Result
3:1
21/06/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
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China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.41 | 0.33 |
Ball Possession |
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25% | 75% |
Total shots |
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7 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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1 | 3 |
Passes |
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58% (86/148) | 84% (382/453) |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.41 | 0.33 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.18 | 0.61 |
Total shots |
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7 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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1 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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1 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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1 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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12 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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14 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 17 |
Passes |
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58% (86/148) | 84% (382/453) |
Long passes |
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35% (22/62) | 64% (41/64) |
Passes in final third |
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36% (18/50) | 76% (134/177) |
Crosses |
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22% (2/9) | 30% (9/30) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.85 | 0.61 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 30 |
Fouls |
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17 | 12 |
Tackles |
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65% (13/20) | 80% (4/5) |
Duels won |
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45 | 34 |
Clearances |
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39 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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17 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.61 | 2.18 |
Goals prevented |
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0.41 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Wang Jingbin ⚽,
- 45+1', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', Liu Ziming ↓, Olavio ↑,
- 55', 2 - 0, Liu Le ⚽, An Yifei (A),
- 56', Dankler 🟨,
- 59', Ruan Qilong ↓, Ng Y. H. ↑,
- 59', Liu Mingshi ↓, Bai Yutao ↑,
- 68', 3 - 0, Olavio ⚽,
- 77', Ayovi J. ↓, Gao Huaze ↑,
- 77', Wang Jingbin ↓, Zhu Haiwei ↑,
- 78', Carrillo J. ↓, Song Pan ↑,
- 78', He Xiaoqiang ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Zhu Haiwei (Own goal),
- 90+2', Liu Le 🟨,
- 90+2', Wang Wenxuan 🟨,
- 90+6', Xu Junchi 🟨,
- 90+7', An Yifei ↓, Chen Zhexuan ↑,
- 90+7', Liu Le ↓, Zhao Yubo ↑,
Chances of winning
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 24.3% | Draw 27.6% | Chongqing Tongliang Long 48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shijiazhuang Gongfu's form might have worsened.Chongqing Tongliang Long has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chongqing Tongliang Long's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shijiazhuang Gongfu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chongqing Tongliang Long, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Chongqing Tongliang Long Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.77 ↑ (2.54) |
3.32 ↑ (3.25) |
1.9 ↓ (2.45) |
9.2% (11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Users Predictions:
Chongqing Tongliang Long will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Chongqing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Chongqing has had a series of home games.
- Chongqing is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Shijiazhuang Gongfu won against Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Shijiazhuang Gongfu has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chongqing Tongliang Long won against Shijiazhuang Gongfu?
Chongqing Tongliang Long has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Chongqing Tongliang Long were as follows:
13.10.2024
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
-
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1:0
02.06.2024
Chongqing Tongliang Long
-
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2:1
31.05.2023
Chongqing Tongliang Long
-
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
3:0
Latest results of Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Latest results of Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Liaoning Tieren | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 41:16 | 25 | 43 |
2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
3 | Yanbian Longding | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 31 |
4 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28:20 | 8 | 30 |
5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 24 |
7 | Dalian K'un City | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
8 | Nantong Zhiyun | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:21 | 0 | 22 |
9 | Shaanxi Union | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Suzhou Dongwu | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 21 |
11 | Dingnan Ganlian | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 20 |
12 | Nanjing City | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 20 |
14 | Foshan Nanshi | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
15 | Qingdao Red Lions | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
16 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League