Cienciano vs Alianza Lima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Cienciano - Alianza Lima
Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.59
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
87% (341/392)78% (237/302)
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.110.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.641.00
Total shots
207
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
133
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
186
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
87% (341/392)78% (237/302)
Long passes
53% (24/45)43% (25/58)
Passes in final third
84% (75/89)50% (33/66)
Crosses
41% (7/17)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.45
Throw-ins
1119
Fouls
1611
Tackles
63% (5/8)46% (6/13)
Duels won
3140
Clearances
1713
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
1.001.64
Goals prevented
0.00-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Hohberg A. , Da Silva B. (A),
  • 13', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
  • 15', 2 - 0, Valoyes J. , Hohberg A. (A),
  • 35', Zambrano C. 🟥,
  • 37', Pena S. , Estrada J. ,
  • 44', Chavez G. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Quevedo K. 🟨,
  • 45+8', Amondarain M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Trauco M. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Paolo Guerrero , Castillo E. (A),
  • 60', Quevedo K. , Gentile G. ,
  • 63', Arias Fierro S. D. , Ramua A. ,
  • 67', Ramua A. 🟨,
  • 67', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
  • 77', Da Silva B. , Souza Espana C. ,
  • 77', Hohberg A. , Benites Vargas L. E. ,
  • 77', Galeano L. 🟨,
  • 78', Aquino P. , Ceppelini P. ,
  • 82', Benites Vargas L. E. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Bolado J. , Barrios I. ,
  • 90+10', Castillo E. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Cienciano
53%
Draw
25.8%
Alianza Lima
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 29.2% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 30.1% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cienciano's performance.
  • Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cienciano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cienciano - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (2.28)
    3.85
    (3.2)
    4.84
    (3.13)
    1.1%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cienciano might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Cienciano: Romagnoli J. (Broken calfbone) Torrejon C. (Red Card)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Alianza Lima - Cienciano 0:1
    20.08.2024 Alianza Lima - Cienciano 3:0
    13.03.2024 Cienciano - Alianza Lima 2:1
    20.08.2023 Cienciano - Alianza Lima 0:0
    01.04.2023 Alianza Lima - Cienciano 2:0
    Latest results of Cienciano
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1293023:81530
    2Cusco1272319:11823
    3AD Tarma1363417:17021
    4Sporting Cristal1154220:81219
    5FBC Melgar1346318:13518
    6Alianza Lima1253418:14418
    7Deportivo Garcilaso1246216:16018
    8Alianza Atl1244411:8316
    9Comerciantes Unidos1244414:17-316
    10Sport Huancayo1343623:22115
    11Cienciano1143416:15115
    12Grau1243516:15115
    13Los Chankas1150614:24-1015
    14Alianza Huanuco1241714:24-1013
    15Sport Boys1233610:16-612
    16Juan Pablo II112549:14-511
    17Ayacucho1232710:19-911
    18Cajamarca111379:16-76
    19Binacional00000:000

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