Chorley vs Leamington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Popoola A. ,
  • 10', 1 - 1, Brogan M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Chorley
68.3%
Draw
19.2%
Leamington
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 23.6% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 23% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chorley's performance.
  • Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leamington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chorley that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leamington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chorley - Leamington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.62)
    4.85
    (3.93)
    7.43
    (4.88)
    7.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Chorley - Leamington?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Chorley will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Leamington will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chorley: 46.4%99%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 - Chorley (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chorley will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Chorley (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 3.
    • Recent performances by Chorley have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Leamington has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Chorley is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chorley won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chorley - Leamington were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Leamington - Chorley 1:0
    01.03.2025 Leamington - Chorley 3:2
    09.11.2024 Chorley - Leamington 2:1
    15.04.2023 Leamington - Chorley 1:2
    15.10.2022 Chorley - Leamington 1:0
    Latest results of Chorley
    24.01.2026 Chorley - Darlington 1:2
    17.01.2026 Chester - Chorley 3:3
    30.12.2025 Chorley - Marine 2:1
    26.12.2025 Fylde - Chorley 1:0
    Latest results of Leamington
    24.01.2026 Leamington - Curzon Ashton 2:1
    17.01.2026 South Shields - Leamington 3:0
    30.12.2025 Alfreton Town - Leamington 2:1
    26.12.2025 Leamington - Bedford Town 2:2
    20.12.2025 Radcliffe - Leamington 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1South Shields (2)Bye
    2Buxton (5)Scarborough (6)4 : 2
    3Kidderminster (3)Bye
    4Macclesfield (4)Chester (7)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1South Shields (2)Buxton (5)1 : 0
    2Kidderminster (3)Macclesfield (4)3 : 1

    Final
    1South Shields (2)Kidderminster (3)