Result
2:0
11/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
- Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Sapuga M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Oharkov M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Miroshnichenko D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Cara T. ↓, Andreichyk A. ↑,
- 56', Bruninho 🟨,
- 63', Sapuga M. ↓, Eriki ↑,
- 63', Paulo V. ↓, Alkain X. ↑,
- 69', Amaral M. ↓, Buletsa S. ↑,
- 73', Miroshnichenko D. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 0, Kostenko Y. ⚽, Alkain X. (A),
- 77', Bruninho ↓, Sych O. ↑,
- 80', Vashchenko D. ↓, Touati H. ↑,
- 80', Butko B. ↓, Rodrigues M. ↑,
- 80', Myshnyov D. ↓, Shulyanskyi A. ↑,
- 86', Kostenko Y. ↓, Karabin Y. ↑,
- 87', Chachua A. ↓, Jean Pedroso ↑,
- 87', Oharkov M. 🟥,
- 90+2', 2 - 0, Jean Pedroso ⚽, Faal B. (A),
Chances of winning
Karpaty Lviv
58.4% | Draw
24% | Oleksandriya
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karpaty Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karpaty Lviv's form might have worsened.Oleksandriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karpaty Lviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oleksandriya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.43) |
3.89 ↓
(4.59) |
5.32 ↓
(7.5) |
7.1%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Karpaty will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 2.
- Karpaty is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Oleksandriya has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Oleksandriya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Karpaty is considered a favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karpaty won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Karpaty Lviv won against Oleksandriya?
Karpaty Lviv has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oleksandriya won against Karpaty Lviv?
Oleksandriya has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya were as follows:
04.10.2025
Oleksandriya
-
Karpaty Lviv
0:2
11.05.2025
Karpaty Lviv
-
Oleksandriya
2:1
09.11.2024
Oleksandriya
-
Karpaty Lviv
3:0
Latest results of Karpaty Lviv
Latest results of Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 25 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 59:16 | 43 | 60 |
| 2 | LNZ Cherkasy | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 36:16 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44:17 | 27 | 49 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 58:31 | 27 | 47 |
| 5 | Metalist 1925 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 31:14 | 17 | 45 |
| 6 | Kolos Kovalivka | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Kryvbas | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 43:38 | 5 | 40 |
| 8 | Karpaty Lviv | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 35:26 | 9 | 36 |
| 9 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Veres-Rivne | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 | Obolon | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 22:42 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Epitsentr | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 27:37 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Kudrivka | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 26:42 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 17:42 | -25 | 20 |
| 15 | Oleksandriya | 25 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 18:49 | -31 | 13 |
| 16 | SC Poltava | 25 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20:63 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga
