Result
0:1
02/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (240/309) | 74% (260/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (240/309) | 74% (260/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/64) | 40% (29/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (73/101) | 68% (63/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Zambrano C. 🟨,
- 35', Garces C. 🟨,
- 41', Gomez A. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Benites Vargas L. E. 🟨,
- 59', Ceppelini P. ↓, Gaibor F. ↑,
- 61', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
- 70', Benites Vargas L. E. ↓, Cueva C. ↑,
- 72', Castillo E. 🟨,
- 79', Garces C. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
- 79', Gentile G. ↓, La Torre D. ↑,
- 80', Romagnoli J. ↓, Palomino R. ↑,
- 83', Lavandeira Hernandez P. ↓, Cari P. ↑,
- 90+1', Paolo Guerrero 🟨,
- 90+2', 0 - 1, Cueva C. (Pen),
- 90+2', Zambrano C. 🟨,
- 90+14', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
- 90+15', Garces R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alianza Lima
69.4% | Draw
20.6% | Cienciano
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Alianza Lima - Cienciano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↑
(1.33) |
4.57 ↓
(4.95) |
9.32 ↑
(9.1) |
6.3%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima - Cienciano?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 3.
- Alianza Lima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cienciano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cienciano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alianza Lima is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Alianza Lima will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:2. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Cienciano?
Alianza Lima has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Alianza Lima?
Cienciano has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Cienciano were as follows:
20.08.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Cienciano
3:0
13.03.2024
Cienciano
-
Alianza Lima
2:1
20.08.2023
Cienciano
-
Alianza Lima
0:0
01.04.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Cienciano
2:0
16.10.2022
Cienciano
-
Alianza Lima
0:2
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Latest results of Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | Cusco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Alianza Huanuco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Grau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
