Christian Garin vs Jesper De Jong – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/04/2026 at 07:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
38
Double Faults
33
1st serve percentage
57%64%
1st serve points won
79% (30/38)65% (32/49)
2nd serve points won
62% (18/29)52% (14/27)
Break Points Saved
0/21/4
1st return points won
35% (17/49)24% (9/38)
2nd return points won
48% (13/27)38% (11/29)
Break Points Converted
3/42/2
Winners
2418
Unforced errors
3437
Net points won
86% (6/7)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
71% (47/66)61% (46/76)
Return Points Won
39% (30/76)29% (19/66)
Total Points Won
54% (77/142)46% (65/142)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
85% (11/13)77% (10/13)
Return games won
23% (3/13)15% (2/13)
Total games won
54% (14/26)46% (12/26)

Chances of winning


Christian Garin
45.9%
Jesper De Jong
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 51.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Christian Garin - Jesper De Jong Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.2)

    1.74
    (1.62)
    6.2%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Christian Garin - Jesper De Jong?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). De Jong will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Garin is ranked ATP: 100. De Jong is ranked ATP: 99.
    • Recent form of Garin has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, De Jong has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • De Jong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Christian Garin
    Latest results of Jesper De Jong
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Quinn E. (1)Virtanen O.2 : 1
    2Arneodo R. (WC)Comesana F. (10)0 : 2
    3Buse I. (2)Goffin D. (WC)1 : 2
    4Nava E.Halys Q. (11)2 : 0
    5Cerundolo J. M. (3)Nys H. (WC)2 : 0
    6Martinez P.Vukic A. (9)2 : 0
    7Kopriva V. (4)Arnaldi M.1 : 2
    8Choinski J.Muller A. (13)0 : 2
    9Dzumhur D. (5)Budkov Kjaer N. (WC)2 : 0
    10Maestrelli F.Blockx A. (12)0 : 2
    11Struff J-L. (6)Basilashvili N. (Alt)0 : 2
    12Garin C.De Jong J. (14)2 : 1
    13Shevchenko A. (7)Pellegrino A. (RET.) (Alt)1 : 0
    14Bonzi B.Bautista-Agut R. (8)0 : 2

    Final
    1Quinn E. (1)Comesana F. (10)
    2Goffin D.Nava E.
    3Cerundolo J. M. (3)Martinez P.
    4Arnaldi M.Muller A. (13)
    5Dzumhur D. (5)Blockx A. (12)
    6Basilashvili N.Garin C.
    7Shevchenko A. (7)Bautista-Agut R. (8)