Result
2:1
28/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.11 | 0.59 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
87% (341/392) | 78% (237/302) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.11 | 0.59 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.64 | 1.00 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
13 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 6 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
87% (341/392) | 78% (237/302) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (24/45) | 43% (25/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
84% (75/89) | 50% (33/66) |
Crosses |
---|
41% (7/17) | 11% (1/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.19 | 0.45 |
Throw-ins |
---|
11 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (5/8) | 46% (6/13) |
Duels won |
---|
31 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 13 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.00 | 1.64 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Hohberg A. ⚽, Da Silva B. (A),
- 13', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
- 15', 2 - 0, Valoyes J. ⚽, Hohberg A. (A),
- 35', Zambrano C. 🟥,
- 37', Pena S. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
- 44', Chavez G. 🟨,
- 45+7', Quevedo K. 🟨,
- 45+8', Amondarain M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', Trauco M. 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 1, Paolo Guerrero ⚽, Castillo E. (A),
- 60', Quevedo K. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
- 63', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Ramua A. ↑,
- 67', Ramua A. 🟨,
- 67', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
- 77', Da Silva B. ↓, Souza Espana C. ↑,
- 77', Hohberg A. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
- 77', Galeano L. 🟨,
- 78', Aquino P. ↓, Ceppelini P. ↑,
- 82', Benites Vargas L. E. 🟨,
- 90+6', Bolado J. ↓, Barrios I. ↑,
- 90+10', Castillo E. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Cienciano 53% | Draw 25.8% | Alianza Lima 21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cienciano's performance.Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cienciano that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Lima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cienciano - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 ↓ (2.28) |
3.85 ↑ (3.2) |
4.84 ↑ (3.13) |
1.1% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cienciano might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Cienciano: Romagnoli J.
(Broken calfbone)
Torrejon C.
(Red Card)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Alianza Lima?
Cienciano has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Cienciano?
Alianza Lima has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Alianza Lima were as follows:
02.05.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Cienciano
0:1
20.08.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Cienciano
3:0
13.03.2024
Cienciano
-
Alianza Lima
2:1
20.08.2023
Cienciano
-
Alianza Lima
0:0
01.04.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Cienciano
2:0
Latest results of Cienciano
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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