Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (341/392) | 78% (237/302) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (341/392) | 78% (237/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (24/45) | 43% (25/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (75/89) | 50% (33/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Hohberg A. ⚽, Da Silva B. (A),
- 13', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
- 15', 2 - 0, Valoyes J. ⚽, Hohberg A. (A),
- 35', Zambrano C. 🟥,
- 37', Pena S. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
- 44', Chavez G. 🟨,
- 45+7', Quevedo K. 🟨,
- 45+8', Amondarain M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Trauco M. 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 1, Paolo Guerrero ⚽, Castillo E. (A),
- 60', Quevedo K. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
- 63', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Ramua A. ↑,
- 67', Ramua A. 🟨,
- 67', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
- 77', Da Silva B. ↓, Souza Espana C. ↑,
- 77', Hohberg A. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
- 77', Galeano L. 🟨,
- 78', Aquino P. ↓, Ceppelini P. ↑,
- 82', Benites Vargas L. E. 🟨,
- 90+6', Bolado J. ↓, Barrios I. ↑,
- 90+10', Castillo E. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Cienciano
53% | Draw
25.8% | Alianza Lima
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cienciano's performance.Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cienciano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cienciano - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(2.28) |
3.85 ↑
(3.2) |
4.84 ↑
(3.13) |
1.1%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cienciano - Alianza Lima?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cienciano might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Cienciano: Romagnoli J.
(Broken calfbone)
Torrejon C.
(Red Card)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Alianza Lima?
Cienciano has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Cienciano?
Alianza Lima has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Alianza Lima were as follows:
02.05.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Cienciano
0:1
20.08.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Cienciano
3:0
13.03.2024
Cienciano
-
Alianza Lima
2:1
20.08.2023
Cienciano
-
Alianza Lima
0:0
01.04.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Cienciano
2:0
Latest results of Cienciano
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
