Result
2:1
13/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Martinez F. M. G. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', Peraza C. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Henry A. ⚽,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Gonzalez Rendon I. A. 🟨,
- 55', Peraza C. ↓, Cuevas B. ↑,
- 59', Montero C. 🟨,
- 61', Gonzalez Rendon I. A. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
- 65', Le Sommer E. ↓, Cortez V. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Montero C. ⚽,
- 70', Salazar E. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
- 81', Robert F. ↓, Monroy F. ↑,
- 84', Guzman K. ↓, Iturbide A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toluca
41.1% | Draw
26.1% | Chivas Guadalajara
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chivas Guadalajara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chivas Guadalajara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.92) |
3.53 ↑
(3.2) |
2.82 ↑
(2.18) |
8.5%
(11.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.
- Toluca has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Guadalajara is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 9:32. (average 0.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Toluca has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Toluca?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
13.02.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
1:0
02.09.2024
Toluca
-
Chivas Guadalajara
2:0
21.01.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
1:1
12.11.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
2:1
09.11.2023
Toluca
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:3
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Club America W | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28:3 | 25 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 16 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Monterrey W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Pachuca W | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 14 |
| 7 | Juarez W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 14 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Atl. San Luis W | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Club Leon W | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Cruz Azul W | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | Atlas W | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 | Necaxa W | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:17 | -11 | 5 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Queretaro W | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:23 | -16 | 3 |
| 16 | Club Tijuana W | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:22 | -19 | 1 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:27 | -23 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
