Result
2:1
18/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Perello M. 🟥,
- 21', Matute C. ↓, Acevedo H. ↑,
- 36', 1 - 0, Aceituno M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Martinez W. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
- 46', Barrios A. ↓, Monico D. ↑,
- 46', Bernardez C. ↓, Espinal M. ↑,
- 56', Nunez M. ↓, Santos Y. ↑,
- 64', Aceituno M. ↓, Abbott K. ↑,
- 64', Cordova J. ↓, Zamora J. ↑,
- 69', Franco J. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 0, Felix B. ⚽,
- 76', Franco J. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
- 77', Alvarado ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
- 77', Banegas A. ↓, Franco L. ↑,
- 78', Portillo A. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 1, Franco L. ⚽,
- 90+1', Card S. 🟨,
- 90+3', Diaz A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Choloma
37.6% | Draw
27.2% | Victoria La Ceiba
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Choloma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Choloma's form might have worsened.Victoria La Ceiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victoria La Ceiba's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Choloma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Victoria La Ceiba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Choloma - Victoria La Ceiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.08) |
3.38 ↑
(3.35) |
2.61 ↓
(3.07) |
8.9%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 11).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Choloma could have a small edge in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Choloma won against Victoria La Ceiba?
Choloma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Victoria La Ceiba won against Choloma?
Victoria La Ceiba has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Choloma - Victoria La Ceiba were as follows:
Latest results of Choloma
Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marathon | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Olimpia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Olancho | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Motagua | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Juticalpa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 6 | Platense | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:11 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | UPNFM | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Real Espana | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Genesis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Choloma | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:24 | -14 | 7 |
| 11 | Victoria | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
