Cienciano vs Alianza Lima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Cienciano - Alianza Lima
28/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Cienciano
40.9%
Draw
29.2%
Alianza Lima
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 29.2% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 30.1% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • The chances for Alianza Lima have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Cienciano - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.28)
    3.17
    (3.2)
    3.17
    (3.13)
    7.1%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Alianza Lima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Cienciano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Alianza Lima - Cienciano 0:1
    20.08.2024 Alianza Lima - Cienciano 3:0
    13.03.2024 Cienciano - Alianza Lima 2:1
    20.08.2023 Cienciano - Alianza Lima 0:0
    01.04.2023 Alianza Lima - Cienciano 2:0
    Latest results of Cienciano
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco761011:3819
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7Cienciano933314:12212
    8Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    9Los Chankas840412:20-812
    10Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    11Alianza Atl82426:3310
    12Grau831411:11010
    13Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    14AD Tarma83148:12-410
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys91264:12-85
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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