Chornomorets Odesa vs Oleksandriya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
24/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 30
  • Referee: Tsibulko E. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
croatiaCroatiaGONET.TV
czech-republicCzech-republicgoNET TV
polandPolandGONETV
slovakiaSlovakiagoNET TV
spainSpainLaLiga+
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
812
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
68
Corner Kicks
47
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
149
Fouls
914
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Shabanov A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Popov K. , Bezborodko D. ,
  • 48', Shostak D. 🟨,
  • 59', Kulakov A. , Filippov O. ,
  • 60', Shostak D. , Myshnyov D. ,
  • 61', Martynyuk O. 🟨,
  • 63', Gabelok A. , Mustafaev E. ,
  • 63', Kogut I. , Ryce A. ,
  • 69', Buletsa S. , Kovalets K. ,
  • 69', Loginov S. , Vashchenko D. ,
  • 77', Kozak A. , Galoyan S. ,
  • 80', Jarju M. , Kratov M. ,
  • 82', Kysil Y. , Pshenychnyuk O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chornomorets Odesa
19.4%
Draw
25.3%
Oleksandriya
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.6% 22.8% 58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9% 22% 60.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chornomorets Odesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oleksandriya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chornomorets Odesa - Oleksandriya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.94
    (4.98)
    3.8
    (4.07)
    1.74
    (1.59)
    4.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Chornomorets Odesa - Oleksandriya?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Chornomorets (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Oleksandriya will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chornomorets Odesa will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Chornomorets (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Chornomorets is Relegated to Persha Liga
    • Oleksandriya is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chornomorets won 2.
    • Chornomorets is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Oleksandriya is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Oleksandriya has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Oleksandriya is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Chornomorets: Neto J. (Knee Injury) Prysyazhnyuk A. (Knee Injury) Udod D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Oleksandriya: Shulyanskyi A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chornomorets won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chornomorets won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chornomorets Odesa - Oleksandriya were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Oleksandriya - Chornomorets Odesa 3:0
    07.04.2024 Chornomorets Odesa - Oleksandriya 3:2
    22.09.2023 Oleksandriya - Chornomorets Odesa 1:5
    09.04.2023 Oleksandriya - Chornomorets Odesa 1:1
    02.10.2022 Chornomorets Odesa - Oleksandriya 1:2
    Latest results of Chornomorets Odesa
    Latest results of Oleksandriya
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shakhtar Donetsk25186159:164360
    2LNZ Cherkasy25164536:162052
    3Polissya Zhytomyr25154644:172749
    4Dyn. Kyiv25145658:312747
    5Metalist 192525129431:141745
    6Kolos Kovalivka251010524:21340
    7Kryvbas25117743:38540
    8Karpaty Lviv2599735:26936
    9FK Zorya Luhansk2598835:32335
    10Veres-Rivne25781022:31-929
    11Obolon25681122:42-2026
    12Epitsentr25741427:37-1025
    13Kudrivka25561426:42-1621
    14Rukh Lviv25621717:42-2520
    15Oleksandriya25271618:49-3113
    16SC Poltava25251820:63-4311

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Persha Liga