Christian Garin vs Jesper De Jong – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/04/2026 at 07:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
38
Double Faults
33
1st serve percentage
57%64%
1st serve points won
79% (30/38)65% (32/49)
2nd serve points won
62% (18/29)52% (14/27)
Break Points Saved
0/21/4
1st return points won
35% (17/49)24% (9/38)
2nd return points won
48% (13/27)38% (11/29)
Break Points Converted
3/42/2
Winners
2418
Unforced errors
3437
Net points won
86% (6/7)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
71% (47/66)61% (46/76)
Return Points Won
39% (30/76)29% (19/66)
Total Points Won
54% (77/142)46% (65/142)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
85% (11/13)77% (10/13)
Return games won
23% (3/13)15% (2/13)
Total games won
54% (14/26)46% (12/26)

Chances of winning


Christian Garin
45.9%
Jesper De Jong
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 51.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Christian Garin - Jesper De Jong Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.2)

    1.74
    (1.62)
    6.2%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Christian Garin - Jesper De Jong?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Garin will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). De Jong will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Garin is ranked ATP: 100. De Jong is ranked ATP: 99.
    • Recent form of Garin has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, De Jong has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • De Jong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Christian Garin
    Latest results of Jesper De Jong
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.2 : 0
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.0 : 2
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Lehecka J. (11)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Hurkacz H.2 : 1
    4Blockx A.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Berrettini M.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    6Bergs Z.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Ruud C. (RET.) (9)1 : 0
    8Machac T.Sinner J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bublik A. (8)2 : 0
    2Vacherot V.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 1
    3Fonseca J.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Vacherot V.2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2