Sukhothai vs Chonburi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
23/11/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Thai League 1 - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
thailandThailandAIS PLAY

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.95
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
76% (229/300)85% (410/484)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.360.92
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
919
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
178
Passes
76% (229/300)85% (410/484)
Long passes
41% (28/69)51% (22/43)
Passes in final third
65% (54/83)67% (98/147)
Crosses
29% (2/7)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.03
Throw-ins
2626
Fouls
817
Tackles
87% (13/15)100% (9/9)
Duels won
5033
Clearances
285
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.921.36
Goals prevented
-0.08-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Baggio J. , Mateusinho (A),
  • 18', Promsrikaew C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', van Lingen O. , Kraisorn A. ,
  • 57', Seaisakul P. , Moraksa R. ,
  • 62', 2 - 0, Romeu , Chatthong S. (A),
  • 65', 2 - 1, Houla G. ,
  • 67', Sansanit K. , Tabinas J. ,
  • 67', Biesamrit N. , Eisa A. ,
  • 77', Mateusinho , Denman A. ,
  • 77', Chatthong S. , Elias ,
  • 82', Aranpiroj R. , Thiamrat L. ,
  • 84', Channgom S. , Sujarit T. ,
  • 90+5', Baggio J. , Logarwit S. ,
  • 90+5', Thumporn T. , Kanlayanabandit S. ,
  • 90+6', Kanlayanabandit S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sukhothai
41.7%
Draw
27.4%
Chonburi
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 27.2% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 27.3% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sukhothai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • The chances for Chonburi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Sukhothai - Chonburi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.19)
    3.35
    (3.36)
    2.97
    (2.97)
    9.1%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sukhothai - Chonburi?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Chonburi (1.82) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Chonburi (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Sukhothai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sukhothai will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sukhothai won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sukhothai - Chonburi were as follows:
    25.02.2024 Chonburi - Sukhothai 3:1
    10.11.2023 Sukhothai - Chonburi 3:2
    04.04.2023 Sukhothai - Chonburi 1:0
    29.10.2022 Chonburi - Sukhothai 1:1
    Latest results of Sukhothai
    08.11.2025 Sukhothai - Kanchanaburi 1:1
    01.11.2025 Rayong FC - Sukhothai 2:0
    26.10.2025 Sukhothai - Pathum United 3:1
    Latest results of Chonburi
    09.11.2025 Chonburi - Buriram United 4:2
    02.11.2025 Chonburi - Pathum United 1:2
    04.10.2025 Uthai Thani - Chonburi 1:1
    Thai League 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Buriram21172257:203753
    2Port MTI FC21123642:192339
    3Ratchaburi20123532:181439
    4Bangkok Utd20116332:201239
    5Pathum United21106531:211036
    6Rayong FC2177732:29328
    7Prachuap21610527:27028
    8Ayutthaya Utd2168728:31-326
    9Uthai Thani2167833:34-125
    10Chonburi2167825:27-225
    11Chiangrai Utd21510624:31-725
    12Sukhothai2149815:30-1521
    13Lamphun Warrior21311728:38-1020
    14Kanchanaburi222101022:40-1816
    15Muang Thong Utd21351319:42-2314
    16Nakhon Ratchasima FC20341313:33-2013

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Thai League 2