Result
3:0
20/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.25 | 0.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (419/484) | 66% (148/225) |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.25 | 0.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.90 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (419/484) | 66% (148/225) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 76% (65/85) | 19% (9/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (123/165) | 43% (33/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (9/37) | 0% (0/1) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Garces C. ⚽,
- 10', Lagos R. 🟥,
- 20', 2 - 0, Garces C. ⚽, Souza Espana C. (A),
- 32', Arrasco M. ↓, Andrade T. ↑,
- 41', 3 - 0, Bandiera N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Paucar E. ↓, Meza C. ↑,
- 46', Miguez P. ↓, Timana H. ↑,
- 46', Almiron M. ↓, Bernaola B. ↑,
- 46', Robles A. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
- 46', Bandiera N. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
- 46', Nunez C. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
- 60', Souza Espana C. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑,
- 61', Garces C. ↓, Cavero S. ↑,
- 83', Palacios B. ↓, Alegria P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cienciano
65.9% | Draw
19.8% | Cajamarca
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cienciano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Cienciano - Cajamarca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.34) |
4.65 ↓
(4.77) |
6.66 ↓
(8.43) |
8.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cienciano - Cajamarca?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 16).
- Cienciano is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cajamarca's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Cienciano is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Cienciano: Romagnoli J.
(Broken calfbone)
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Medina J.
(Broken Hand)
Orejuela J. G.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Cienciano: Arias Fierro S. D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cajamarca: Gallardo J.
(Injury)
- We predict that Cienciano will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Cajamarca?
Cienciano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Cienciano?
Cajamarca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cienciano - Cajamarca were as follows:
Latest results of Cienciano
Latest results of Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Cusco | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:20 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Grau | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
