Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', Barrios B. 🟨,
- 6', Martinez M. 🟨,
- 21', Oliva E. 🟥,
- 26', Ramirez L. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 34', 1 - 0, Aceituno M. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, Lahera Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Franco J. ↓, Chavez Y. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 1, Chavez Y. ⚽,
- 60', Lahera Y. 🟨,
- 63', Blackburn R. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 64', Hernandez A. ↓, Bueso G. ↑,
- 64', Espinal M. ↓, Kelly K. ↑,
- 64', Rocha D. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
- 77', Lahera Y. ↓, Monico D. ↑,
- 78', Cordova J. ↓, Canales C. ↑,
- 79', Anaya L. ↓, Arias I. ↑,
- 83', Florez E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Aceituno M. ↓, Padilla G. ↑,
- 90+5', Martinez C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Choloma
42.7% | Draw
26.6% | Victoria La Ceiba
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Choloma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Choloma's performance.Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Victoria La Ceiba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Choloma that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Victoria La Ceiba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Choloma - Victoria La Ceiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.55) |
3.45 ↑
(3.3) |
2.99 ↑
(2.35) |
8.9%
(12.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- Choloma has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Victoria La Ceiba has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Choloma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Choloma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Choloma won against Victoria La Ceiba?
Choloma has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Victoria La Ceiba won against Choloma?
Victoria La Ceiba has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Choloma - Victoria La Ceiba were as follows:
02.12.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Choloma
4:1
18.09.2025
Choloma
-
Victoria La Ceiba
2:1
Latest results of Choloma
Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:10 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Motagua | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Marathon | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Olimpia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Olancho | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Victoria | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 9 | Platense | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Choloma | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Genesis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
