Result
1:1
03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Popoola A. ⚽,
- 10', 1 - 1, Brogan M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Chorley
68.3% | Draw
19.2% | Leamington
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chorley's performance.Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leamington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chorley that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leamington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chorley - Leamington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.62) |
4.85 ↑
(3.93) |
7.43 ↑
(4.88) |
7.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Chorley - Leamington?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Chorley will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Leamington will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chorley: 46.4% – 99%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Chorley (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chorley will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Chorley (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 3.
- Recent performances by Chorley have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Leamington has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Chorley is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chorley won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Chorley won against Leamington?
Chorley has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leamington won against Chorley?
Leamington has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chorley - Leamington were as follows:
30.08.2025
Leamington
-
Chorley
1:0
01.03.2025
Leamington
-
Chorley
3:2
09.11.2024
Chorley
-
Leamington
2:1
15.04.2023
Leamington
-
Chorley
1:2
15.10.2022
Chorley
-
Leamington
1:0
Latest results of Chorley
Latest results of Leamington
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 39 | 27 | 4 | 8 | 94:42 | 52 | 85 |
| 2 | South Shields | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 85:36 | 49 | 84 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 54:39 | 15 | 66 |
| 4 | Merthyr Town | 40 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 87:73 | 14 | 66 |
| 5 | Darlington | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 71:53 | 18 | 65 |
| 6 | Macclesfield | 37 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 68:55 | 13 | 64 |
| 7 | Scarborough | 40 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 55:47 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | AFC Telford | 40 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 77:54 | 23 | 60 |
| 9 | Buxton | 39 | 17 | 6 | 16 | 65:53 | 12 | 57 |
| 10 | Chester | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 58:62 | -4 | 57 |
| 11 | Radcliffe | 39 | 17 | 5 | 17 | 65:63 | 2 | 56 |
| 12 | Marine | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 51:55 | -4 | 55 |
| 13 | Spennymoor | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 52:63 | -11 | 54 |
| 14 | Southport | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 55:61 | -6 | 51 |
| 15 | Chorley | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 60:59 | 1 | 49 |
| 16 | Curzon Ashton | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 59:74 | -15 | 47 |
| 17 | Worksop | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 52:69 | -17 | 47 |
| 18 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 39 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 47:53 | -6 | 46 |
| 19 | Bedford | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 56:70 | -14 | 43 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 49:59 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Hereford | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 48:63 | -15 | 38 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36:67 | -31 | 37 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 40 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 43:75 | -32 | 37 |
| 24 | Leamington | 39 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 28:70 | -42 | 23 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
