Result
3:0
18/10/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Aparicio D. ⚽,
- 8', Diaz A. 🟨,
- 14', Fajardo M. 🟨,
- 28', Moya B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Fajardo M. ↓, Tatum Ferrera A. K. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 0, Moya B. ⚽,
- 61', Moya B. ↓, Carter D. ↑,
- 62', Gustavo Souza ↓, Osorto R. ↑,
- 67', Diaz A. ↓, Franco J. ↑,
- 68', Felix B. ↓, Bermudez J. ↑,
- 68', Anaya L. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
- 69', Giron A. 🟨,
- 79', Aceituno M. ↓, Abbott K. ↑,
- 80', Carter D. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 85', Chavez Y. ↓, Arias I. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 0, Cruz N. ⚽,
- 89', Cruz N. ↓, Romero C. ↑,
- 90', Palacios D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Abbott K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real España 78.5% | Draw 13.6% | Choloma 7.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real España's performance.Choloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Choloma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real España that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Real España - Choloma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.17 ↓ (1.37) |
6.77 ↑ (4.33) |
11.76 ↑ (6.81) |
8.5% (10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 9).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Choloma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Real España is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real España won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Real España won against Choloma?
Real España has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Choloma won against Real España?
Choloma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real España - Choloma were as follows:
09.08.2025
Choloma
-
Real España
0:3
Latest results of Real España
Latest results of Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 34 |
| 2 | Marathon | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 19 | 30 |
| 3 | Olancho | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28:20 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 6 | Platense | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Motagua | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:22 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Choloma | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 11 |
| 10 | Genesis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )