2025 Necaxa - Toluca 0:2
    04.10.2025 Toluca - Mazatlan 6:0
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tigres UANL W (1)Juarez W (8)0 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Pachuca W (2)Cruz Azul W (7)0 : 5, 2 : 1
    3Club America W (3)Monterrey W (6)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Toluca W (4)Guadalajara Chivas W (5)0 : 2, 2 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tigres UANL W (1)Cruz Azul W (7)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Club America W (3)Guadalajara Chivas W (5)2 : 0, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Tigres UANL W (1)Club America W (3)3 : 3