Result
2:1
13/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Martinez F. M. G. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', Peraza C. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Henry A. ⚽,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Gonzalez Rendon I. A. 🟨,
- 55', Peraza C. ↓, Cuevas B. ↑,
- 59', Montero C. 🟨,
- 61', Gonzalez Rendon I. A. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
- 65', Le Sommer E. ↓, Cortez V. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Montero C. ⚽,
- 70', Salazar E. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
- 81', Robert F. ↓, Monroy F. ↑,
- 84', Guzman K. ↓, Iturbide A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toluca
41.1% | Draw
26.1% | Chivas Guadalajara
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chivas Guadalajara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chivas Guadalajara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.92) |
3.53 ↑
(3.2) |
2.82 ↑
(2.18) |
8.5%
(11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.
- Toluca has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Guadalajara is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 9:32. (average 0.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Toluca has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Toluca?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
13.02.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
1:0
02.09.2024
Toluca
-
Chivas Guadalajara
2:0
21.01.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
1:1
12.11.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
2:1
09.11.2023
Toluca
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:3
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigres UANL W ✔ | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 53:8 | 45 | 38 |
| 2 | Pachuca W ✔ | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 52:18 | 34 | 36 |
| 3 | Club America W ✔ | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 48:19 | 29 | 32 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Toluca W | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28:15 | 13 | 28 |
| 6 | Monterrey W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 26 |
| 7 | Club Leon W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 29:30 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 30:24 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 | Cruz Azul W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 21 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Juarez W | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Atlas W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana W | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:26 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Queretaro W | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:42 | -29 | 10 |
| 15 | Santos Laguna W | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Necaxa W | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8:32 | -24 | 8 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5:36 | -31 | 5 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7:48 | -41 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
