Result
0:2
09/11/2025 at 22:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Nu9ve, TUDN, ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Henry A. 🟨,
- 32', Peraza C. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Cervantes A. ⚽, Salazar E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', van de Sanden S. 🟨,
- 64', Salazar E. ↓, Delgado D. ↑,
- 68', Cuevas B. ↓, Vazquez S. ↑,
- 72', Castro D. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
- 77', Cervantes A. 🟨,
- 78', 🟨,
- 83', 0 - 2, Cervantes A. ⚽,
- 90', Cervantes A. ↓, Iturbide A. ↑,
- 90+1', Delgado D. 🟨,
- 90+5', Franco Y. 🟨,
- 90+6', Espino C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toluca
37% | Draw
27.4% | Chivas Guadalajara
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.33) |
3.37 ↑
(3.3) |
2.59 ↑
(2.54) |
8.5%
(12.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toluca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 2.
- Toluca is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Guadalajara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Guadalajara has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:35. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.9:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Toluca has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Toluca?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
06.11.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
2:2
13.08.2025
Toluca
-
Chivas Guadalajara
2:1
13.02.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
1:0
02.09.2024
Toluca
-
Chivas Guadalajara
2:0
21.01.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
1:1
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey W ✔ | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 39:5 | 34 | 40 |
| 2 | Club America W ✔ | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 41:11 | 30 | 39 |
| 3 | Pachuca W ✔ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 44:12 | 32 | 36 |
| 4 | Tigres UANL W ✔ | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38:13 | 25 | 34 |
| 5 | Guadalajara Chivas W ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 32 |
| 6 | Toluca W ✔ | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37:25 | 12 | 32 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul W ✔ | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 37:18 | 19 | 30 |
| 8 | Juarez W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana W | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 25 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas W | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | Mazatlan FC W | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis W | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 |
| 13 | Club Leon W | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | Atlas W | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 12 |
| 15 | Puebla W | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8:44 | -36 | 8 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna W | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11:29 | -18 | 6 |
| 17 | Queretaro W | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11:43 | -32 | 5 |
| 18 | Necaxa W | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9:59 | -50 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Monterrey W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Guadalajara Chivas W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Toluca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
